Ottawa Senators (45-30-7) vs Toronto Maple Leafs (52-26-4)
Game Info: Saturday, April 26, 2025 at 7:00 pm (Canadian Tire Centre)
The Line: Betting Odds: Ottawa Senators -115 / Toronto Maple Leafs -105 — Over/Under: 5.5
The Toronto Maple Leafs and Ottawa Senators meet Saturday in the NHL playoffs Game 4 at the Canadian Tire Centre. Here’s a Toronto Maple Leafs vs Ottawa Senators Prediction. This article will include a Toronto Maple Leafs vs Ottawa Senators Pick.
Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Preview
The Toronto Maple Leafs look to complete the sweep and make the second round of the playoffs for the third time since the 2012-13 season. The Maple Leafs have won 12 of their last 13 games.
The Toronto Maple Leafs are averaging 4 goals per game and are scoring 55.6 percent of their power-play opportunities. John Tavares leads Toronto with 2 goals, Mitch Marner has 5 assists, and Auston Matthews has 11 shots on goal. Defensively, the Toronto Maple Leafs are allowing 2 goals per game and are killing 77.8 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Anthony Stolarz has allowed 6 goals on 81 shots faced.
Ottawa Senators Betting Preview
The Ottawa Senators need a win to save their season and force a game 5 on Tuesday. The Senators have made the playoffs three times since the 2013-14 season, and they’re in danger of being bounced in the first round twice during that span.
The Ottawa Senators are averaging 2 goals per game and are scoring 22.2 percent of their power play opportunities. Brady Tkachuk leads Ottawa with 2 goals, Claude Giroux has 2 assists and Dylan Cozens has 10 shots on goal. Defensively, the Ottawa Senators are allowing 4 goals per game and are killing 44.4 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Linus Ullmark has allowed 12 goals on 65 shots faced.
Why the Ottawa Senators will win
- The Senators have won six of their last seven home games against Eastern Conference opponents.
- The Maple Leafs have lost seven of their last nine night games at Canadian Tire Centre against opponents on a losing streak.
- The Maple Leafs have failed to cover the puck line in seven of their last eight night games at Canadian Tire Centre against opponents on a losing streak.
- The Senators have covered the puck line in 11 of their last 13 home games against the Maple Leafs.
- The Maple Leafs have lost the third period in four of their last five games as road underdogs when leading after the second period.
Why the Toronto Maple Leafs will win
- The Maple Leafs have won each of their last eight games against Eastern Conference opponents.
- The Senators have lost three of their last four games as home favorites after coming off overtime.
- The Maple Leafs have covered the puck line in 15 of their last 16 games as road underdogs following an overtime win.
- The Senators have failed to cover the puck line in six of their last seven games after coming off overtime.
- The Senators have lost the second period in three of their last four home games against Atlantic Division opponents when trailing after the first period.
Ottawa Senators Player Prop Facts
- Claude Giroux has scored a goal in each of his last four appearances with his team as a home favorite against the Maple Leafs.
- Claude Giroux has recorded at least one assist in each of his last four appearances with his team as a home favorite against the Maple Leafs.
- Drake Batherson has recorded at least one point in each of the Senators’ last seven home games.
- Michael Amadio has scored two goals against the Maple Leafs this season – equal-most against any opponent.
Toronto Maple Leafs Player Prop Facts
- Auston Matthews has scored a goal in each of the Maple Leafs’ last three road games against Eastern Conference opponents.
- Auston Matthews has recorded at least one assist in each of the Maple Leafs’ last four playoff games.
- John Tavares has recorded at least one point in eight of the Maple Leafs’ last nine games as road underdogs.
- William Nylander ranks 2nd in the league for Goals (45) this season.
Toronto Maple Leafs vs Ottawa Senators Injury Report
The Maple Leafs will be without Jani Hakanpaa.
The Ottawa Senators will be without Hayden Hodgson.
Toronto Maple Leafs vs Ottawa Senators Prediction
The Senators play their best hockey at home where 27 of their wins have come so they’re going to be a tough out. The Senators also lost the last two games in overtime. A bounce here or a bounce there, and this series looks different. With that said, I’ve been on the Maple Leafs a lot during this winning stretch and they continue to cash tickets. The Maple Leafs have won 12 of their last 13 games. The Maple Leafs are tired of falling short this time of year and they’re downright rolling right now. The price isn’t good enough to give the Senators a fair look. Pick em prices pretty much, give me the Maple Leafs for the sweep.