| MATCHUP | Vegas Golden Knights | Washington Capitals |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 28-16-14 | 30-23-7 |
| Spread | +1.5 -270 | -1.5 220 |
| Moneyline | -105 | -115 |
| Total | Over 5.5 (-125) | Under 5.5 (105) |
| Where | Capital One Arena, Washington, DC | |
| When | Friday, February 27, 2026 | |
| Time | 07:00 PM EST | |
| TV | MNMT | |
In this article, we will formulate a Golden Knights vs Capitals Prediction for this NHL game on Friday, February 27th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.
Washington Capitals Preview
The Capitals have 67 points this season with a 30-23-7 record, and are 32-28 ATS and 28-30 in over/under. They have a 18-10-3 home record and a 12-13-4 road record and are sitting 4th in the Metropolitan Division. They are coming off a 3-1 home win over the Flyers, and their previous three games were a 4-2 home win over the Predators, a 4-2 road loss to the Flyers, and a 4-1 home win over the Islanders.
Offensively, the Capitals are averaging 3.18 goals per game and are scoring 16.3% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 2.88 goals per game and are killing 79.2% of their opponent’s power plays.
Tom Wilson leads the Capitals with 49 points and 23 goals, while John Carlson leads the team in assists with 36. Logan Thompson is the starting goalie for the Capitals, and he has a 20-16-4 record, with 2.41 GAA and .913 SV%. Charlie Lindgren is the backup goalie and he has a 8-6-3 record, with 3.37 GAA and .884 SV%.
Vegas Golden Knights Preview
The Golden Knights have 70 points this season with a 28-16-14 record, and are 21-37 ATS and 32-23 in over/under. They have a 14-8-7 home record and a 14-8-7 road record and are sitting 1st in the Pacific Division. They are coming off a 6-4 road win over the Kings, and their previous three games were a 4-1 home win over the Kings, a 5-2 home win over the Canucks, and a 4-3 road loss to the Ducks.
Offensively, the Golden Knights are averaging 3.38 goals per game and are scoring 25.7% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 3.05 goals per game and are killing 80.7% of their opponent’s power plays.
Jack Eichel leads the Golden Knights with 68 points and 47 assists, while Pavel Dorofeyev leads the team in goals with 28. Akira Schmid is the starting goalie for the Golden Knights, and he has a 16-6-6 record, with 2.53 GAA and .895 SV%. Adin Hill is the backup goalie and he has a 5-3-3 record, with 3.34 GAA and .865 SV%.
Vegas Golden Knights @ Washington Capitals Betting Trends: February 27, 2026
Why the Washington Capitals will win
- The home team has won seven of the Capitals’ last eight games.
- The Golden Knights have lost seven of their last eight games as underdogs following a road win.
- The Golden Knights have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last nine road games following a road win.
- The Capitals have covered the puck line in seven of their last eight home games against the Golden Knights.
- The Golden Knights have lost the second period in each of their last six road games.
Why the Vegas Golden Knights will win
- The Capitals have lost nine of their last 10 games as home favorites against opponents on a winning streak.
- The underdogs have won three of the last four games between the Golden Knights and Capitals.
- The Capitals have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last 12 games as home favorites against opponents on a winning streak.
- The Golden Knights have covered the puck line in each of their last eight Friday night games.
- The Golden Knights have won the third period in seven of their last eight road games against Metropolitan Division opponents.
Total Goals Facts
- Each of the Capitals’ last five games as favorites following a win have gone UNDER the total goals line.
- Five of the Golden Knights’ last six road games have gone OVER the total goals line.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Golden Knights’ last six road games against opponents on a winning streak.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in 17 of the Capitals’ last 18 games following a home win.
Washington Capitals Player Prop Facts
- Ryan Leonard has scored at least one goal in five of the Capitals’ last six home games against Pacific Division opponents.
- John Carlson has recorded at least one assist in seven of his last eight appearances against Pacific Division opponents.
Vegas Golden Knights Player Prop Facts
- Ivan Barbashev has scored a goal in five of the Golden Knights’ last six games.
- Jack Eichel has recorded at least one assist in each of the Golden Knights’ last eight road games against Metropolitan Division opponents.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Washington Capitals rank 26th in the league in power play percentage this season (16.29%).
- The Washington Capitals rank 6th in the league for Period 3 goals scored per game this season (1.23).
- The Vegas Golden Knights rank 5th in the league in power play percentage this season (25.75%).
- The Vegas Golden Knights rank 8th in the league for goals per game this season (3.38).
Golden Knights vs Capitals Prediction
The Capitals are 3-1 in their last 4 meetings against the Golden Knights and are 3-2 in their last 5 meetings in Washington.
In this Golden Knights vs Capitals Prediction, the Capitals are coming as -115 home favorites. Both teams are coming off wins in their first games after the break and have been in good form lately, as they are 5-1 and 3-0 in their last six and three games respectively. The Caps have been far better at home ice and are playing their second straight game at home, after holding the Flyers into just one goal on Wednesday. On the flip side, Vegas is playing its second straight game on the road and even though they won, they allowed 4 goals in that game. I like the value with the home team in this matchup, so take the Caps on the moneyline.