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Winnipeg Jets vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction NHL Picks 12/23/24

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Toronto Maple Leafs (21-11-2) vs Winnipeg Jets (24-10-1)

December 23, 2024 at 02:00 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: Toronto Maple Leafs -120 / Winnipeg Jets +100 — Over/Under: 5.5

(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate a Winnipeg Jets vs Toronto Maple Leafs prediction for this NHL game on Monday, December 23rd at Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, Ontario. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.

Winnipeg Jets Betting Preview

The Winnipeg Jets are 24-10-1 this season after they defeated Minnesota by a score of 5-0 in their last game. Winnipeg scored twice in the first, once in the second, and twice in the third for the shutout win. The Jets outshot Minnesota by a total of 24-19, won 52% of the face-offs, and went 2-5 on the power play in the game. Winnipeg got goals from Barron, Ehlers, Namestnikov, Perfetti, and Pionk, while Hellebuyck stopped all 19 shots that he faced. 

Prior to that win, the Jets lost to the Ducks by a score of 3-2 but did beat San Jose and Montreal before that. Winnipeg has scored 3.66 goals per game and they have allowed 2.49 goals against per game, while also going 31.8% on the power play and 79.8% on the penalty kill this season. Kyle Connor has led Winnipeg with 19 goals, 24 assists, and 118 shots on goal, while Connor Hellebuyck is 21-5-1 with a 2.07 goals-against average and a .927 save percentage this year. 

Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Preview

The Toronto Maple Leafs are 21-11-2 this year after they lost to the Islanders by a score of 6-3 in their last game. Toronto cut the deficit to 3-2 in the second period, but they allowed three goals in the third period in the loss. The Maple Leafs were outshot by a total of 34-29, won 35.3% of the face-offs, and went 0-0 on the power play in the game. Toronto got goals from McMann and Nylander (2), while Woll stopped 28 out of 33 shots in the game. 

Prior to that loss, the Maple Leafs won three games in a row against the Sabres, Stars, and Sabres. Toronto has scored 3.12 goals per game and they have allowed 2.74 goals against per game, while also going 20% on the power play and 83% on the penalty kill this season. Mitch Marner has led Toronto with 10 goals, 35 assists, and 83 shots on goal, while Joseph Woll is 9-5-0 with a 2.51 goals against average and a .912 save percentage this year. 

Why the Maple Leafs will beat the Jets

  • The Maple Leafs have won seven of their last eight home games against Central Division opponents.
  • The Jets have lost each of their last five games as underdogs.
  • The home team has covered the puck line in each of the Jets’ last four games.
  • The Jets have failed to cover the puck line in six of their last seven games following a win.
  • The Maple Leafs have won the second period in each of their last four games.

Why the Jets will beat the Maple Leafs 

  • The Jets have won each of their last six road games following a home win.
  • The Maple Leafs have lost seven of their last eight day games following a loss.
  • The Maple Leafs have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last five day games following a loss.
  • The Jets have covered the puck line in 13 of their last 15 games as underdogs following a home win.
  • The Maple Leafs have lost the first period in three of their last four games as favorites.

Total Goals Facts

  • Each of the Maple Leafs’ last five games against the Jets following a loss has gone OVER the total goals line.
  • Each of the Jets’ last four games as underdogs following a home win have gone OVER the total goals line.
  • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in each of the Jets’ last eight games.
  • The ‘Over 2.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Maple Leafs’ last three games as home favorites.

Toronto Maple Leafs Player Prop Facts

  • Mitch Marner has recorded at least one point in each of the Maple Leafs’ last seven games against Central Division opponents.
  • Auston Matthews has scored at least one goal in five of his last six appearances against the Jets at Scotiabank Arena.
  • Mitch Marner has recorded at least one assist in each of the Maple Leafs’ last four games as favorites.

Winnipeg Jets Player Prop Facts

  • Kyle Connor has recorded at least one point in seven of the Jets’ last eight road games.
  • Gabriel Vilardi has recorded an assist in each of the Jets’ last four games against Atlantic Division opponents.
  • Mark Scheifele has scored a goal in each of the Jets’ last three road games.

Winnipeg Jets vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction 

Winnipeg comes into this matchup after winning three of their last four games and they are coming off of a shutout win against the Wild. The Jets are 12-7-0 on the road this year, while the Maple Leafs are 14-5-0 at home. Toronto has also won three of their last four games, but they did allow six goals to the Islanders in their last game. The Maple Leafs have scored 19 goals in their last four games and I think we are going to see some offense from both sides. Take the over here. 

David Racey's Pick: Over 5.5

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