Tampa Bay Lightning vs Boston Bruins Prediction 3/15/25 NHL Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Tampa Bay Lightning vs Boston Bruins Prediction for this NHL game on Saturday, March 15th at the TD Garden. To formulate this prediction, we will look at: 

-The Lightning’s recent form and recent player performance 

-The Bruins’  recent form and recent player performance

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Boston

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Tampa Bay

-Recent betting trends in games played between Boston and Tampa Bay

-A summary that ties it all together produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between the Lightning and Bruins. 

Lightning are Ice Cold

The Lightning are ice-cold heading into this game, and they have lost three games in a row. During the three games, they scored only four goals in total. In the last game against the Flyers, the offense did score three goals, but they still ended up falling short in a shootout. Bobby Brink had a huge game, putting up two goals and adding an assist. Ryan Pehling also had a strong game, scoring a goal and adding another assist. Samuel Ersson was in goal and saved 17 of the 20 shots that faced. 

The Lightning are averaging 3.43 goals per game, while their defense is giving up 2.69 goals per game. The offense is ranked second overall, while the defense is ranked eighth. This feels like a little bit of a lull, and they need to try to snap out of it quickly. Andrei Vasilevskiy is expected to start in goal. He has a 30-18-3 record overall and is giving up 2.29 goals per game. The Lightning has lost his last two starts. 

How Does Boston Bounce Back?

Boston faced off against the Ottawa Senators in the last game, and they scored three goals, while the defense gave up six goals. Casey Mittelstadt scored a goal to help the pace of the offense, but the goaltending just could not do what they needed. Jeremy Swayman got the start, and he wasn’t good enough. He saved only 11 of the 15 shots that he faced. Falling behind in the first period can’t be an option here. 

The Bruins are averaging 2.72 goals while their defense is giving up 3.15 goals per game. There were so many expectations surrounding this team, but overall they just haven’t lived up to the lofty expectations. Swayman is expected to get the start again in goal and he needs to bounce back in a big way. He sits with a 20-22-6 record and he’s giving up 2.98 goals per game. The Bruins have won two of his last three starts. 

Why the Bruins Will Beat the Lightning

• The Lightning have lost each of their last four games as road favorites following a shootout loss.
• The Bruins have won each of their last two games as underdogs against the Lightning.
• The Bruins have covered the puck line in each of their last 10 games as home underdogs against Eastern Conference opponents.
• The Lightning have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last six games as road favorites after coming off a shootout.
• The Bruins have won the third period in each of their last four home games against Eastern Conference opponents when trailing after the second period.

Total Goal Facts

• Five of the Bruins’ last six games against Eastern Conference opponents have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• Three of the Lightning’s last four road games have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 2.5 Goals Period 1’ market has hit in each of the Lightning’s last three road games following a shootout loss.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in eight of the Bruins’ last nine games following a road loss.

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Boston Bruins Prediction

The Lightning are struggling heading into this game, and they aren’t going to bounce back here magically. The Bruins offense overall has struggled, but they can bounce back here. I really don’t trust the Lightning offense, especially with the way they have played as of late, and getting anything going here, Tampa Bay won’t score more than two goals. It might be one that you sweat, but the Bruins will come out on top. Back the Bruins on the home ice to cash.