Winnipeg Jets (56-22-4) vs Dallas Stars (50-26-6)
Game Info: Wednesday, May 7, 2025 at 9:30 pm (Canada Life Centre)
The Line: Betting Odds: Winnipeg Jets +105 / Dallas Stars -125 — Over/Under: 5.5
In this article we will formulate a Stars vs Jets prediction for this NHL game on Wednesday, May 7th at the Canada Life Centre in Winnipeg, Manitoba. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup in the 2nd round of the playoffs.
Dallas Stars Betting Preview
The Dallas Stars were able to eliminate Colorado in their last game with a 4-2 win in game seven. Dallas trailed 2-0 early in the third period, but they scored the last four goals in the game for the win. The Stars were outshot by a total of 27-19, won 48.1% of the face-offs, and went 2-4 on the power play in the game. Dallas got goals from Johnston and Rantanen (3), while Oettinger stopped 25 out of 27 shots in the win.
Prior to that game, the Stars won games two, three, and five, but did lose games one, four, and six. Dallas has lost 10 of their last 14 games and they finished second in the Central standings with 106 points. Dallas has scored 3.35 goals per game and they have allowed 2.71 goals against per game, while also going 22% on the power play and 82% on the penalty kill this season. Mikko Rantanen has led Dallas with five goals, seven assists, and 24 shots on goal, while Wyatt Johnston and Roope Hintz have added seven points each. Jake Oettinger is 4-3 with a 2.85 goals against average and a .911 save percentage this postseason.
Winnipeg Jets Betting Preview
The Winnipeg Jets were also able to win a game seven against St. Louis by a score of 4-3 in their last game. Winnipeg trailed 3-1 with two minutes left in the third, but they were able to tie the game with three seconds left and get the win in double overtime. The Jets outshot St. Louis by a total of 47-29, won 44.2% of the face-offs, and went 1-2 on the power play in the game. Winnipeg got goals from Lowry, Namestnikov, and Perfetti (2), while Hellebuyck stopped 26 out of 29 shots in the game.
Prior to that game seven, the Jets won games one, two, and five, but did lose games three, four, and six. Winnipeg has won eight of their last 12 games and they finished first in the Central standings with 116 points. Winnipeg has scored 3.35 goals per game and they have allowed 2.32 goals against per game, while also going 28.9% on the power play and 79.4% on the penalty kill this season. Kyle Connor has led Winnipeg with four goals, eight assists, and 22 shots on goal, while Mason Appleton has added six assists and eight shots in goal. Connor Hellebuyck is 4-3 with a 3.85 goals against average and an .830 save percentage this postseason.
Why the Jets will beat the Stars
- The Jets have won each of their last seven games as home underdogs following an overtime win.
- The Stars have lost each of their last eight Game 1s of a playoff series.
- The Jets have covered the puck line in 14 of their last 16 games as home underdogs after coming off overtime.
- The Stars have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last five games as favorites against Western Conference opponents.
- The Stars have lost the second period in each of their last four games when tied after the first period.
Total Goals Facts
- Each of the last seven games between two teams from the Central Division have gone OVER the total goals line.
- Each of the Jets’ last six games against the Stars following a win have gone UNDER the total goals line.
- Five of the Stars’ last six road games against Western Conference opponents have gone UNDER the total goals line.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Jets’ last four home games.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in nine of the Stars’ last 11 road games against Central Division opponents.
Winnipeg Jets Player Prop Facts
- Kyle Connor has scored at least one goal in each of the Jets’ last five night Game 1s of a playoff series.
- Mark Scheifele has recorded at least one assist in 10 of his last 11 appearances in home games.
- Mark Scheifele has recorded at least one point in each of his last 11 appearances in home games.
- Alex Iafallo has recorded two assists against the Stars this season – equal-most against any opponent.
Dallas Stars Player Prop Facts
- Mikko Rantanen has scored at least one goal in each of the Stars’ last three games.
- Mikko Rantanen has recorded at least one point in each of his last 15 Wednesday playoff appearances.
- Miro Heiskanen has recorded an assist in each of his last five appearances after playing less than 20 minutes in the Stars’ last game.
- Esa Lindell ranks T2nd in the Central Division for Plus/Minus (+34) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Winnipeg Jets rank T3rd in the league for goals per game this season (3.35).
- The Winnipeg Jets are one of only three teams in the league to rank top 5 for both goals for and goals against per game this season.
- The Dallas Stars rank 6th in the league for goals against per game this season (2.71).
- The Dallas Stars are one of seven teams to rank in the top 10 for both goals scored and goals conceded per game this season.
Stars vs Jets Prediction
Both of these teams come into this series after escaping with a game seven win in the first round and will look to start off round two with a win here. Winnipeg had plenty of struggles in the first round, but they were 4-0 at home and Hellebuyck also played much better on home ice. Dallas was 1-2 on the road against Colorado and allowed 11 goals in games four and six. I have concerns regarding the Winnipeg injuries and Hellebuyck’s performance, but I do think that crazy comeback they had will give them some much needed confidence coming into this series. Take Winnipeg to get the big win in game one of this series.