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Colorado Rockies (18-20) at Los Angeles Dodgers (30-10)

Sunday, September 06, 2020 at 10:10 pm

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*3 Star Play on Dodgers -1.5* The Colorado Rockies upset the Los Angeles Dodgers 5-2 on Saturday night. I think the Dodgers are in a great spot to get back on the winning side in a big way here.

Ryan Castellani was terrible in Triple A last year. He was fortunate in his first couple big league starts this year, but his advanced metrics suggest it can't keep going like this. Castellani has 6.23 FIP and more than 58% of his batted balls have been classified as hard hit according to Fangraphs. He'll be used as an opener here and he'll be followed up by Chi Chi Gonzalez. Gonzalez is worse than Castellani.

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Gonzalez is a guy I've made a lot of money fading in the past, and I'm not stopping here. Gonzalez has terrible control and he puts himself in a jam seemingly constantly. Simply put his stuff isn't very good (not big league quality) and he doesn't even control it well.

The Dodgers are first in the majors in weighted on base average against right handed pitching and they face two weak right handed pitchers in this one.

Julio Urias starts for the Dodgers and he has above average stuff and he's facing a Rockies team that ranks in the bottom five offenses in the majors when on the road.

Take the Dodgers -1.5. 

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Kyle’s Pick Los Angeles Dodgers: -1.5 -130

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