Edmonton Oilers (27-18-3) vs Columbus Blue Jackets (14-30-3)
Wednesday, January 25, 2023 at 9:30 pm
Since 2013, NHL underdogs or home favorites coming off a win or a close loss as road underdogs are 1046-755 (58.1%), including 314-177 (64.1%; +4.6% ROI) since 2020. Since 1996, large NHL home favorites that have covered the spread (puck line) in four or more consecutive games are 67-9 (88.2%; +43.2 units) when playing with three or more days of rest, winning by an average margin of +1.9 goals per game. This situation is 9-1 over the last five seasons. Since 1996, NHL favorites that have scored four-plus goals in five consecutive games are 33-5 (86.8%; +25 units) in the second half of the season versus teams that are allowing 2.85 or more goals per game. These teams have won by an average of +1.8 goals per game over that span and are 23-2 (+20.2 units) since 2016 and 16-1 (+14.7 units) over the last three seasons. Since 2016, NHL road underdogs coming off a road game in which both teams scored three or more goals are just 18-68 (20.9%) in January affairs, losing by an average of 1.4 goals per game. Columbus falls into very negative 89-148 (37.7%; -5.1% ROI) and 33-49 (40.2%; -8.0% ROI) situations that invest against certain teams off two or more consecutive games in which they allowed three-plus goals versus teams that have scored four-plus goals in four or more consecutive games. The 89-147 situation is 12-29 (29.3%; -15.5% ROI) since 2020, losing by an average of 1.12 goals per game (3-14 L/17, 0-4 L/4). Finally, Edmonton is 15-2 (88.2%) against the puck line in home affairs following back-to-back games in which it scored four or more goals over the last two seasons. With Edmonton standing at 27-11 against the puck line off a divisional win over the last two seasons, take the Oilers and invest with confidence.