Tampa Bay Lightning vs New York Rangers Prediction 11/29/2025 Today’s NHL Picks
Chris Ruffolo
Nov 24, 2025; New York, New York, USA; New York Rangers left wing Artemi Panarin (10) plays the puck defended by St. Louis Blues center Brayden Schenn (10) during the second period at Madison Square Garden. Mandatory Credit: Dennis Schneidler-Imagn Images
MATCHUP
Tampa Bay Lightning
New York Rangers
Team Records
15-7-2
13-11-2
Spread
+1.5 -258
-1.5 210
Moneyline
-105
-115
Total
Over 6.5 (-105)
Under 6.5 (-115)
Where
Madison Square Garden, New York, NY
When
Saturday, November 29, 2025
Time
02:00 PM EST
TV
NHL Net
The Tampa Bay Lightning and the New York Rangers meet Saturday in NHL action from Madison Square Garden. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Tampa Bay Lightning vs. New York Rangers prediction.
Tampa Bay Lightning Recap
The Tampa Bay Lightning come into this game looking to build on their 6-3 win over the Detroit Red Wings to sit at 15-7-2 this season. After this game, Tampa Bay will head on the road for a game against the New York Islanders.
Lightning Win 6 Straight
Nikita Kucherov leads the Lightning in scoring with 29 points including 11 goals and 18 assists while Brandon Hagel has 25 points with 13 goals and 12 assists and Jake Guentzel has 26 points with a team-high 13 goals and 13 assists. Victor Hedman has 12 assists and Anthony Cirelli has 17 points with 9 goals and 8 assists. Brayden Point’s also added 11 points with 3 goals and 8 assists as well on the year. Andrei Vasilevskiy has gone 11-5-2 with a 2.32 GAA and a .918 save percentage while Jonas Johansson is 4-2 with a 3.22 GAA and an .893 save percentage this season.
New York Rangers Recap
The New York Rangers come into this game looking to add on their 6-2 win over Boston last time out to sit at 13-11-2 this season. After this game, the Rangers will take on the Dallas Stars at home.
Rangers Win 3 In A Row
Artemi Panarin has 26 points with 8 goals and 18 assists while Adam Fox has 25 points with a team-high 22 assists. JT Miller has 13 points with 6 goals and 7 assists while Will Cuylle has 15 points with 7 goals and 8 assists and Mika Zibanejad has 18 points with 9 goals and 9 assists. Alexis Lafreniere also has 14 points with 8 assists as well this season. Igor Shesterkin has gone 10-8-2 with a 2.45 GAA and a .911 save percentage while Jonathan Quick is 3-3 with a 1.69 GAA and a .944 save percentage in goal for the Rangers so far this season.
Tampa Bay Lightning @ New York Rangers Betting Trends: November 29, 2025
Why the New York Rangers will win
The Lightning have lost each of their last six road games following a road win.
The favorites have won each of the Lightning’s last six games at Madison Square Garden.
The favorites have covered the puck line in each of the Lightning’s last six games at Madison Square Garden.
The Lightning have failed to cover the puck line in 10 of their last 12 games at Madison Square Garden.
The Lightning have lost the second period in each of their last six road games against Eastern Conference opponents when leading after the first period.
Why the Tampa Bay Lightning will win
The Rangers have lost eight of their last nine games as home favorites against Eastern Conference opponents.
The Lightning have won each of their last seven games against opponents on a winning streak.
The Lightning have covered the puck line in each of their last eight road games.
The Rangers have failed to cover the puck line in nine of their last 10 games as home favorites against Eastern Conference opponents.
The Rangers have lost the third period in each of their last four home games following a road win.
Total Goals Facts
Each of the Rangers’ last six home games against Eastern Conference opponents have gone UNDER the total goals line.
Each of the Lightning’s last four day games against Eastern Conference opponents have gone OVER the total goals line.
The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2′ market has hit in each of the Rangers’ last 11 day games against opponents on a winning streak.
The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1’ market has hit in each of the Lightning’s last six day games.
New York Rangers Player Prop Facts
Mika Zibanejad has scored at least one goal in four of the Rangers’ last five games as favorites.
Vincent Trocheck has recorded at least one assist in seven of his last eight appearances after playing the previous day.
J.T. Miller has recorded at least one point in each of his last nine home appearances against former teams.
Adam Fox ranks 1st in the league for multi-assist games (8) this season.
Tampa Bay Lightning Player Prop Facts
Brandon Hagel has scored at least one goal in each of the Lightning’s last four games.
Nikita Kucherov has recorded at least one assist in each of the Lightning’s last six games.
Jake Guentzel has recorded at least one point in 12 of his last 13 road appearances after playing less than 20 minutes the previous day.
Anthony Cirelli ranks 1st amongst qualified players for shooting percentage (29.0%) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
The New York Rangers rank 3rd in the league for goals against per game this season (2.58).
The New York Rangers rank 28th in the league for goals per game this season (2.69).
The Tampa Bay Lightning rank 1st in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (88.46%).
The Tampa Bay Lightning are one of five teams to rank in the top 10 for both goals scored and goals conceded per game this season.
Tampa Bay Lightning vs. New York Rangers Prediction
I’m on the Lightning in this one. This feels like a coin flip game in the battle of the backups, but the Lightning are the hotter team continuing to crush it on the road and while the Rangers have started to win games at home, they beat St. Louis and Nashville, two of the more disappointing teams in the league this season and I think the Lightning are going to be a very tough test that I don’t know if they’re going to pass. Give me the Bolts in this one.
