Vegas Golden Knights vs Pittsburgh Penguins Prediction 3/1/2026 Today’s NHL Picks
Chris Ruffolo
Feb 28, 2026; Tampa, Florida, USA; Buffalo Sabres defenseman Rasmus Dahlin (26) before the game against the Tampa Bay Lightning at Benchmark International Arena. Mandatory Credit: Morgan Tencza-Imagn Images
MATCHUP
Vegas Golden Knights
Pittsburgh Penguins
Team Records
28-17-14
30-15-13
Spread
-1.5 164
+1.5 -198
Moneyline
-148
+124
Total
Over 6.5 (100)
Under 6.5 (-120)
Where
PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh, PA
When
Sunday, March 1, 2026
Time
01:00 PM EST
TV
TNT
The Vegas Golden Knights and the Pittsburgh Penguins meet Sunday in NHL action from the PPG Paints Center. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Vegas Golden Knights vs. Pittsburgh Penguins prediction.
Vegas Golden Knights Recap
The Vegas Golden Knights come into this game looking to bounce back from their 3-2 loss at the hands of Washington to sit at 28-17-14 this season. After this game, Vegas will head on the road for a game against the Buffalo Sabres.
Golden Knights Have Three-Game Win Streak Snapped
Going into the game against Washington, Jack Eichel leads Vegas with 68 points coming on 21 goals and 47 assists. Mitch Marner has 58 points with 16 goals and 42 assists while Pavel Dorofeyev has 44 points with 26 goals and Ivan Barbashev has 41 points with 16 goals and 25 assists. Tomas Hertl’s added 49 points with 22 goals and 27 assists. Mark Stone also has 60 points with 21 goals and 39 assists. In goal for Vegas so far this season, Adin Hill is 4-3-3 with a 3.27 GAA and an .870 save percentage while Akira Schmid is 16-6-6 with a 2.53 GAA and an .895 save percentage this season. Carter Hart is also 5-3-3 with a 3.28 GAA and an .871 save percentage so far this season.
Pittsburgh Penguins Recap
The Pittsburgh Penguins come into this game looking to shake off a 3-2 loss at the hands of the Rangers last time out to sit at 30-15-13 this season. After this game, the Penguins will take on the Boston Bruins on the road.
Penguins Have Two-Game Win Streak Snapped
Going into the game against the Rangers, Sidney Crosby leads Pittsburgh in scoring with 59 points including a team-high 27 goals and 32 assists while Evgeni Malkin has 44 points with 13 goals and 31 assists. Anthony Mantha has 42 points with 20 goals and 22 assists. Erik Karlsson has 31 assists while Bryan Rust has 40 points with 19 goals and 21 assists. Arturs Silovs has gone 11-7-8 with a 2.93 GAA and an .896 save percentage in goal for the Penguins so far this season while Stuart Skinner is 8-4-1 with a 2.72 GAA and an .887 save percentage this year. Sergei Murashov is 1-1-2 with a 2.56 GAA and an .897 save percentage in goal for Pittsburgh this season.
Vegas Golden Knights @ Pittsburgh Penguins Betting Trends: March 1, 2026
Why the Pittsburgh Penguins will win
The home team has won each of the last seven games between the Golden Knights and Penguins.
The Golden Knights have lost four of their last five games as an away favorite when playing with a rest advantage.
The Golden Knights have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last 11 day games.
The Penguins have covered the puck line in each of their last eight games as underdogs.
The Golden Knights have lost the second period in each of their last seven road games.
Why the Vegas Golden Knights will win
The Penguins have lost each of their last six home games against Pacific Division opponents.
The Golden Knights have won four of their last five games against opponents who are on the second leg of a back-to-back.
The Golden Knights have covered the puck line in each of their last five games.
The Penguins have failed to cover the puck line in four of their last five home games against Pacific Division opponents.
The Penguins have lost the third period in each of their last six day games at PPG Paints Arena.
Total Goals Facts
Each of the last four games between the Golden Knights and Penguins have gone UNDER the total goals line.
Five of the Golden Knights’ last six games against Metropolitan Division opponents have gone UNDER the total goals line.
The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in each of the Penguins’ last 12 games after coming off overtime.
The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in 12 of the Golden Knights’ last 13 day games.
Pittsburgh Penguins Player Prop Facts
Tommy Novak has scored a goal in each of the Penguins’ last four games as home underdogs against Pacific Division opponents.
Evgeni Malkin has recorded at least one assist in each of the Penguins’ last six home games.
Samuel Girard has recorded two points against the Golden Knights this season – equal-most against any opponent.
Vegas Golden Knights Player Prop Facts
Mark Stone has scored a goal in each of the Golden Knights’ last three day games.
Jack Eichel has recorded at least one assist in each of his last seven appearances with the Golden Knights as favorites against Metropolitan Division opponents.
Pavel Dorofeyev ranks T2nd in the league for Power Play Goals (15) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
The Pittsburgh Penguins rank 2nd in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (84.12%).
The Pittsburgh Penguins rank 3rd in the league in power play percentage this season (26.14%).
The Vegas Golden Knights rank 5th in the league in power play percentage this season (25.88%).
The Vegas Golden Knights rank T8th in the league for goals per game this season (3.36).
Vegas Golden Knights vs. Pittsburgh Penguins Prediction
I’m on the Penguins here. This is still a solid Golden Knights team, but I don’t necessarily love what they’re bringing to the table in terms of their goaltending this season and while Pittsburgh’s had their moments as well and are on a back-to-back, I still think the Penguins have enough here to get the win at home. Give me Pittsburgh.
