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Washington Capitals vs Ottawa Senators Prediction 1/30/25 NHL Picks

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Ottawa Senators (26-20-4) vs Washington Capitals (34-11-5)

January 30, 2025 at 07:00 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: Ottawa Senators -105 / Washington Capitals -115 — Over/Under: 5.5

(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate a Washington Capitals vs Ottawa Senators prediction for this NHL game on Thursday, January 30th at the Canadian Tire Centre in Ottawa, Ontario. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup. 

Washington Capitals Betting Preview

The Washington Capitals are 34-11-5 this season after they defeated Calgary by a score of 3-1 in their last game. Washington allowed Calgary to tie the game at one in the second period, but they scored the last three goals in the game for the win. The Capitals were outshot by a total of 33-23, won 50% of the face-offs, and went 1-4 on the power play in the game. Washington got goals from Dubois, Protas, and Strome, while Thompson stopped 32 out of 33 shots in the game. 

Prior to that win, the Capitals lost to the Canucks by a score of 2-1 but did beat the Kraken by a score of 3-0 before that. Washington has won seven of their last eight games and they are currently first in the Metro standings with 73 points. Washington has scored 3.48 goals per game and they have allowed 2.34 goals against per game, while also going 22.7% on the power play and 84.7% on the penalty kill this season. Dylan Strome has led Washington with 13 goals, 34 assists, and 87 shots on goal, while Aliaksei Protas has added 21 goals, 21 assists, and 87 shots on goal. Charlie Lindgren is 11-9-2 with a 2.51 goals-against average and a .906 save percentage this season. 

Ottawa Senators Betting Preview

The Ottawa Senators are 26-20-4 this year after they defeated Utah by a score of 3-1 in their last game. Ottawa was tied at one after the second period, but they scored two goals in the third for the win. The Senators were outshot by a total of 35-27, won 47.3% of the face-offs, and went 0-3 on the power play in the game. Ottawa got goals from Giroux, Greig, and Tkachuk, while Merilainen stopped 34 out of 35 shots in the win. 

Prior to that game, the Senators defeated the Maple Leafs by a score of 2-1 but did lose to the Bruins by a score of 2-0 before that. Ottawa has won four of their last six games and they are currently tied for third in the Atlantic standings with 56 points. Ottawa has scored 2.72 goals per game and they have allowed 2.70 goals against per game, while also going 22% on the power play and 78.9% on the penalty kill this season. Tim Stutzle has led Ottawa with 16 goals, 32 assists, and 101 shots on goal, while Drake Batherson has added 14 goals, 26 assists, and 107 shots on goal this year. Leevi Merilainen is 7-3-1 with a 2.19 goals against average and a .921 save percentage this season. 

Why the Senators will beat the Capitals 

  • The Senators have won four of their last five games as underdogs.
  • The Capitals have lost four of their last seven games as road favorites against Atlantic Division opponents.
  • The Senators have covered the puck line in each of their last five games following a home win.
  • The Capitals have failed to cover the puck line in seven of their last nine games as road favorites against Atlantic Division opponents.
  • The Capitals have lost the third period in three of their last four games at Canadian Tire Centre.

Why the Capitals will beat the Senators

  • The Capitals have won seven of their last eight games.
  • The Senators have lost nine of their last 12 night games against Metropolitan Division opponents.
  • The Senators have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last 10 Thursday night games.
  • The Capitals have covered the puck line in seven of their last eight games.

Total Goals Facts

  • Each of the Senators’ last nine night games against Eastern Conference opponents has gone UNDER the total goals line.
  • Each of the Capitals’ last six road games has gone UNDER the total goals line.
  • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in nine of the Capitals’ last 10 games at Canadian Tire Centre.
  • The ‘Under 0.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Senators’ last five games following a home win.

Ottawa Senators Player Prop Facts

  • Claude Giroux has recorded an assist in seven of the Senators’ last eight games as home underdogs against Metropolitan Division opponents.
  • Joshua Norris has recorded at least one point in nine of his last 10 appearances with the Senators as home underdogs.

Washington Capitals Player Prop Facts

  • Jakob Chychrun has recorded at least one assist in each of the Capitals’ last five games as road favorites against Eastern Conference opponents.
  • T.J. Oshie has scored at least one goal in five of his last six appearances against the Senators.
  • Nicklas Backstrom has recorded at least one point in each of his last nine appearances with the Capitals as favorites against the Senators.

Washington Capitals vs Ottawa Senators Prediction 

Washington rolls into this matchup with one of the best records in the NHL to start the season, but they will be on the road for this game. The Capitals are 18-7-1 on the road this year, while the Senators are 14-7-2 at home. Ottawa has won two games in a row and they have allowed two goals or fewer in eight of their last ten games, while Washington has allowed two goals or fewer in eight straight. Take the under in this matchup. 

David Racey's Pick: Under 5.5

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