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Tampa Bay Lightning vs Edmonton Oilers Prediction NHL Picks 12/10/24

Perry Nelson-Imagn Images

Edmonton Oilers (15-10-2) vs Tampa Bay Lightning (14-9-2)

December 10, 2024 at 09:00 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: Edmonton Oilers -145 / Tampa Bay Lightning +120 — Over/Under: 7.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The Tampa Bay Lightning and Edmonton Oilers meet Tuesday in NHL action at the Rogers Place. Here’s a Tampa Bay Lightning vs Edmonton Oilers Prediction. This article will include a Tampa Bay Lightning vs Edmonton Oilers Pick.

Tampa Bay Lightning Betting Preview

The Tampa Bay Lightning beat the Sharks and Canucks, and they play the Flames, Kraken and Blue Jackets next. The Tampa Bay Lightning are averaging 3.92 goals per game and are scoring on 26 percent of their power play opportunities. Brayden Point leads Tampa Bay with 18 goals, Nikita Kucherov has 24 assists and Brandon Hagel has 71 shots on goal. Defensively, the Tampa Bay Lightning are allowing 3 goals per game and are killing 79.7 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Andrei Vasilevskiy has allowed 49 goals on 541 shots faced, and Jonas Johansson has given up 20 goals on 156 shots.

Edmonton Oilers Betting Preview

The Edmonton Oilers beat the Blue Jackets and Blues, and they play the Wild, Golden Knights, and Panthers next. The Edmonton Oilers are averaging 3.04 goals per game and are scoring on 20.6 percent of their power play opportunities. Leon Draisaitl leads Edmonton with 19 goals, Connor McDavid has 24 assists and Jeff Skinner has 71 shots on goal. Defensively, the Edmonton Oilers are allowing 2.93 goals per game and are killing 72.3 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Stuart Skinner has given up 51 goals on 472 shots faced, and Calvin Packard has allowed 24 goals on 222 shots.

Why the Tampa Bay Lightning will win

  • The underdogs have won four of the last five games between the Lightning and Oilers.
  • The Oilers have lost 12 of their last 19 games as home favorites against opponents on a winning streak.
  • The Oilers have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last four games as favorites against Atlantic Division opponents.
  • The Lightning have covered the puck line in each of their last four games as underdogs against Pacific Division opponents.
  • The Oilers have lost the third period in each of their last four games as favorites following a home win.

Edmonton Oilers Player Prop Facts

  • Connor McDavid has recorded at least one assist in each of the Oilers’ last 11 Tuesday games against Atlantic Division opponents.
  • Leon Draisaitl has scored a goal in five of the Oilers’ last six home games against the Lightning.
  • Connor McDavid has recorded at least one point in 21 of the Oilers’ last 22 games against Atlantic Division opponents at Rogers Place.

Tampa Bay Lightning Player Prop Facts

  • Brayden Point has scored at least one goal in each of his last six appearances in road games.
  • Brayden Point has recorded at least one point in each of his last 11 appearances in road games.
  • Nikita Kucherov has recorded at least one assist in 16 of his last 17 appearances with the Lightning as underdogs.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Edmonton Oilers rank 1st in the league in short-handed goals allowed this season (0).
  • The Edmonton Oilers rank 3rd in the league for shots against per game this season (25.9).
  • The Tampa Bay Lightning rank T2nd in the league in short-handed goals this season (4).
  • The Tampa Bay Lightning rank 2nd in the league for Period 1 goals scored per game this season (1.32).

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Edmonton Oilers Prediction

The Edmonton Oilers are slowly but surely starting to live up to their potential with wins in 5 of their last 6 games, but I’m not sure if we’re to the point where we can fully trust them. The Tampa Bay Lightning are still a team that packs value in the underdog role, given their winning pedigree and the way the offense continues to roll. Also, the Lightning have won 7 of the last 10 games against the Oilers. The value is with the road dog. I’ll side with the Lightning and the more favorable price.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Tampa Bay Lightning +120

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