St. Louis Blues vs Calgary Flames Prediction 10/11/2025 Today’s NHL Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Blues vs Flames Prediction for this NHL game on Saturday, October 11th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.

Calgary Flames Preview

The Flames have a 1-1 record this season, and are 1-1 ATS and 1-0-1 in over/under. This will be their first home game of the season. They are coming off a 1-5 road defeat in Vancouver against the Canucks, after a brutal third period, where they got outscored by 4-1. They got outshot by the Canucks by 26-18, and had a 100% power kill percentage. Morgan Frost had the team’s only goal in the game, while Filip Chytil scored twice for the Canucks, who made 5-36 of their shots. Neither team managed to score a power play goal in this game.

Dustin Wolf is likely in net for the Flames, and he had a 1-1 record, with 3.87 GAA and .869 SV%.

Saint Louis Blues Preview

The Blues have a 0-1 record this season, and are 0-1 ATS and 0-1 in over/under. They are coming off a 0-5 home defeat by the Minnesota Wild in their season opener, as they failed to convert any of their 26 shots in the game. They also failed to convert any power play opportunities, and had a 66.6% power play kill percentage. Ryan Hartman scored twice for the Wild, who made 5 of their 21 shots for a 23.8% shooting percentage, while Joel Eriksson Ek had Minnesota’s only power play goal.

Jordan Biddington is likely in net for the Blues, and he has a 0-1 record, with 5.00 GAA and .762 SV%.

St. Louis Blues @ Calgary Flames Betting Trends: October 11, 2025

Why the Calgary Flames will win

• The underdogs have won eight of the Blues’ last nine games at Scotiabank Saddledome.
• The Blues have lost each of their last seven road games.
• The underdogs have covered the puck line in nine of the Blues’ last 10 games at Scotiabank Saddledome.
• The Blues have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last five games as road favorites against Pacific Division opponents.
• The Flames have won the second period in each of their last seven games against Western Conference opponents when tied after the first period.

Why the St. Louis Blues will win

• The Blues have won each of their last eight games against the Flames following a loss.
• The Flames have lost five of their last six home games against Central Division opponents.
• The Blues have covered the puck line in each of their last seven day games against Western Conference opponents.
• The Flames have failed to cover the puck line in five of their last six home games against Central Division opponents.
• The Blues have won the third period in each of their last six games as road favorites against Western Conference opponents when trailing after the second period.

Total Goals Facts

• Each of the Flames’ last seven games have gone OVER the total goals line.
• Each of the Blues’ last four games against Pacific Division opponents have gone OVER the total goals line.
• Each of the last six Saturday games at Scotiabank Saddledome have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in each of the Flames’ last 11 home games against Central Division opponents.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in eight of the Blues’ last nine games.

Calgary Flames Player Prop Facts

• Nazem Kadri has recorded at least one point in each of the Flames’ last seven home games.
• Nazem Kadri has scored a goal in three of the Flames’ last four day games.
• Blake Coleman has recorded an assist in each of the Flames’ last four home games.
• Connor Zary ranks T3rd in the league for Power Play Goals (1) this season.

St. Louis Blues Player Prop Facts

• Colton Parayko has scored a goal in five of his last six appearances with the Blues as favorites against Pacific Division opponents.
• Robert Thomas has recorded at least one assist in nine of his last 10 appearances with the Blues as road favorites.
• Colton Parayko has recorded a point in each of his last eight road appearances against Pacific Division opponents.
• Dylan Holloway has recorded a career faceoff win percentage of 75.0% against the Flames (min. 5 faceoffs) – equal-most against any opponent (including playoffs).

Matchup/League Facts

• The Calgary Flames rank T1st in the league in short handed goals allowed this season (0).
• The Calgary Flames rank T1st in the league for Period 2 goals allowed per game this season (0.50).
• The St. Louis Blues rank T31st in the league for goals per game this season (0.00).
• The St. Louis Blues rank T27th in the league for goals against per game this season (5.00).

Blues vs Flames Prediction

The Blues won all three meetings against the Flames last season, winning their only trip in Calgary by 4-3 in overtime. The Blues are 9-1 in their last 10 meetings against the Flames, including their last 5 visits in Calgary. Under is 5-3 in their last 8 meetings.  

In this Blues vs Flames Prediction, the Flames are coming as -120 home favorites. Both teams are coming off bad losses in their previous games, having lost by 1-5 and 0-5. The Blues have been dominating the Flames historically, but I don’t trust them on the road in this spot, as they looked atrocious in their season opener. I would rather not pick a side in this matchup, but both offenses are looking horrendous so far, averaging one and 2.5 goals per game. Their power play has also been terrible, as both teams are 1-10 in their power play opportunities this season, and their shooting is also bad. Most of their recent meetings have been low-scoring ones, and I expect another low-scoring affair between two struggling teams. Take the under 5.5 in this one.