Toronto Maple Leafs vs Edmonton Oilers Prediction 2/3/2026 Today’s NHL Picks
Chris Ruffolo
Feb 2, 2026; Calgary, Alberta, CAN; Toronto Maple Leafs center Auston Matthews (34) against the Calgary Flames during the second period at Scotiabank Saddledome. Mandatory Credit: Sergei Belski-Imagn Images
MATCHUP
Toronto Maple Leafs
Edmonton Oilers
Team Records
26-21-9
28-20-8
Spread
+1.5 -142
-1.5 120
Moneyline
+164
-198
Total
Over 6.5 (-142)
Under 6.5 (120)
Where
Rogers Place, Edmonton, AB
When
Tuesday, February 3, 2026
Time
08:30 PM EST
TV
ESPN+
The Toronto Maple Leafs and the Edmonton Oilers meet Tuesday in NHL action from Rogers Place. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Edmonton Oilers prediction.
Toronto Maple Leafs Recap
The Toronto Maple Leafs come into this game looking to add on to their 4-2 win over Calgary last time out to sit at 26-21-9 this season. After this game, Toronto will have their olympic break.
Maple Leafs Win Back-To-Back Games
William Nylander leads the Maple Leafs with 51 points on 18 goals and a team-high 33 assists while John Tavares has 46 points with 19 goals and 27 assists and Matthew Knies has 44 points with 13 goals and 31 assists. Auston Matthews has 47 points with 26 goals and 21 assists and Morgan Rielly has 31 points with 24 assists. Oliver Ekman-Larsson has 33 points with 25 assists. Anthony Stolarz has gone 6-7-1 with a 3.67 GAA and an .876 save percentage in goal for the Maple Leafs while Joseph Woll is 13-7-4 with a 2.92 GAA and a .910 save percentage. Dennis Hildeby is also 5-6-4 with a 2.90 GAA and a .912 save percentage this season.
Edmonton Oilers Recap
The Edmonton Oilers come into this game looking to bounce back from their 7-3 loss to the Minnesota Wild last time out to sit at 28-20-8 this season. After this game, the Oilers will head on the road for a game against Calgary before their break for the olympics.
Oilers Have Three-Game Win Streak Snapped
Connor McDavid leads the Oilers with 95 points including a team-high 34 goals and a team-high 61 assists while Leon Draisaitl has 78 points with 27 goals and 51 assists. Ryan Nugent-Hopkins has 44 points with 12 goals and 32 assists while Evan Bouchard has 60 points with 15 goals and 45 assists. Jack Roslovic also has 23 points with 15 goals and 8 assists and Zach Hyman has 36 points with 22 goals and 14 assists as well this season. Calvin Pickard is 5-6-2 with a 3.68 GAA and an .871 save percentage and Connor Ingram is 6-3-1 with a 2.46 ERA and a .905 save percentage while Tristan Jarry is 6-3-1 with a 3.59 GAA and a .873 save percentage in goal for Edmonton this season.
Toronto Maple Leafs @ Edmonton Oilers Betting Trends: February 3, 2026
Why the Edmonton Oilers will win
The Oilers have won 10 of their last 11 night games at Rogers Place following a home loss.
The Maple Leafs have lost six of their last seven games when playing with a rest disadvantage.
The Maple Leafs have failed to cover the puck line in seven of their last eight games.
The Oilers have covered the puck line in each of their last three games when playing with a rest advantage against Maple Leafs.
The Oilers have won the second period in each of their last 10 games when leading after the first period.
Why the Toronto Maple Leafs will win
The Maple Leafs have won four of their last five games as road underdogs against the Oilers.
The Oilers have lost four of their last six games as home favorites against Atlantic Division opponents.
The Oilers have failed to cover the puck line in 10 of their last 11 home games against Atlantic Division opponents.
The road team has covered the puck line in five of the Oilers’ last six games.
The Oilers have lost the second period in seven of their last eight games against Eastern Conference opponents when trailing after the first period.
Total Goals Facts
Each of the last four games between the Maple Leafs and Oilers have gone OVER the total goals line.
Five of the Maple Leafs’ last six games against the Oilers following a road win have gone OVER the total goals line.
The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Oilers’ last seven games against opponents on a winning streak.
The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in 15 of the Maple Leafs’ last 16 games as underdogs.
Edmonton Oilers Player Prop Facts
Zach Hyman has scored at least one goal in four of the Oilers’ last five games against Atlantic Division opponents.
Leon Draisaitl has recorded at least one assist in eight of the Oilers’ last nine games against Atlantic Division opponents.
Connor McDavid ranks 1st in the league for Points (95) this season.
Toronto Maple Leafs Player Prop Facts
William Nylander has scored a goal in five of his last six appearances in night games.
Matthew Knies has recorded at least one assist in each of the Maple Leafs’ last four games as underdogs against Pacific Division opponents.
Steven Lorentz has recorded two points against the Oilers this season – equal-most against any opponent.
Matchup/League Facts
The Edmonton Oilers rank 1st in the league in power play percentage this season (31.17%).
The Edmonton Oilers rank 3rd in the league for goals per game this season (3.45).
The Toronto Maple Leafs rank 5th in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (83.57%).
The Toronto Maple Leafs rank 27th in the league for goals against per game this season (3.41).
Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Edmonton Oilers Prediction
I’m on the over here. I don’t love the back-to-back spot for the Maple Leafs, especially with Anthony Stolarz looking like the starter here and looking shaky since coming back from injury. On the other side, the Oilers, whether it’s been by their hand or not, have found themselves in a ton of high-scoring games as of late and I think this one’s going to be high-scoring too. Give me the over.
