| MATCHUP | Tampa Bay Lightning | Pittsburgh Penguins |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 28-13-3 | 21-14-9 |
| Spread | -1.5 185 | +1.5 -225 |
| Moneyline | -135 | +114 |
| Total | Over 6.5 (105) | Under 6.5 (-125) |
| Where | PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh, PA | |
| When | Tuesday, January 13, 2026 | |
| Time | 07:00 PM EST | |
| TV | ESPN+ | |
The Tampa Bay Lightning and the Pittsburgh Penguins meet Tuesday in NHL action from the PPG Paints Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Pittsburgh Penguins prediction.
Tampa Bay Lightning Recap
The Tampa Bay Lightning come into this game looking to add on to their 5-1 win over Philadelphia in their last game to sit at 28-13-3 this season. After this game, Tampa Bay will head on the road again for a game against the St. Louis Blues.
Lightning’s Win Streak Hits Double-Digits
Nikita Kucherov leads the Lightning in scoring with 65 points including 22 goals and 43 assists while Brandon Hagel has 39 points with 21 goals and 18 assists and Jake Guentzel has 45 points with 19 goals and 26 assists. Anthony Cirelli has 27 points with 12 goals and 15 assists. Darren Raddysh has also added 37 points with 12 goals and 25 assists as well on the year. Andrei Vasilevskiy has gone 18-7-2 with a 2.33 GAA and a .913 save percentage while Jonas Johansson is 9-6-1 with a 2.83 GAA and an .894 save percentage this season.
Pittsburgh Penguins Recap
The Pittsburgh Penguins come into this game looking to shake off a 1-0 loss at the hands of Boston last time out to sit at 21-14-9 this season. After this game, Pittsburgh will take on the Philadelphia Flyers at home.
Penguins Drop Back-To-Back Games
Sidney Crosby leads Pittsburgh in scoring with 49 points including a team-high 24 goals and 25 assists while Evgeni Malkin has 31 points with 9 goals and 22 assists. Anthony Mantha has 29 points with 14 goals and 15 assists. Erik Karlsson has 29 assists while Bryan Rust has 36 points with 16 goals and 20 assists. Arturs Silovs has gone 8-6-6 with a 3.18 GAA and an .888 save percentage in goal for the Penguins so far this season while Stuart Skinner is 3-4 with a 2.34 GAA and an .899 save percentage this year. Sergei Murashov is 1-1-2 with a 2.56 GAA and an .897 save percentage in goal for Pittsburgh this season.
Tampa Bay Lightning @ Pittsburgh Penguins Betting Trends: January 13, 2026
Why the Pittsburgh Penguins will win
- The underdogs have won each of the Penguins’ last five games.
- The Lightning have lost three of their last five games as road favorites on the second leg of a back-to-back.
- The underdogs have covered the puck line in each of the Penguins’ last seven games.
- The Lightning have failed to cover the puck line in four of their last five games at PPG Paints Arena.
- The home team has won the first period in seven of the last eight games between the Lightning and Penguins.
Why the Tampa Bay Lightning will win
- The Lightning have won each of their last 10 games.
- The Penguins have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last six night games against Atlantic Division opponents.
- The Lightning have covered the puck line in each of their last five games.
- The Lightning have won the first period in seven of their last eight games as road favorites.
Total Goals Facts
- Each of the Lightning’s last eight night games against Eastern Conference opponents have gone OVER the total goals line.
- Each of the Penguins’ last six home games against the Lightning following a road loss have gone OVER the total goals line.
- Seven of the last eight Tuesday night games between teams from different divisions have gone OVER the total goals line.
- The ‘Over 2.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in four of the Penguins’ last five night games at PPG Paints Arena.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2’ market has hit in 13 of the Lightning’s last 14 games as favorites against the Penguins.
Pittsburgh Penguins Player Prop Facts
- Sidney Crosby has scored at least one goal in three of the Penguins’ last four home games against Eastern Conference opponents.
- Erik Karlsson has recorded at least one assist in seven of the Penguins’ last eight home games.
- Evgeni Malkin has scored two goals against the Lightning this season – equal-most against any opponent.
Tampa Bay Lightning Player Prop Facts
- Nikita Kucherov has scored at least one goal in each of the Lightning’s last six road games.
- Nikita Kucherov has recorded at least one assist in each of the Lightning’s last six games.
- Brandon Hagel has scored a goal in each of his last four appearances – equal-longest active streak in the league.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Pittsburgh Penguins rank 3rd in the league in power play percentage this season (28.57%).
- The Pittsburgh Penguins rank 7th in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (82.31%).
- The Tampa Bay Lightning rank 2nd in the league for goals per game this season (3.57).
- The Tampa Bay Lightning rank 2nd in the league for goals against per game this season (2.59).
Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Pittsburgh Penguins Prediction
I’m on the Lightning here. This is just riding the hot hand until it cools off, as the Lightning usually have a couple of these runs they get into where they look unstoppable. Pittsburgh’s offense is just far too inconsistent for my liking right now and at this price I have to look at the Bolts in this one.