| MATCHUP | Tampa Bay Lightning | Winnipeg Jets |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 38-17-4 | 24-26-10 |
| Spread | -1.5 136 | +1.5 -162 |
| Moneyline | -192 | +160 |
| Total | Over 5.5 (-130) | Under 5.5 (110) |
| Where | Canada Life Centre, Winnipeg, MB | |
| When | Thursday, March 5, 2026 | |
| Time | 08:00 PM EST | |
| TV | ESPN+ | |
Tampa Bay Lightning Betting Preview
The Tampa Bay Lightning lost to the Wild and Sabres, and they play the Maple Leafs next. The Lightning have won 9 of their last 13 games.
The Tampa Bay Lightning are averaging 3.49 goals per game and are scoring on 21.5 percent of their power-play opportunities. Nikita Kucherov leads Tampa Bay with 32 goals, Jake Guentzel has 38 assists, and Brandon Hagel has 164 shots on goal. Defensively, the Tampa Bay Lightning are allowing 2.64 goals per game and are killing 83 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Andrei Vasilevskiy has allowed 89 goals on 1,029 shots faced, while Jonas Johansson has given up 59 goals on 537 shots.
Winnipeg Jets Betting Preview
The Winnipeg Jets beat the Blackhawks and lost to the Sharks, and they play the Canucks next. The Jets have lost 7 of their last 11 games.
The Winnipeg Jets are averaging 2.83 goals per game and are scoring 18.3 percent of their power play opportunities. Mark Scheifele leads Winnipeg with 28 goals, Kyle Connor has 41 assists, and Gabriel Vilardi has 116 shots on goal. Defensively, the Winnipeg Jets are allowing 3.07 goals per game and are killing 79.1 percent of their opponents’ power plays. Connor Hellebuyck has given up 109 goals on 1,090 shots faced, and Eric Comrie has allowed 56 goals on 523 shots.
Why the Winnipeg Jets will win
- The Jets have won four of their last five games as home underdogs against the Lightning.
- The Lightning have lost six of their last nine games as favorites following a road loss.
- The Jets have covered the puck line in each of their last seven games as home underdogs following an overtime win.
- The Lightning have failed to cover the puck line in six of their last seven games at Canada Life Centre.
- The Lightning have lost the first period in five of their last six road games.
Why the Tampa Bay Lightning will win
- The Jets have lost 12 of their last 13 night games against Atlantic Division opponents.
- The Lightning have won four of their last five games against Central Division opponents.
- The Lightning have covered the puck line in each of their last four road games following a road loss.
- The Jets have failed to cover the puck line in five of their last six night games against Atlantic Division opponents.
- The Jets have lost the third period in six of their last seven games after coming off overtime.
Total Goals Facts
- Eight of the Lightning’s last nine night games against Central Division opponents have gone UNDER the total goals line.
- Each of the Jets’ last five games at Canada Life Centre against opponents on a losing streak has gone OVER the total goals line.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2’ market has hit in 12 of the Lightning’s last 13 games as favorites against the Jets.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3’ market has hit in each of the last six games between the Lightning and Jets at Canada Life Centre.
Winnipeg Jets Player Prop Facts
- Kyle Connor has scored a goal in three of the Jets’ last four night games.
- Kyle Connor has recorded at least one assist in nine of the Jets’ last 11 games as underdogs.
- Jonathan Toews has recorded at least four shots in each of his last zero appearances—the [longest/equal-longest] active streak in the league.
Tampa Bay Lightning Player Prop Facts
- Victor Hedman has recorded at least one assist in each of his last four appearances against the Jets.
- Nikita Kucherov has scored at least one goal in 11 of the Lightning’s last 13 road games.
- Zemgus Girgensons has recorded at least four shots in each of his last zero appearances—the [longest/equal-longest] active streak in the league.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Winnipeg Jets have suffered the most losses when leading after Period 2 this season (9).
- The Winnipeg Jets rank 32nd in the league for Period 3 goals scored per game this season (0.80).
- The Tampa Bay Lightning rank 4th in the league for goals per game this season (3.49).
- The Tampa Bay Lightning rank 5th in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (82.98%).
Tampa Bay Lightning vs Winnipeg Jets Prediction
The Jets have won 6 of the last 9 games against the Lightning so you can talk yourself into the plus money. However, the Lightning don’t string losses together often and they’ve been far and away the more trustworthy team this season. Also, the Jets have played four straight overtime games, so we could see some tired legs here. That’s a lot of hockey coming off the break. Give me the Lightning and the PL for max betting value.