| MATCHUP | Dallas Stars | Colorado Avalanche |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 2-2-1 | 3-2-0 |
| Spread | +1.5 -218 | -1.5 180 |
| Moneyline | +114 | -135 |
| Total | Over 5.5 (-135) | Under 5.5 (114) |
| Where | Ball Arena, Denver, CO | |
| When | Wednesday, October 14, 2026 | |
| Time | 08:30 PM EDT | |
| TV | TNT | |
In this article we will formulate a Stars vs Avalanche prediction for this NHL game on Wednesday, October 14th at Ball Arena in Denver, Colorado. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.
Dallas Stars Betting Preview
The Dallas Stars are 2-3-1 this year after they lost to the Avalanche by a score of 3-2 on Tuesday night. Dallas was tied at one after the first period and only trailed 3-2 in the third, but couldn’t find the tying goal in the loss. The Stars recorded 26 shots on goal, won 64.3% of the face-offs, and went 1-1 on the power play in the game. Dallas was led by Tyler Seguin, who had one goal and one assist, while Jake Oettinger stopped 22 out of 25 shots, which was an .880 save percentage in the game.
Prior to that loss, Dallas lost to the Penguins by a score of 2-1, but did defeat the Sabres by a score of 4-0 before that. The Stars have scored 2.17 goals per game and they have allowed 1.67 goals against per game, while also going 14.3% on the power play and 85.0% on the penalty kill this season. Mikko Rantanen has led Dallas with two goals and four assists, while Casey DeSmith is 0-1-0 with a 2.06 goals against average and a .923 save percentage this year.
Colorado Avalanche Betting Preview
The Colorado Avalanche are 4-2-0 this season after they defeated the Stars by a score of 3-2 last night. Colorado blew a 1-0 lead in the first period, but they scored twice in the second, which was enough for the win. The Avalanche recorded 25 shots on goal, won 35.7% of the face-offs, and went 1-3 on the power play in the game. Colorado was led by Martin Necas, who had two goals, while Mackenzie Blackwood stopped 24 out of 26 shots, which was a .923 save percentage in the win.
Prior to that game, Colorado lost to the Maple Leafs by a score of 6-3, but did beat the Flames by a score of 7-3 before that. The Avalanche have scored 4.83 goals per game and they have allowed 3.17 goals against per game, while also going 23.8% on the power play and 80.0% on the penalty kill this season. Nathan MacKinnon has led the team with five goals and seven assists, while Scott Wedgewood is 1-0-0 with a 3.00 goals against average and an .897 save percentage this season.
Why the Colorado Avalanche will win
- The Avalanche have won each of their last eight home games against opponents who are on the second leg of a back-to-back.
- The Stars have lost each of their last four games against opponents who are on the second leg of a back-to-back.
- The Avalanche have covered the puck line in each of their last eight home games against opponents who are on the second leg of a back-to-back.
- The Stars have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last four games against opponents who are on the second leg of a back-to-back.
- The Avalanche have won the second period in each of their last five night games against the Stars when tied after the first period.
Why the Dallas Stars will win
- The Stars have won each of their last five games as road underdogs on the second leg of a back-to-back.
- The Avalanche have lost each of their last two games as home favorites on the second leg of a back-to-back.
- The Stars have covered the puck line in 15 of their last 17 games as road underdogs.
- The Avalanche have failed to cover the puck line in four of their last five games as home favorites on the second leg of a back-to-back.
- The Avalanche have lost the third period in three of their last four games at Ball Arena.
Total Goals Facts
- Eight of the Avalanche’s last nine games as home favorites against opponents who are on the second leg of a back-to-back have gone OVER the total goals line.
- Each of the Stars’ last five night games at Ball Arena following a home loss have gone UNDER the total goals line.
- The ‘Over 2.5 Goals Period 1’ market has hit in each of the Avalanche’s last three games following a road win.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in three of the Stars’ last four road games against Central Division opponents.
Colorado Avalanche Player Prop Facts
- Martin Necas has scored at least one goal in four of the Avalanche’s last five games against the Stars.
- Martin Necas has recorded at least one assist in each of the Avalanche’s last four home games against Central Division opponents.
- Martin Necas ranks T1st in the league for Game Winning Goals (2) this season.
Dallas Stars Player Prop Facts
- Jason Robertson has scored at least one goal in each of his last four appearances at Ball Arena.
- Mikko Rantanen has recorded at least one assist in each of his last six road appearances against Central Division opponents.
- Miro Heiskanen has recorded two points against the Avalanche this season – most against any opponent.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Colorado Avalanche rank 1st in the league for Period 2 goals scored per game this season (2.50).
- The Colorado Avalanche rank T30th in the league in short handed goals allowed this season (2).
- The Dallas Stars rank T25th in the league in power play percentage this season (14.29%).
- The Dallas Stars rank 1st in the league in save percentage this season (.940).
Stars vs Avalanche Prediction
Colorado was able to beat Dallas by a score of 3-2 on Tuesday night, so we will have a rematch here. The Avalanche have alternated wins and losses over their last five games and they are 2-1-0 at home. The Stars have dropped two in a row and they are 1-1-1 on the road. Dallas has scored two goals or fewer in three of their last five games, but they are very good on defense. Colorado is the slightly better team and I like them to win at home here.