| MATCHUP | San Jose Sharks | Toronto Maple Leafs |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 15-14-3 | 14-11-5 |
| Where | Scotiabank Arena, Toronto, ON | |
| When | Thursday, December 11, 2025 | |
| Time | 07:00 PM EST | |
| TV | ESPN+ | |
In this article we will formulate a Sharks vs Maple Leafs prediction for this NHL game on Thursday, December 11th at Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, Ontario. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.
San Jose Sharks Betting Preview
The San Jose Sharks are 14-14-3 this season after they lost to Philadelphia by a score of 4-1 in their last game. San Jose led 1-0 in the first period, but they allowed the last four goals in the game for the loss. The Sharks were out shot by a total of 30-18, won 33.3% of the face-offs, and went 0-2 on the power play in the game. San Jose got their lone goal from Graf, while Nedeljkovic stopped 26 out of 29 shots, which was an .897 save percentage.
Prior to that game, San Jose defeated the Hurricanes by a score of 4-1, but did lose to the Stars by a score of 4-1 before that. The Sharks have lost three of their last four games and they are currently fifth in the Pacific standings with 31 points. San Jose has scored 2.77 goals per game and they have allowed 3.29 goals against per game, while also going 18.8% on the power play and 80.4% on the penalty kill this season. Macklin Celebrini has led San Jose with 15 goals and 28 assists, while Will Smith has added 12 goals and 17 assists. The projected starting goalie for San Jose is Yaroslav Askarov, who is 10-8-1 with a 3.14 goals against average and a .903 save percentage this season.
Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Preview
The Toronto Maple Leafs are 14-11-4 this year after they defeated Tampa Bay by a score of 2-0 in their last game. Toronto scored once in the first period and added an empty net goal late in the third in the shutout win. The Maple Leafs were out shot by a total of 29-25, won 56.4% of the face-offs, and went 0-2 on the power play in the game. Toronto got goals from Matthews and Rielly, while Hildeby stopped all 29 shots in the shutout victory.
Prior to that game, Toronto lost to the Canadiens by a score of 2-1, but did beat the Hurricanes by a score of 5-1 before that. The Maple Leafs have won four of their last five games and they are currently fifth in the Atlantic standings with 32 points. Toronto has scored 3.34 goals per game and they have allowed 3.17 goals against per game, while also going 13.7% on the power play and 81.7% on the penalty kill this season. William Nylander has led Toronto with 11 goals and 21 assists, while John Tavares has added 13 goals and 17 assists. The projected starting goalie for Toronto is Dennis Hildeby, who is 2-2-2 with a 2.16 goals against average and a .936 save percentage this year.
Why the Toronto Maple Leafs will win
- The Sharks have lost three of their last four games.
- The Maple Leafs have covered the puck line in five of their last six games at Scotiabank Arena.
- The Sharks have failed to cover the puck line in three of their last four games as underdogs.
- The Maple Leafs have won the third period in each of their last four games when leading after the second period.
Total Goals Facts
- Each of the Maple Leafs’ last four home games have gone UNDER the total goals line.
- Each of the Sharks’ last four games against Atlantic Division opponents have gone UNDER the total goals line.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in seven of the Sharks’ last eight games.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in each of the Maple Leafs’ last six home games against the Sharks.
Toronto Maple Leafs Player Prop Facts
- Auston Matthews has scored a goal in each of his last six Thursday night appearances.
- William Nylander has recorded at least one point in 11 of his last 12 appearances with the Maple Leafs as favorites.
- William Nylander has recorded at least one assist in each of the Maple Leafs’ last five home games against Pacific Division opponents.
San Jose Sharks Player Prop Facts
- Alexander Wennberg has recorded at least one point in each of his last five appearances at Scotiabank Arena.
- William Eklund has recorded an assist in six of his last seven appearances with the Sharks as underdogs against Atlantic Division opponents.
- Tyler Toffoli has scored a goal in five of his last six appearances with the Sharks as road underdogs against Atlantic Division opponents.
Sharks vs Maple Leafs Prediction
San Jose comes into this matchup after losing three of their last four games and they have scored exactly one goal in all three losses. The Sharks are 5-9-0 on the road this year, while the Maple Leafs are 9-4-4 at home. Toronto has won four of their last five games and they have allowed two goals or fewer in five straight. The Maple Leafs have played much better over the last two weeks and they have won by at least two goals in four of their last five. Take Toronto -1.5 here.