Tampa Bay Lightning vs Colorado Avalanche Prediction 11/4/2025 Today’s NHL Picks

The Tampa Bay Lightning and the Colorado Avalanche meet Tuesday in NHL action from the Ball Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Colorado Avalanche prediction.

Tampa Bay Lightning Recap

The Tampa Bay Lightning come into this game looking to add on to their 4-2 win over the Utah Mammoth last time out to sit at 6-4-2 this season. After this game, Tampa Bay will head on the road for a game against the Vegas Golden Knights.

Lightning Win 5th In A Row

Jake Guentzel has a team-high 12 points with 5 goals and 7 assists while Anthony Cirelli’s got 11 points with a team-high 7 goals and 4 assists. Nikita Kucherov has 10 points with 4 goals and 6 assists and Victor Hedman has a team-high 9 assists while Brandon Hagel has 9 points with 4 goals and 5 assists. Brayden Point has 8 points with 2 goals and 6 assists while Ryan McDonagh has 6 points with 3 goals and 3 assists. Pontus Holmberg has 5 points with 4 goals while Yanni Gourde has 4 points with 3 goals and Gage Goncalves has 4 assists. Andrei Vasilevskiy has gone 3-3-2 with a 2.61 GAA and an .899 save percentage while Jonas Johansson is 3-1 with a 2.78 GAA and a .916 save percentage this season.

Colorado Avalanche Recap

The Colorado Avalanche come into this game looking to bounce back from their 3-2 OT loss at the hands of the San Jose Sharks last time out to sit at 7-1-5 this season. After this game, Colorado will head on the road for a game against the Edmonton Oilers.

Avalanche Have Two-Game Win Streak Snapped

Nathan MacKinnon leads the Avalanche with 19 points including a team-high 10 goals and 9 assists while Cale Makar has 18 points with a team-high 14 assists. Martin Necas has 17 points with 9 goals and 8 assists while Artturi Lehkonen has 12 points with 4 goals and 8 assists. Victor Olofsson has 10 points with 3 goals and 7 assists and Valeri Nichushkin has 9 points with 5 goals and 4 assists. Brent Burns has 5 assists and Sam Malinski and Ross Colton each have 5 points with 4 assists. Scott Wedgewood has posted a 7-1-2 record with a 2.53 GAA and a .900 save percentage and Trent Miner is 0-0-2 with a 2.12 GAA and a .909 save percentage while Mackenzie Blackwood is 0-0-1 with a 2.91 GAA and an .870 save percentage this season in goal for Colorado.

Tampa Bay Lightning @ Colorado Avalanche Betting Trends: November 4, 2025

Why the Colorado Avalanche will win

• The Avalanche have won each of their last eight Tuesday home games.
• The Lightning have lost seven of their last eight road games following a road win.
• The Lightning have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last six games following a road win.
• The favorites have covered the puck line in each of the last four games between the Lightning and Avalanche.
• The Avalanche have won the third period in each of their last seven home games.

Why the Tampa Bay Lightning will win

• The Lightning have won each of their last five games.
• The Avalanche have lost four of their last six games as favorites.
• The road team has covered the puck line in each of the Lightning’s last seven games.
• The Lightning have won the second period in each of their last five games against Central Division opponents.

Total Goals Facts

• Four of the last five games between the Lightning and Avalanche have gone OVER the total goals line.
• Four of the Lightning’s last five road games have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2’ market has hit in each of the Avalanche’s last nine games as favorites against the Lightning.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1’ market has hit in four of the Lightning’s last five games as underdogs.

Colorado Avalanche Player Prop Facts

• Martin Necas has scored the first goal in each of the Avalanche’s last three games.
• Valeri Nichushkin has scored at least one goal in each of the Avalanche’s last five games as home favorites against the Lightning.
• Valeri Nichushkin has recorded at least one point in each of his last seven home appearances against the Lightning.
• Nathan MacKinnon has recorded at least one assist in each of his last seven home appearances against the Lightning.
• Nathan MacKinnon ranks T1st in the league for Goals (10) this season.

Tampa Bay Lightning Player Prop Facts

• Anthony Cirelli has scored a goal in each of the Lightning’s last five games against the Avalanche.
• Anthony Cirelli has recorded at least one point in each of the Lightning’s last six games against the Avalanche.
• Nikita Kucherov has recorded at least one assist in 11 of the Lightning’s last 12 road games against Central Division opponents.
• Anthony Cirelli ranks 1st amongst qualified players for shooting percentage (35.0%) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Colorado Avalanche rank 4th in the league for goals against per game this season (2.54).
• The Colorado Avalanche rank 4th in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (89.74%).
• The Tampa Bay Lightning rank 3rd in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (90.00%).
• The Tampa Bay Lightning rank 28th in the league in power play percentage this season (14.63%).

Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Colorado Avalanche Prediction

I’m on the Lightning here. I wanted to get there with the Avalanche and I get why they’re favored at home here. However, the Lightning have clearly gotten out of their early season funk, and have started to put the wins together as this is the kind of thing that they normally do, year after year. Start slow then come on strong. The Avalanche will be fine but I have soe hesitation with the current state of affairs between the pipes and I think that the Lightning could provide some value once again in the underdog role. Give me the Lightning and the plus money here.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Tampa Bay +125