Washington Capitals vs New York Islanders Prediction 10/11/2025 Today’s NHL Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Capitals vs Rangers Prediction for this NHL game on Saturday, October 11th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.

New York Islanders Preview

The Islanders have a 0-1 record this season, and are 0-1 ATS and 1-0 in over/under. This will be their first home game of the season. They are coming off a 3-4 road defeat in Pittsburgh by the Penguins in their season opener, where they blew a 2-1 lead in the second period. They outshot their opponents by 37-28 and made just 8.1% of those shots, and failed to score and power play goals. The had trouble in power play kill, as they killed just 60% of the Penguins’ power plays, and conceded two power play goals. Kyle Palmieri, Jonathan Drouin and Max Sabanov had one goal each for the Islanders.

Ilya Sorokin is likely in net for the Islanders, and he has a 0-1 record, with 4.16 GAA and .857 SV%.

Washington Capitals Preview

The Capitals have a 0-1 record this season, and are 0-1 ATS and 0-1 in over/under. This will be their first road game of the season. They are coming off a 1-3 home defeat by the Boston Bruins in their season opener, as they never managed to take a lead in the game. They outshot their opponents by 36-22 but made just 2.8% of those shots, and failed to score and power play goals. The had trouble in power play kill, as they killed just 50% of the Bruins’ power plays, and conceded one power play goal. Tom Wilson scored the only goal for the Capitals in this game. 

Charlie Lingdren is likely in net for the Capitals, and he had a 20-15-3 record last season, with 2.65 GAA and .897 SV%.

Washington Capitals @ New York Islanders Betting Trends: October 11, 2025

Why the New York Islanders will win

• The underdogs have won six of the Capitals’ last seven games at UBS Arena.
• The Capitals have lost five of their last seven games as road favorites against opponents on a losing streak.
• The Capitals have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last nine games as road favorites against opponents on a losing streak.
• The Islanders have covered the puck line in each of their last six games as underdogs against the Capitals.
• The Capitals have lost the third period in each of their last seven games against Metropolitan Division opponents when trailing after the second period.

Why the Washington Capitals will win

• The Capitals have won each of their last nine road games following a home loss.
• The Islanders have lost each of their last seven night games against Eastern Conference opponents.
• The Islanders have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last eight night games against Eastern Conference opponents.
• The Capitals have covered the puck line in eight of their last nine road games following a home loss.
• The Capitals have won the third period in each of their last 10 Saturday games as road favorites.

Total Goals Facts

• Ten of the Capitals’ last 11 games as road favorites against opponents on a losing streak have gone OVER the total goals line.
• Seven of the Islanders’ last eight games as home underdogs against opponents on a losing streak have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• Four of the last five games between teams from the same division have gone OVER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in each of the Capitals’ last 12 games following a loss.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in six of the Islanders’ last seven home games against Metropolitan Division opponents.

New York Islanders Player Prop Facts

• Anders Lee has scored a goal in five of the Islanders’ last six games as underdogs against the Capitals.
• Anders Lee has recorded at least one point in each of the Islanders’ last six games as underdogs against the Capitals.
• Jonathan Drouin has recorded an assist in four of his five previous appearances with his team as a home underdog against the Capitals.
• Anders Lee has recorded at least four shots in each of his last three appearances – equal-longest active streak in the league.

Washington Capitals Player Prop Facts

• Alex Ovechkin has scored the last goal in three of his last four appearances with the Capitals as road favorites against the Islanders.
• Alex Ovechkin has scored at least one goal in each of his last four appearances with the Capitals as road favorites against the Islanders.
• Dylan Strome has recorded an assist in each of the Capitals’ last four games as road favorites.
• Dylan Strome has recorded at least one point in 14 of the Capitals’ last 15 games as road favorites against Eastern Conference opponents.
• John Carlson ranks 6th in the league for average time on ice (26:39) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The New York Islanders rank T29th in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (60.00%).
• The New York Islanders rank T1st in the league in short handed goals allowed this season (0).
• The Washington Capitals rank 31st in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (50.00%).
• The Washington Capitals rank T25th in the league for goals per game this season (1.00).

Capitals vs Islanders Prediction

The Capitals were 2-1 against the Islanders last season, and both teams were tied 1-1 wins in their two meetings in New York. The Islanders won by 4-1 and the Caps by 3-1. The Caps are 4-2 in their last 6 meetings against the Islanders, and are 3-2 in their last 5 visits in New York. Under is 5-2 in their last 7 meetings.

In this Capitals vs Islanders Prediction, the Capitals are coming as -120 home favorites. Both teams are coming off losses in their opening games of the season and are looking to bounce back today. Both offenses looked terrible, with the Caps scoring just one goal, and the Islanders having trouble converting shots into goals. Both games in New York last season were low-scoring ones, with 5 and 4 total goals, and most of their recent meetings have been low-scoring ones as well. I don’t expect a lot of goals in this game, as Sorokin was elite last season, so take the under 5.5 goals.