Vegas Golden Knights vs Dallas Stars Prediction 3/22/2026 Today’s NHL Picks

The Vegas Golden Knights and the Dallas Stars meet Sunday in NHL action from the American Airlines Center. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s an Vegas Golden Knights vs. Dallas Stars prediction.

Vegas Golden Knights Recap

The Vegas Golden Knights come into this game looking to bounce back from a 4-1 loss at the hands of the Nashville Predators last time out to sit at 31-25-14 this season. After this game, Vegas will head on the road for a game against the Winnipeg Jets.

Golden Knights Lose 3 Straight

Jack Eichel leads Vegas with 74 points coming on 24 goals and 50 assists. Mitch Marner has 69 points with 19 goals and 50 assists while Pavel Dorofeyev has 57 points with 34 goals and Ivan Barbashev has 48 points with 19 goals and 29 assists. Tomas Hertl’s added 54 points with 24 goals and 30 assists. Mark Stone also has 62 points with 21 goals and 41 assists. In goal for Vegas so far this season, Adin Hill is 8-8-3 with a 3.08 GAA and an .869 save percentage while Akira Schmid is 16-10-6 with a 2.59 GAA and an .893 save percentage this season. Carter Hart is also 5-3-3 with a 3.28 GAA and an .871 save percentage so far this season.

Dallas Stars Recap

The Dallas Stars come into this game looking to bounce back from a 2-1 loss in overtime to the Minnesota Wild last time out to sit at 43-15-11. After this game, Dallas will take on the New Jersey Devils at home.

Stars Alternate Wins & Losses In 4 Straight

Jason Robertson leads the Stars with 82 points including a team-high 38 goals and 44 assists while Mikko Rantanen has 69 points with 20 goals and 49 assists this season. Wyatt Johnston has 74 points with 37 goals and 37 assists and Miro Heiskanen has 58 points with 49 assists as well this season. Roope Hintz has 44 points with 15 goals and 29 assists. Jake Oettinger has gone 29-10-6 with a 2.56 GAA and a .903 save percentage in goal for Dallas while Casey DeSmith has gone 14-5-5 with a 2.40 GAA and a .907 save percentage so far this season.

Vegas Golden Knights @ Dallas Stars Betting Trends: March 22, 2026

Why the Dallas Stars will win

• The Stars have won each of their last 13 Sunday night games at American Airlines Center.
• The Golden Knights have lost each of their last four games at American Airlines Center.
• The Stars have covered the puck line in 10 of their last 12 night games against Pacific Division opponents.
• The Golden Knights have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last three games.
• The Golden Knights have lost the first period in each of their last five games as underdogs following a road loss.

Why the Vegas Golden Knights will win

• The underdogs have won each of the Golden Knights’ last three games.
• The underdogs have covered the puck line in each of the Golden Knights’ last 15 games at American Airlines Center.
• The Stars have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last nine home games after coming off overtime.
• The Golden Knights have won the third period in seven of their last eight night games following a road loss.

Total Goals Facts

• Each of the Golden Knights’ last six games against Western Conference opponents have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• Each of the Stars’ last six home games on the second leg of a back-to-back have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2′ market has hit in each of the Stars’ last six games against Pacific Division opponents.
• The ‘Under 0.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Golden Knights’ last three games as underdogs.

Dallas Stars Player Prop Facts

• Matt Duchene has recorded at least one assist in each of the Stars’ last six games as favorites against Pacific Division opponents.
• Mikko Rantanen has scored at least one goal in four of his last five home appearances against Pacific Division opponents.
• Wyatt Johnston ranks 1st in the league for Power Play Goals (22) this season.

Vegas Golden Knights Player Prop Facts

• Jack Eichel has scored the first goal in three of the Golden Knights’ last four games against the Stars.
• Jack Eichel has scored at least one goal in four of the Golden Knights’ last five games against the Stars.
• Mark Stone has recorded at least one assist in nine of his last 10 appearances after playing the previous day.
• Pavel Dorofeyev ranks 2nd in the league for Power Play Goals (18) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Dallas Stars rank 2nd in the league for goals against per game this season (2.65).
• The Dallas Stars rank 2nd in the league in power play percentage this season (29.05%).
• The Vegas Golden Knights rank T4th in the league in power play percentage this season (24.87%).
• The Vegas Golden Knights rank 7th in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (81.98%).

Vegas Golden Knights vs. Dallas Stars Prediction

I’m on Dallas here. Vegas has talent in spades but I still don’t trust this goaltending room for Vegas whatsoever, and I think Dallas is a better team than what they showed in that blip of a performance against Minnesota on Saturday. I think the Golden Knights are in a tough spot here and I think they struggle once again, give me Dallas.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Dallas -135