Tampa Bay Lightning vs New York Rangers Prediction 10/13/2026 Today’s NHL Picks

Chris Ruffolo

9 minutes ago

Oct 1, 2026; New York, New York, USA; New York Rangers center Joseph Veleno (90) brings the puck up ice against the Tampa Bay Lightning during the third period at Madison Square Garden. Mandatory Credit: Brad Penner-Imagn Images

MATCHUP	Tampa Bay Lightning	New York Rangers
Team Records	4-1-0	5-2-0
Spread	-1.5 154	+1.5 -185
Moneyline	-162	+136
Total	Over 5.5 (-135)	Under 5.5 (114)
Where	Madison Square Garden, New York, NY
When	Tuesday, October 13, 2026
Time	07:15 PM EDT
TV	ESPN+

The Tampa Bay Lightning and the New York Rangers meet Tuesday in NHL action from Madison Square Garden. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Tampa Bay Lightning vs. New York Rangers prediction.

Tampa Bay Lightning Recap

The Tampa Bay Lightning come into this game looking to add on to their 5-3 win over the Islanders last time out to sit at 4-1 this season. After this game, the Lightning will head home for a game against the Seattle Kraken.

Lightning Win 4 In A Row

Nikita Kucherov and Brandon Hagel lead the Tampa Bay Lightning through five games this season with 8 points each, with Kucherov totaling a team-high 7 assists and a goal, while Hagel contributes a team-high 4 goals alongside 4 assists. Jake Guentzel sits in second with 6 points on 3 goals and 3 assists, while John Carlson has recorded 4 points with 2 goals and 2 assists. Ilya Mikheyev and Brayden Point each have 3 points with a goal and 2 assists apiece, while Anthony Cirelli, Maxwell Crozier, and Pontus Holmberg sit at 2 points each. Erik Cernak, Ryan McDonagh, Charle-Edouard D’Astous, Zemgus Girgensons, Conor Geekie, and Victor Hedman round out Tampa Bay’s scoring with 1 point apiece. In net, Andrei Vasilevskiy holds a 3-1-0 record with a 2.29 GAA and an .892 save percentage after stopping 74 of 83 shots, while Dennis Hildeby won his lone start with a 2.01 GAA and a .944 save percentage after stopping 34 of 36 shots for the Lightning up to this point in the season.

New York Rangers Recap

The New York Rangers come into this game looking to add on to their 6-2 win over the Vancouver Canucks last time out to sit at 5-2 this season. After this game, the Rangers will head on the road for a game against the New Jersey Devils.

Rangers Win 5 Of Last 6

Alexis Lafreniere leads the New York Rangers through seven games this season with a team-high 8 points, totaling 5 goals and 3 assists. Mika Zibanejad sits in second with 7 points on a goal and 6 assists, while Gabe Perreault and Adam Fox each have 6 points, with Perreault netting 3 goals and 3 assists and Fox chipping in 6 assists. J.T. Miller, Will Cuylle, and Vladislav Gavrikov sit at 5 points apiece, while Tye Kartye and Eeli Tolvanen record 4 points each. Pavel Dorofeyev, Oliver Bjorkstrand, and Sean Durzi have each recorded 3 points, while Noah Laba and Braden Schneider round out New York’s scoring with 2 and 1 points respectively. In net, Igor Shesterkin holds a 3-1-0 record with a 1.79 GAA and a .927 save percentage after stopping 101 of 109 shots, while Dylan Garand posts a 2-1-0 mark with a 1.20 GAA and a .945 save percentage after stopping 52 of 55 shots for the Rangers up to this point in the season.

Tampa Bay Lightning @ New York Rangers Betting Trends: October 13, 2026

Why the New York Rangers will win

The underdogs have won each of the last four games between the Lightning and Rangers.
The Lightning have lost each of their last five games at Madison Square Garden when playing with a rest advantage.
The Rangers have covered the puck line in 11 of their last 12 home games.
The Lightning have failed to cover the puck line in nine of their last 10 road games.
The Rangers have won the third period in 11 of their last 12 home games.

Why the Tampa Bay Lightning will win

The Lightning have won each of their last four games.
The Rangers have lost five of their last six night games at Madison Square Garden against opponents on a winning streak.
The favorites have covered the puck line in each of the Rangers’ last four games.
The Rangers have failed to cover the puck line in three of their last four games as underdogs following a win.
The Lightning have won the third period in nine of their last 10 games as favorites against Metropolitan Division opponents when leading after the second period.

Total Goals Facts

Each of the Lightning’s last five road games following a road win have gone OVER the total goals line.
Each of the Rangers’ last four home games against Eastern Conference opponents have gone OVER the total goals line.
Ten of the last 11 Tuesday games at Madison Square Garden have gone UNDER the total goals line.
The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1’ market has hit in each of the Lightning’s last four road games against Metropolitan Division opponents.
The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Rangers’ last three games as home underdogs.

New York Rangers Player Prop Facts

Mika Zibanejad has scored at least one goal in six of his last seven appearances with the Rangers as home underdogs against the Lightning.
Mika Zibanejad has recorded at least one assist in each of the Rangers’ last eight home games.
Adam Fox has recorded two assists against the Lightning this season – most against any opponent.

Tampa Bay Lightning Player Prop Facts

Brandon Hagel has scored at least one goal in seven of his last nine road appearances against Eastern Conference opponents.
Nikita Kucherov has recorded at least one assist in each of the Lightning’s last four games.
Nikita Kucherov ranks T1st in the league for multi-assist games (3) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

The New York Rangers rank 3rd in the league for goals against per game this season (1.86).
The New York Rangers rank T6th in the league in power play percentage this season (26.32%).
The Tampa Bay Lightning rank 6th in the league for goals against per game this season (2.40).
The Tampa Bay Lightning rank 26th in the league in power play percentage this season (10.00%).