Stars vs Red Wings Prediction 12/23/2025 Today’s NHL Picks

In this article we will formulate a Stars vs Red Wings prediction for this NHL game on Tuesday, December 23rd at Little Caesars Arena in Detroit, Michigan. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.

Dallas Stars Betting Preview

The Dallas Stars are 25-7-5 this season after they defeated Toronto by a score of 5-1 in their last game. Dallas had their lead cut to 2-1 in the third period, but they scored the last three goals to pull away with the win. The Stars were out shot by a total of 28-22, won 39.1% of the face-offs, and went 0-3 on the power play in the game. Dallas got goals from Benn, Bourque, Hryckowian, Robertson, and Steel, while Oettinger stopped 27 out of 28 shots, which was a .964 save percentage. 

Prior to that game, Dallas defeated the Ducks by a score of 8-3 and the Sharks by a score of 5-3. The Stars have won four games in a row and they are currently second in the Central standings with 55 points. Dallas has scored 3.51 goals per game and they have allowed 2.57 goals against per game, while also going 31.3% on the power play and 83.9% on the penalty kill this season. Mikko Rantanen has led Dallas with 14 goals and 35 assists, while Jason Robertson has added 23 goals and 21 assists. The projected starting goalie for Dallas is Jake Oettinger, who is 16-6-2 with a 2.50 goals against average and a .910 save percentage this season. 

Detroit Red Wings Betting Preview

The Detroit Red Wings are 21-13-3 this year after they defeated Washington in overtime by a score of 3-2 in their last game. Detroit blew a 2-1 lead in the third period, but they scored with 24 seconds left in OT for the win. The Red Wings were out shot by a total of 33-27, won 50.9% of the face-offs, and went 1-2 on the power play in the game. Detroit got goals from Leonard, Raymond, and Seider, while Talbot stopped 31 out of 33 shots, which was a .939 save percentage. 

Prior to that game, Detroit defeated the Capitals by a score of 5-2, but lost to the Mammoth by a score of 4-1 before that. The Red Wings have won four of their last five games and they are currently first in the Atlantic standings with 45 points. Detroit has scored 3.08 goals per game and they have allowed 3.16 goals against per game, while also going 23.7% on the power play and 81.4% on the penalty kill this season. Alex DeBrincat has led Detroit with 20 goals and 20 assists, while Lucas Raymond has added 11 goals and 27 assists. The projected starting goalie for Detroit is John Gibson, who is 11-7-1 with a 3.01 goals against average and an .892 save percentage this year. 

Why the Detroit Red Wings will win

• The Red Wings have won seven of their last eight games as home underdogs following a win.
• The Red Wings have covered the puck line in 16 of their last 17 games as home underdogs following a win.
• The Stars have failed to cover the puck line in 12 of their last 14 games as road favorites.

Why the Dallas Stars will win

• The Red Wings have lost each of their last five night games following a home win.
• The Stars have won 10 of their last 11 games against the Red Wings following a win.
• The Red Wings have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last eight games at Little Caesars Arena.
• The Stars have covered the puck line in each of their last four games.
• The Red Wings have lost the second period in each of their last four night games against Central Division opponents at Little Caesars Arena when leading after the first period.

Total Goals Facts

• Each of the Stars’ last four road games have gone OVER the total goals line.
• Each of the last four games between the Stars and Red Wings at Little Caesars Arena have gone OVER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Stars’ last seven games as favorites against the Red Wings.
• The ‘Over 2.5 Goals Period 1’ market has hit in each of the last five games between the Stars and Red Wings.

Detroit Red Wings Player Prop Facts

• Dylan Larkin has recorded at least one assist in each of his last four appearances with the Red Wings as underdogs against the Stars.
• James van Riemsdyk has scored a goal in three of his last four appearances with the Red Wings as underdogs.

Dallas Stars Player Prop Facts

• Miro Heiskanen has recorded at least one assist in each of his last six appearances with the Stars as favorites against the Red Wings.
• Jason Robertson has scored at least one goal in four of the Stars’ last five road games.

Stars vs Red Wings Prediction 

Dallas comes into this matchup looking to extend their four game winning streak and they have scored at least four goals in all four of those wins. The Stars are 13-2-4 on the road this year, while the Red Wings are 11-7-1 at home. Detroit has won four of their last five and they have allowed two goals or fewer in four of their last five. The Red Wings have really cleaned things up defensively and Gibson has been outstanding after a rough start to the season. Dallas is the better team in this contest, but I think we are getting very good value with plus money on the under.

David Racey's Pick: Under 5.5