Wild vs Maple Leafs Prediction 11/12/2026 Today’s NHL Picks

Wild vs Maple Leafs Prediction

In this Wild vs Maple Leafs Prediction, the Wild are coming as -165 road favorites. The Wild have been the better team this season and have been in far better form lately, as they are 7-2 in their last 9 games and have been far better on the road this season. On the flip side, the Leafs have been on a free fall with a 1-6 record in their last 7 games and four consecutive home defeats, where they have allowed 14 goals in their last three. There is only one way to see this and that is to take the Wild to get the job done on the road.

The Wild are 3-1 in their last 4 meetings against the Maple Leafs but have lost three of their last five visits in Toronto. Under is 3-1 in their last 4 meetings.

Toronto Maple Leafs Preview

The Maple Leafs have 18 points this season with a 8-10-2 record and a 4-7-1 home record. They are 11-9 ATS and 11-9 in over/under. They are coming off a 3-6 home loss against the Avalanche and will face the Oilers and Kings next.

Offensively, the Maple Leafs are averaging 3.35 goals per game with 28.1 shots on goal per game and are scoring 28.1% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 3.45 goals per game on 29.5 shots on goal per game and are killing 86.4% of their opponent’s power plays. They have 193 total penalty minutes this season.

Auston Matthews leads the Maple Leafs with 28 points, adding a team-high 11 goals with 62 shots on goal and a team-high 17 assists. William Nylander follows with 22 points with 11 goals and 11 assists, while Jack Roslovic adds 20 points with 9 goals and 11 assists and Easton Cowan adds 16 points with 7 goals and 9 assists. Kirill Marchenko adds 14 points with 6 goals and 8 assists. Sergei Bobrovsky is the starting goalie for the Maple Leafs, and he has a 3-8-2 record, with 3.47 GAA and .881 SV%. Anthony Stolarz is the backup goalie and he has a 5-2-0 record, with 2.72 GAA and .908 SV%.

Injury Report:

Morgan Rielly — OUT, est. return Nov 12
Colton Sissons — OUT, est. return Nov 17
Kirill Marchenko — IR, est. return Nov 23
Miles Wood — IR-LT, est. return Nov 30
Nick Blankenburg — IR, est. return Nov 23

Minnesota Wild Preview

The Wild have 30 points this season with a 13-3-4 record and a 8-3-2 road record. They are 14-6 ATS and 6-14 in over/under. They are coming off a 2-1 overtime road win against the Canadiens and will face the Bruins and Predators next.

Offensively, the Wild are averaging 3.25 goals per game with 29.4 shots on goal per game and are scoring 27.1% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 2.20 goals per game on 25.8 shots on goal per game and are killing 79.0% of their opponent’s power plays. They have 176 total penalty minutes this season.

Kirill Kaprizov leads the Wild with 32 points, adding a team-high 17 goals with 62 shots on goal, while Quinn Hughes leads the team in assists with 21 and adds 27 points. Matt Boldy follows with 18 points with 7 goals and 11 assists, while Joel Eriksson Ek adds 17 points with 6 goals and 11 assists and Maxim Shabanov adds 13 points with 8 goals and 5 assists. Jesper Wallstedt is the starting goalie for the Wild, and he has a 12-2-3 record, with 1.93 GAA and .925 SV%. Calvin Pickard is the backup goalie and he has a 1-1-1 record, with 3.60 GAA and .855 SV%.

Injury Report:

Filip Gustavsson — IR-LT, est. return Nov 19
Brock Faber — IR, est. return Nov 14

Minnesota Wild @ Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Trends: November 12, 2026

 

Why the Toronto Maple Leafs will win

• The underdogs have won two of the last three games between the Wild and Maple Leafs.
• The Wild have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last five games as road favorites against Atlantic Division opponents.
• The Maple Leafs have covered the puck line in nine of their last 11 games as underdogs against the Wild.
• The Maple Leafs have won the third period in three of their last four night games against the Wild at Scotiabank Arena when leading after the second period.

Why the Minnesota Wild will win

• The Maple Leafs have lost each of their last 11 games as home underdogs following a loss.
• The road team has won eight of the Wild’s last nine games.
• The Wild have covered the puck line in seven of their last eight night games against opponents on a losing streak.
• The Maple Leafs have failed to cover the puck line in seven of their last eight games at Scotiabank Arena following a loss.
• The Wild have won the third period in four of their last five games as favorites against opponents on a losing streak.

Total Goals Facts

• Twelve of the Maple Leafs’ last 13 games against the Wild following a loss have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• Ten of the Wild’s last 11 road games following an overtime win have gone OVER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in each of the Maple Leafs’ last 14 games as underdogs against Central Division opponents.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3’ market has hit in each of the Wild’s last 12 games following a road win.

Toronto Maple Leafs Player Prop Facts

• Jack Roslovic has scored at least one goal in four of the Maple Leafs’ last five games against Central Division opponents.
• Kirill Marchenko has recorded at least one assist in nine of his last 10 appearances against Central Division opponents.
• Auston Matthews ranks T6th in the league for Goals (11) this season.

Minnesota Wild Player Prop Facts

• Kirill Kaprizov has scored a goal in four of the Wild’s last five games as road favorites.
• Quinn Hughes has recorded at least one assist in each of his last 10 appearances at Scotiabank Arena.
• Kirill Kaprizov ranks T2nd in the league for Game Winning Goals (4) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Toronto Maple Leafs are the only team in the league to rank top 5 for both power play and penalty kill percentage this season.
• The Toronto Maple Leafs have recorded the equal-most wins when trailing after Period 1 this season (3).
• The Minnesota Wild rank 1st in the league for Period 2 goals allowed per game this season (0.65).
• The Minnesota Wild rank 2nd in the league in save percentage this season (.917).

Nick Lagouretos's Pick: Minnesota Wild ML