| MATCHUP | Winnipeg Jets | Toronto Maple Leafs |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 15-19-4 | 18-15-6 |
| Spread | +1.5 -205 | -1.5 170 |
| Moneyline | +120 | -142 |
| Total | Over 6.5 (105) | Under 6.5 (-125) |
| Where | Scotiabank Arena, Toronto, ON | |
| When | Thursday, January 1, 2026 | |
| Time | 07:00 PM EST | |
| TV | NHL Net | |
Winnipeg Jets Betting Preview
The Winnipeg Jets lost to the Oilers and Red Wings, and they play the Senators next. The Jets have lost 10 of their last 11 games.
The Winnipeg Jets are averaging 2.92 goals per game and are scoring 20.4 percent of their power play opportunities. Mark Scheifele leads Winnipeg with 18 goals, Kyle Connor has 27 assists, and Josh Morrissey has 69 shots on goal. Defensively, the Winnipeg Jets are allowing 3.06 goals per game and are killing 80.7 percent of their opponents’ power plays. Connor Hellebuyck has given up 55 goals on 592 shots faced, and Eric Comrie has allowed 45 goals on 395 shots.
Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Preview
The Toronto Maple Leafs lost to the Red Wings, beat the Devils, and they play the Islanders next. The Maple Leafs have won 3 of their last 4 games.
The Toronto Maple Leafs are averaging 3.28 goals per game and are scoring 16 percent of their power-play opportunities. John Tavares leads Toronto with 15 goals, William Nylander has 27 assists, and Auston Matthews has 128 shots on goal. Defensively, the Toronto Maple Leafs are allowing 3.28 goals per game and are killing 84.2 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Anthony Stolarz has allowed 41 goals on 353 shots faced, while Dennis Hildeby has given up 35 goals on 385 shots.
Why the Toronto Maple Leafs will win
- The Jets have lost each of their last seven games.
- The Maple Leafs have won each of their last seven games against the Jets following a win.
- The Maple Leafs have covered the puck line in each of their last four games against opponents who are on the second leg of a back-to-back.
- The Jets have failed to cover the puck line in six of their last seven games against Atlantic Division opponents.
- In each of the Maple Leafs’ last seven Thursday night games at Scotiabank Arena, the team trailing after the second period has won the third period.
Why the Winnipeg Jets will win
- The Maple Leafs have lost each of their last three games as home favorites following a win.
- The Jets have won seven of their last 11 games as underdogs on the second leg of a back-to-back.
- The Maple Leafs have failed to cover the puck line in eight of their last nine games as home favorites following a win.
- The Jets have covered the puck line in each of their last five games following a road loss.
- The Maple Leafs have lost the second period in four of their last five home games when tied after the first period.
Total Goals Facts
- Each of the Maple Leafs’ last six night games against opponents on a losing streak have gone UNDER the total goals line.
- Six of the Jets’ last seven night games against Atlantic Division opponents have gone UNDER the total goals line.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in each of the Maple Leafs’ last eight night games.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in each of the Jets’ last nine Thursday night games.
Toronto Maple Leafs Player Prop Facts
- Auston Matthews has scored at least one goal in seven of his last eight appearances against Central Division opponents at Scotiabank Arena.
- William Nylander has recorded at least one assist in nine of his last 10 appearances with the Maple Leafs as favorites.
- Jake McCabe ranks 2nd in the Atlantic Division for Plus/Minus (+21) this season.
Winnipeg Jets Player Prop Facts
- Gabriel Vilardi has scored a goal in each of the Jets’ last three games on the second leg of a back-to-back.
- Mark Scheifele has recorded at least one assist in each of his last five appearances at Scotiabank Arena.
- Mark Scheifele ranks T8th in the league for multi-assist games (8) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Toronto Maple Leafs rank 25th in the league for goals against per game this season (3.28).
- The Toronto Maple Leafs rank 25th in the league in power play percentage this season (16.00%).
- The Winnipeg Jets rank T8th in the league in short handed goals allowed this season (2).
- The Winnipeg Jets rank 9th in the league in penalty minutes this season (379).
Winnipeg Jets vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction
The Jets continue to pile up the losses at a record rate and should be a team you’re blindly fading. The Jets are comfortably the least profitable team in the NHL. The Maple Leafs have underachieved for much of the season, but they’ve found their spark offensively, and it’s led to wins in 3 of their last 4 games. If the Maple Leafs are going to keep chipping away in the standings, these are games they need. The Maple Leafs have won 7 of the last 10 games against the Jets. Give me the Leafs at home.

