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Washington Capitals vs Calgary Flames Prediction 1/28/25 NHL Picks

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Calgary Flames (24-17-7) vs Washington Capitals (33-11-5)

January 28, 2025 at 09:00 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: Calgary Flames +124 / Washington Capitals -148 — Over/Under: 5.5

(Get latest betting odds)

In this article we will formulate a Washington Capitals vs Calgary Flames prediction for this NHL game on Tuesday, January 28th at the Scotiabank Saddledome in Calgary, Alberta. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup. 

Washington Capitals Betting Preview

The Washington Capitals are 33-11-5 this year after they lost to Vancouver by a score of 2-1 in their last game. Washington trailed 2-0 for most of the game, but they did score late in the third to ruin the shutout. The Capitals outshot Vancouver by a total of 33-25, won 54.5% of the face-offs, and went 0-2 on the power play in the game. Washington got their lone goal from Dubois, while Lindgren stopped 23 out of 25 shots in the game. 

Prior to that loss, the Capitals defeated the Kraken by a score of 3-0 and the Oilers by a score of 3-2. Washington has won six of their last seven games and they are currently first in the Metro standings with 71 points. Washington has scored 3.49 goals per game and they have allowed 2.37 goals against per game, while also averaging 22.6% on the power play and 84.8% on the penalty kill this season. Dylan Strome led Washington with 12 goals, 34 assists, and 85 shots on goal, while Aliaksei Protas added 20 goals, 21 assists, and 84 shots on goal. Logan Thompson is 22-2-3 with a 2.09 goals against average and a .925 save percentage this season. 

Calgary Flames Betting Preview

The Calgary Flames are 24-17-7 this season after they lost to Winnipeg by a score of 5-2 in their last game. Calgary cut the deficit to 2-1 in the second period, but they allowed three of the last four goals in the game for the loss. The Flames were outshot by a total of 27-22, won 45.8% of the face-offs, and went 1-3 on the power play in the game. Calgary got goals from Kadri and Weegar, while Vladar stopped 22 out of 27 shots in the game. 

Prior to that loss, the Flames defeated the Wild by a score of 5-4 and the Sabres by a score of 5-2. Calgary has won three of their last four games and they are currently fourth in the Pacific standings with 55 points. Calgary has scored 2.69 goals per game and they have allowed 2.96 goals against per game, while also going 21.2% on the power play and 71.2% on the penalty kill this season. Jonathan Huberdeau has led Calgary with 19 goals, 17 assists, and 87 shots on goal, while Nazem Kadri has added 17 goals, 17 assists, and 157 shots on goal. Dustin Wolf is 18-7-2 with a 2.54 goals-against average and a .916 save percentage this year. 

Why the Flames will beat the Capitals 

  • The Flames have won each of their last seven games at Scotiabank Saddledome following a road loss.
  • The Capitals have lost two of their last three games as road favorites following a road loss.
  • The Flames have covered the puck line in each of their last five home games following a road loss.
  • The Capitals have failed to cover the puck line in four of their last five games as road favorites following a road loss.

Why the Capitals will beat the Flames 

  • The Capitals have won six of their last seven games.
  • The Capitals have covered the puck line in eight of their last nine games at Scotiabank Saddledome.
  • The Flames have failed to cover the puck line in three of their last four home games.
  • The Flames have lost the second period in four of their last five games as home underdogs against Metropolitan Division opponents.

Total Goals Facts

  • Each of the Capitals’ last seven games against Pacific Division opponents has gone UNDER the total goals line.
  • Seven of the Flames’ last eight games at Scotiabank Saddledome following a road loss have gone UNDER the total goals line.
  • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Capitals’ last five games as favorites against the Flames.
  • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in seven of the Flames’ last eight home games.

Calgary Flames Player Prop Facts

  • Yegor Sharangovich has recorded a point in each of his last four appearances with his team as an underdog against the Capitals.
  • Connor Zary has scored a goal in three of his last four appearances in home games.
  • Blake Coleman has recorded an assist in three of the Flames’ last four home games.

Washington Capitals Player Prop Facts

  • Pierre-Luc Dubois has scored a goal in three of the Capitals’ last four games.
  • Tom Wilson has recorded at least one assist in four of his last five appearances against the Flames after playing less than 20 minutes in the Capitals’ last game.
  • Sonny Milano has recorded a point in each of his four previous appearances at Scotiabank Saddledome.

Washington Capitals vs Calgary Flames Prediction 

Both of these teams come into this matchup playing pretty well, but Calgary will have the home-ice advantage. The Flames have won three of their last four games and they are 15-6-3 at home. Washington has won six of their last seven games and they are 17-7-1 on the road this year. The Capitals are coming off of a loss to Vancouver, but their defense has been elite so far in the season. Washington has allowed two goals or fewer in seven straight games and Thompson has been incredible in net. Take the under in this game. 

David Racey's Pick: Under 5.5

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