JEFF'S NCAA HOOPS HIGH ROLLER (+$35,380)
The Citadel Bulldogs (7-7) vs VMI Keydets (9-8)
Saturday, January 15, 2022 at 1:00 pm
My math model makes this game a toss-up so we are getting solid line value on the home underdog and VMI is a money-burning 1-8 ATS in games priced between +3 and -3 over the last two seasons, including 0-6 ATS on the road. VMI is also 1-4 ATS in its last five games following a loss and 1-4 ATS in its previous five games as a favorite, whereas the Bulldogs are 11-4 ATS in their previous fifteen home affairs and 5-0 ATS in their previous five contests as home underdogs. The Bulldogs are 5-2 straight-up at home this season where they are averaging 85.3 points per game on 47.5% shooting from the field. Overall, Citadel is averaging 80.9 points per game on 46.7% shooting from the floor against teams that would combine to allow just 75.8 points per game to a mediocre offense. The Bulldogs should have continued success at home against a VMI squad that is 4-7 SU and 4-5 ATS on the road this season where it’s allowing 77.0 points per game. With the home team standing at 4-1 ATS in the past five meetings in this series, grab the points with The Citadel and invest with confidence.
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