| MATCHUP | Tampa Bay Lightning | Florida Panthers |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 8-6-2 | 9-7-1 |
| Spread | +1.5 -230 | -1.5 190 |
| Moneyline | +114 | -135 |
| Total | Over 5.5 (-122) | Under 5.5 (102) |
| Where | Amerant Bank Arena, Sunrise, FL | |
| When | Saturday, November 15, 2025 | |
| Time | 05:00 PM EST | |
| TV | ESPN+ | |
Tampa Bay Lightning Betting Preview
The Tampa Bay Lightning beat the Capitals, lost to the Rangers, and they play the Canucks next. The Lightning have won 7 of their last 9 games.
The Tampa Bay Lightning are averaging 3.06 goals per game and are scoring on 17 percent of their power play opportunities. Jake Guentzel leads Tampa Bay with 7 goals, Victor Hedman has 12 assists, and Brandon Hagel has 44 shots on goal. Defensively, the Tampa Bay Lightning are allowing 3 goals per game and are killing 88.2 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Andrei Vasilevskiy has allowed 34 goals on 316 shots faced, while Jonas Johansson has given up 12 goals on 138 shots.
Florida Panthers Betting Preview
The Florida Panthers beat the Golden Knights and Capitals, and they play the Canucks next. The Panthers have won 4 of their last 6 games.
The Florida Panthers are averaging 2.82 goals per game and are scoring 20 percent of their power-play opportunities. Brad Marchand leads Florida with 11 goals, Anton Lundell has 10 assists, and Sam Reinhart has 50 shots on goal. Defensively, the Florida Panthers are allowing 2.94 goals per game and are killing 78 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Sergei Bobrovsky has allowed 32 goals on 298 shots faced, while Daniil Tarasov has given up 13 goals on 132 shots.
Why the Florida Panthers will win
- The Panthers have won each of their last seven night games against the Lightning following a home win.
- The Lightning have lost 11 of their last 12 night games against Eastern Conference opponents.
- The Lightning have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last six night games against Atlantic Division opponents.
- The Panthers have covered the puck line in three of their last four games.
- The Lightning have lost the second period in each of their last five games against Eastern Conference opponents when leading after the first period.
Why the Tampa Bay Lightning will win
- The Lightning have won four of their last five games as underdogs following a home loss.
- The Panthers have lost each of their last three games as favorites following a home win.
- The underdogs have covered the puck line in 15 of the Lightning’s last 16 games.
- The Panthers have failed to cover the puck line in seven of their last eight games following a home win.
Total Goals Facts
- Eight of the last nine night games between two teams from the Atlantic Division have gone OVER the total goals line.
- Ten of the Lightning’s last 12 games against Atlantic Division opponents have gone OVER the total goals line.
- Twelve of the Panthers’ last 15 home night games following a home win have gone UNDER the total goals line.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1’ market has hit in each of the Lightning’s last five games as underdogs.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in 13 of the Panthers’ last 14 night games.
Florida Panthers Player Prop Facts
- Sam Reinhart has scored at least one goal in each of the Panthers’ last six games at Amerant Bank Arena.
- Carter Verhaeghe has recorded an assist in each of the Panthers’ last four home games.
- Brad Marchand has recorded at least one point in each of his last nine appearances.
- Anton Lundell has recorded at least four shots in each of his last zero appearances – [longest/equal-longest] active streak in the league.
Tampa Bay Lightning Player Prop Facts
- Jake Guentzel has recorded at least one point in each of the Lightning’s last six games as underdogs against the Panthers.
- Brandon Hagel has scored at least one goal in three of the Lightning’s last four road games.
- Victor Hedman has recorded an assist in each of his last four appearances.
- Janis Jerome Moser has recorded at least four shots in each of his last zero appearances – [longest/equal-longest] active streak in the league.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Florida Panthers rank 5th in the league for shots against per game this season (25.6).
- The Florida Panthers rank T7th in the league in short handed goals this season (2).
- The Tampa Bay Lightning rank 3rd in the league for Period 1 goals scored per game this season (1.13).
- The Tampa Bay Lightning rank 29th in the league for Period 1 goals allowed per game this season (1.06).
Tampa Bay Lightning vs Florida Panthers Prediction
The Panthers are still a banged up team, but they’re finding ways to win games all of a sudden, and they’re always a tough out at home, where they’re 6-1-1 on the season. The Panthers have also owned the Lightning in recent contests, winning 7 of the last 10 games. These teams don’t like each other, so expect a physical game, but history and current form has to force me toward the Panthers in this spot.