Washington Capitals vs Pittsburgh Penguins Prediction 11/6/2025 Today’s NHL Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Capitals vs Penguins Prediction for this NHL game on Thursday, November 6th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.

Pittsburgh Penguins Preview

The Penguins have 18 points this season with a 8-4-2 record, and are 11-3 ATS and 8-4 in over/under. They have a 3-1 home record and a 5-3-1 road record and are sitting 1st in the Metropolitan Division. They are coming off a 3-4 road loss to the Maple Leafs and will face the Devils, Kings and Predators next.

Offensively, the Penguins are averaging 3.50 goals per game and are scoring 32.35% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 2.71 goals per game and are killing 83.33% of their opponent’s power plays.

Evgeni Malkin leads Pittsburgh with 19 points, 3 goals and 16 assists, while Sidney Crosby follows with 17 points, 9 goals and 8 assists. Arturs Silovs is the starting goalie for the Penguins, and he has a 3-2-2 record, with 2.66 GAA and .913 SV%. Tristan Jarry is the backup goalie and he has a 5-2-0 record, with 2.60 GAA and .911 SV%.

Washington Capitals Preview

The Capitals have 15 points this season with a 7-5-1 record, and are 7-6 ATS and 5-6 in over/under. They have a 4-4 home record and a 3-1-1 road record and are sitting 6th in the Metropolitan Division. They are coming off a 6-1 home win over the Blues and will face the Lightning, Hurricanes and Panthers next.

Offensively, the Capitals are averaging 2.85 goals per game and are scoring 16.30% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 2.23 goals per game and are killing 76.90% of their opponent’s power plays.

Tom Wilson leads Washington with 15 points, 8 goals and 7 assists, while Dylan Strome follows with 11 points, 3 goals and 8 assists. Logan Thompson is the starting goalie for the Capitals, and he has a 6-3-0 record, with 1.45 GAA and .938 SV%. Charlie Lindgren is the backup goalie and he has a 1-2-1 record, with 3.47 GAA and .880 SV%.

Washington Capitals @ Pittsburgh Penguins Betting Trends: November 6, 2025

Why the Pittsburgh Penguins will win

• The Penguins have won each of their last nine Thursday home games.
• The Capitals have lost four of their last five games as favorites on the second leg of a back-to-back.
• The Penguins have covered the puck line in each of their last six games following a road loss.
• The Capitals have failed to cover the puck line in nine of their last 10 games as road favorites against opponents on a losing streak.
• The Capitals have lost the third period in each of their last seven games against Metropolitan Division opponents when trailing after the second period.

Why the Washington Capitals will win

• The Penguins have lost four of their last five games against Eastern Conference opponents.
• The Capitals have won each of their last three road games against Metropolitan Division opponents.
• The Capitals have covered the puck line in seven of their last eight road games against the Penguins.
• The favorites have won the second period in eight of the last nine games between the Capitals and Penguins.

Total Goals Facts

• Each of the Penguins’ last 10 home games against Metropolitan Division opponents have gone OVER the total goals line.
• Each of the Capitals’ last seven road games against the Penguins following a win have gone OVER the total goals line.
• Four of the last five games between two teams from the Metropolitan Division have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2′ market has hit in each of the Capitals’ last 12 night games at PPG Paints Arena.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in six of the Penguins’ last seven home games against Metropolitan Division opponents.

Pittsburgh Penguins Player Prop Facts

• Evgeni Malkin has recorded at least one assist in eight of the Penguins’ last nine games.
• Sidney Crosby has scored a goal in five of the Penguins’ last six games as home underdogs.
• Sidney Crosby has recorded at least one point in 14 of the Penguins’ last 15 games as home underdogs.

Washington Capitals Player Prop Facts

• Alex Ovechkin has scored a goal in each of the Capitals’ last four night games at PPG Paints Arena.
• Alex Ovechkin has recorded at least one point in 14 of his last 15 road appearances after playing less than 20 minutes the previous day.
• Dylan Strome has recorded at least one assist in each of the Capitals’ last four night games at PPG Paints Arena.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Pittsburgh Penguins rank 2nd in the league in power play percentage this season (32.35%).
• The Pittsburgh Penguins are one of four teams to rank in the top 10 for both goals scored and goals conceded per game this season.
• The Washington Capitals rank 1st in the league for goals against per game this season (2.23).
• The Washington Capitals have recorded the most wins by a margin of 4+ goals this season (3).

Capitals vs Penguins Prediction

Both teams are tied 5-5 in their last 10 meetings but the Caps are 3-1 in their last 4 visits in Pittsburgh.

In this Capitals vs Penguins Prediction, the Capitals are coming as -115 road favorites. The wrong team is favored in this matchup, as the Caps have one win less than the Penguins and are also on the second leg of a back-to-back. Both teams have been in poor form lately, as the Pens are 1-3 in their last 4 games and the Caps 1-4 in their last 5. The Pens have the goaltending advantage, as the Caps will use their backup goalie, and the Pens also have a better offense and both a better power play and penalty kill. I like the value with the home dog in this matchup, so take the Penguins on the moneyline.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Pittsburgh Penguins ML