| MATCHUP | St. Louis Blues | Tampa Bay Lightning |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 14-15-8 | 19-13-3 |
| Spread | +1.5 -135 | -1.5 114 |
| Moneyline | +195 | -238 |
| Total | Over 5.5 (-120) | Under 5.5 (100) |
| Where | Benchmark International Arena, Tampa, FL | |
| When | Monday, December 22, 2025 | |
| Time | 07:00 PM EST | |
| TV | ESPN+ | |
St. Louis Blues Betting Preview
The St. Louis Blues lost to the Rangers, beat the Panthers, and they play the Predators next. The Blues have split their last 12 games.
The St. Louis Blues are averaging 2.54 goals per game and are scoring on 18.4 percent of their power play opportunities. Jake Neighbours leads St. Louis with 10 goals, Robert Thomas has 18 assists, and Dylan Holloway has 76 shots on goal. Defensively, the St. Louis Blues are allowing 3.38 goals per game and are killing 77.4 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Jordan Binnington has allowed 67 goals on 528 shots faced, and Joel Hofer has given up 51 goals on 499 shots.
Tampa Bay Lightning Betting Preview
The Tampa Bay Lightning lost to the Kings, beat the Hurricanes, and they play the Panthers next. The Lightning have lost 7 of their last 10 games.
The Tampa Bay Lightning are averaging 3.23 goals per game and are scoring on 17 percent of their power play opportunities. Brandon Hagel leads Tampa Bay with 18 goals, Nikita Kucherov has 30 assists, and Jake Guentzel has 97 shots on goal. Defensively, the Tampa Bay Lightning are allowing 2.66 goals per game and are killing 84.1 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Andrei Vasilevskiy has allowed 49 goals on 551 shots faced, while Jonas Johansson has given up 39 goals on 378 shots.
Why the Tampa Bay Lightning will win
- The Lightning have won nine of their last 10 night games at Benchmark International Arena following a home win.
- The Blues have lost each of their last four night games at Benchmark International Arena.
- The home team has covered the puck line in each of the last four games between the Blues and Lightning.
- The Blues have lost the second period in four of their last five games following a road win.
Why the St. Louis Blues will win
- The Blues have won each of their last five games as road underdogs against Atlantic Division opponents.
- The Lightning have lost three of their last four games as favorites.
- The underdogs have covered the puck line in 16 of the Blues’ last 18 games.
- The Lightning have failed to cover the puck line in 17 of their last 21 games at Benchmark International Arena.
- The Blues have won the first period in three of their last four night games following a road win.
Total Goals Facts
- Four of the Blues’ last five road games have gone OVER the total goals line.
- Four of the Lightning’s last five games against Central Division opponents have gone UNDER the total goals line.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2’ market has hit in each of the Lightning’s last six games as favorites against the Blues.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in four of the Blues’ last six road games.
Tampa Bay Lightning Player Prop Facts
- Anthony Cirelli has scored a goal in three of his last four appearances against the Blues at Benchmark International Arena.
- Brayden Point has recorded an assist in each of his last four home appearances against the Blues.
St. Louis Blues Player Prop Facts
- Robby Fabbri has scored a goal in each of his last three appearances at Benchmark International Arena.
- Cam Fowler has recorded an assist in each of his last five appearances at Benchmark International Arena.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Tampa Bay Lightning rank 6th in the league for goals against per game this season (2.66).
- The Tampa Bay Lightning rank 7th in the league for goals per game this season (3.23).
- The St. Louis Blues rank 25th in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (77.42%).
- The St. Louis Blues have suffered the equal-most losses when tied or leading after Period 1 this season (15).
St. Louis Blues vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction
The Lightning are the better team and at home so it’s not a surprise they’re a comfortable favorite. However, the Lightning have lost 7 of their last 10 games, so they’re not a team I’m excited to back right now, especially at this price. The Blues have had some success on the road this season, and they’re fresh off a blowout win over the Panthers. This game will come down to if the Blues show up defensively. Either way, the price point leans me in the direction of the road dog. The Lightning and this price isn’t appealing in their current form. Give me the Blues.

