| MATCHUP | Toronto Maple Leafs | Colorado Avalanche |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 22-15-7 | 33-4-7 |
| Spread | +1.5 -125 | -1.5 105 |
| Moneyline | +195 | -238 |
| Total | Over 6.5 (-118) | Under 6.5 (-102) |
| Where | Ball Arena, Denver, CO | |
| When | Monday, January 12, 2026 | |
| Time | 10:00 PM EST | |
| TV | ESPN+ | |
Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Preview
The Toronto Maple Leafs beat the Flyers and Canucks, and they play the Mammoth next. The Maple Leafs have won 5 of their last 6 games.
The Toronto Maple Leafs are averaging 3.36 goals per game and are scoring 17.3 percent of their power-play opportunities. Auston Matthews leads Toronto with 21 goals, William Nylander has 29 assists, and John Tavares has 110 shots on goal. Defensively, the Toronto Maple Leafs are allowing 3.16 goals per game and are killing 85.3 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Joseph Woll has allowed 40 goals on 491 shots faced, while Dennis Hildeby has given up 37 goals on 431 shots.
Colorado Avalanche Betting Preview
The Colorado Avalanche beat the Senators and Blue Jackets, and they play the Predators next. The Avalanche have won 11 of their last 13 games.
The Colorado Avalanche are averaging 4.05 goals per game and are scoring on 16.6 percent of their power play opportunities. Nathan MacKinnon leads Colorado with 36 goals, Cale Makar has 38 assists and Artturi Lehkonen has 110 shots on goal. Defensively, the Colorado Avalanche are allowing 2.16 goals per game and are killing 85.6 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Scott Wedgewood has given up 59 goals on 715 shots faced, and Mackenzie Blackwood has allowed 30 goals on 394 shots.
Why the Colorado Avalanche will win
- The Avalanche have won each of their last 17 games at Ball Arena.
- The Maple Leafs have lost six of their last seven road games following a home win.
- The Avalanche have covered the puck line in each of their last seven games at Ball Arena following a home win.
- The Maple Leafs have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last four games against Central Division opponents.
- The Maple Leafs have lost the third period in five of their last six road games against Central Division opponents.
Why the Toronto Maple Leafs will win
- The Maple Leafs have won 12 of their last 13 Monday games as underdogs.
- The Maple Leafs have covered the puck line in each of their last eight Monday games as underdogs.
- The Avalanche have lost the second period in three of their last four games when trailing after the first period.
Total Goals Facts
- Six of the Avalanche’s last seven night games against opponents on a winning streak have gone UNDER the total goals line.
- Five of the Maple Leafs’ last six road games following a win have gone UNDER the total goals line.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1’ market has hit in 12 of the Avalanche’s last 13 games against Atlantic Division opponents.
- The ‘Over 2.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Maple Leafs’ last five games at Ball Arena.
Colorado Avalanche Player Prop Facts
- Martin Necas has recorded at least one assist in eight of his last nine home appearances against Atlantic Division opponents.
- Brock Nelson has scored at least one goal in each of the Avalanche’s last four games against Atlantic Division opponents at Ball Arena.
Toronto Maple Leafs Player Prop Facts
- Auston Matthews has recorded at least one assist in five of the Maple Leafs’ last six road games against the Avalanche.
- William Nylander has scored at least one goal in each of his last three appearances.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Colorado Avalanche rank 1st in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (85.60%).
- The Colorado Avalanche are one of only two teams in the league to rank top 5 for both goals for and goals against per game this season.
- The Toronto Maple Leafs rank 32nd in the league for shots against per game this season (31.1).
- The Toronto Maple Leafs rank T1st in the league for power play goals against this season (17).
Toronto Maple Leafs vs Colorado Avalanche Prediction
I considered the Maple Leafs and the big plus money, as Toronto has the talent and offensive spark to steal a game like this. The Maple Leafs are also playing their best hockey of the season. However, the Maple Leafs haven’t had success on the road this season, and they’re playing an Avs side that just doesn’t lose at home. These prices are getting more and more out of control, but the Avalanche just don’t lose. I’ll side with the Avs and the PL for max betting value, but I was close to taking a shot in the dark with the Maple Leafs.