| MATCHUP | Tampa Bay Lightning | Washington Capitals |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 1-2-1 | 3-1-0 |
| Where | Capital One Arena, Washington, DC | |
| When | Tuesday, October 14, 2025 | |
| Time | 07:00 PM EDT | |
| TV | ESPN | |
The Tampa Bay Lightning and the Washington Capitals meet Tuesday in NHL action from the Capital One Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Washington Capitals prediction.
Tampa Bay Lightning Recap
The Tampa Bay Lightning come into this game looking to add on to their 4-3 win over the Boston Bruins last time out to sit at 1-2 on the year. After this game, Tampa Bay will head on the road for a game against the Detroit Red Wings.
Lightning Looking To Add On To First Win
Jake Guentzel leads the Lightning with 4 assists while Brayden Point has 4 points with a goal and 3 assists. Maxwell Crozier and Gage Goncalves each have 3 assists while Oliver Bjorkstrand and Darren Raddysh each have a goal and 2 assists for their 3 points. Victor Hedman has 2 assists and Pontus Holmberg has a goal and an assist while Anthony Cirelli, Yanni Gourde and Nikita Kucherov each have 2 goals so far this season. Ryan McDonagh’s chipped in a goal as well while Brandon Hagel’s added an assist. Andrei Vasilevskiy is 0-2 with a 4.67 GAA and an .855 save percentage in goal for Tampa Bay so far this season while Jonas Johansson is 1-0 with a 3.02 GAA and a .909 save percentage so far this season.
Washington Capitals Recap
The Washington Capitals come into this game looking to add on to their 1-0 win over the Rangers last time out to sit at 2-1 this season. After this game, the Capitals will take on the Minnesota Wild in a game at home.
Capitals Win Back-To-Back Games
Aliaksei Protas has 4 points with 2 goals and 2 assists while Jakob Chychrun has a team-high 3 assists. Alex Ovechkin has 2 assists and Tom Wilson has a goal and an assist so far this season. Ryan Leonard, Martin Fehervary and Anthony Beauvillier each have a goal while Declan Chisholm and John Carlson each have an assist. Logan Thompson has gone 1-1 with a 2.03 GAA and a .930 save percentage in goal for Washington while Charlie Lindgren’s gone 1-0 with a 0.00 GAA and a 1.000 save percentage so far this season.
Tampa Bay Lightning @ Washington Capitals Betting Trends: October 14, 2025
Why the Washington Capitals will win
- The Lightning have lost each of their last seven night games.
- The Capitals have won each of their last six night games at Capital One Arena following a road win.
- The Lightning have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last seven night games.
- The Capitals have covered the puck line in each of their last six night games at Capital One Arena following a road win.
- The Lightning have lost the third period in each of their last seven night games.
Why the Tampa Bay Lightning will win
- The road team has won seven of the Lightning’s last eight games.
- The Capitals have lost three of their last four home games.
- The Capitals have failed to cover the puck line in five of their last six games.
- The underdogs have covered the puck line in five of the Lightning’s last six games at Capital One Arena.
- The Capitals have lost the third period in 10 of their last 11 games against Eastern Conference opponents when trailing after the second period.
Total Goals Facts
- Each of the Capitals’ last eight home games have gone UNDER the total goals line.
- Each of the Lightning’s last six games have gone OVER the total goals line.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2’ market has hit in each of the Lightning’s last 14 Tuesday games.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in four of the Capitals’ last five games following a road win.
Washington Capitals Player Prop Facts
- Tom Wilson has scored a goal in each of the Capitals’ last three games against Atlantic Division opponents.
- John Carlson has recorded at least one assist in each of the Capitals’ last nine Tuesday games against Eastern Conference opponents at Capital One Arena.
- Tom Wilson has recorded at least one point in each of the Capitals’ last nine home games against Atlantic Division opponents.
- Anthony Beauvillier has recorded at least four shots in each of his last zero appearances – [longest/equal-longest] active streak in the league.
Tampa Bay Lightning Player Prop Facts
- Nikita Kucherov has scored at least one goal in four of his last five appearances after playing the previous day.
- Jake Guentzel has recorded at least one assist in each of his last four appearances in night games at Capital One Arena.
- Jake Guentzel has recorded at least one point in 11 of his last 12 road appearances after playing less than 20 minutes the previous day.
- Jake Guentzel ranks T1st in the league for multi-assist games (2) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Washington Capitals rank 31st in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (57.14%).
- The Washington Capitals rank T3rd in the league for goals against per game this season (1.67).
- The Tampa Bay Lightning rank T28th in the league for goals against per game this season (4.33).
- The Tampa Bay Lightning rank T6th in the league in power play percentage this season (25.00%).
Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Washington Capitals Prediction
I’m on the Capitals here. The Lightning weren’t the best team on a back-to-back last year and Washington was really good at taking advantage of their rest advantage when they had it. Washington’s been really solid out of the gate defensively and I think the Caps defend home ice here. Give me the Capitals at home in this one.