Senators vs Rangers Prediction 3/23/2026 Today’s NHL Picks

In this article we will formulate a Senators vs Rangers prediction for this NHL game on Monday, March 23rd at Madison Square Garden in New York. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.

Ottawa Senators Betting Preview

The Ottawa Senators are 36-24-9 this season after they defeated the Maple Leafs by a score of 5-2 in their last game. Ottawa had their lead cut to 3-2 in the third period, but they scored the last two goals to pull away with the win. The Senators out shot Toronto by a total of 44-14, won 55.9% of the face-offs, and went 1-4 on the power play in the game. Ottawa got goals from Amadio, Foegele, Giroux, Greig, and Stutzle, while Ullmark stopped 12 out of 14 shots, which was an .857 save percentage. 

Prior to that game, Ottawa defeated the Islanders by a score of 3-2, but lost to the Capitals by a score of 4-1 before that. The Senators have won four of their last five games and they are currently sixth in the Atlantic standings with 81 points. Ottawa has scored 3.35 goals per game and they have allowed 3.09 goals against per game, while also going 22.9% on the power play and 74.6% on the penalty kill this season. Tim Stutzle has led Ottawa with 32 goals and 40 assists, while Drake Batherson has added 27 goals and 34 assists. The projected starting goalie for Ottawa is Linus Ullmark, who is 22-10-7 with a 2.77 goals against average and an .885 save percentage this season. 

New York Rangers Betting Preview

The New York Rangers are 28-33-9 this year after they lost to the Jets in a shootout by a score of 3-2 in their last game. New York tied the game at two in the second period, but couldn’t find any offense in the third and lost in the shootout. The Rangers were out shot by a total of 37-29, won 53.1% of the face-offs, and went 1-3 on the power play in the game. New York got goals from Kartye and Zibanejad, while Garand stopped 35 out of 37 shots, which was a .946 save percentage. 

Prior to that game, New York lost to the Blue Jackets by a score of 6-3 and the Devils by a score of 6-3. The Rangers have lost four games in a row and they are currently last in the Metro standings with 65 points. New York has scored 2.80 goals per game and they have allowed 3.20 goals against per game, while also going 24.0% on the power play and 77.7% on the penalty kill this season. Mika Zibanejad has led NY with 30 goals and 37 assists, while Vincent Trocheck has added 15 goals and 33 assists. The projected starting goalie for New York is Igor Shesterkin, who is 22-14-6 with a 2.56 goals against average and a .912 save percentage this year. 

Why the New York Rangers will win

• The Rangers have won six of their last nine games as underdogs against Atlantic Division opponents.
• The Senators have lost 11 of their last 19 games as road favorites against opponents on a losing streak.
• The Senators have failed to cover the puck line in 11 of their last 12 away games when playing with a rest advantage.
• The Rangers have covered the puck line in six of their last seven games as underdogs on the second leg of a back-to-back.
• The Senators have lost the third period in five of their last six night games at Madison Square Garden against opponents on a losing streak.

Why the Ottawa Senators will win

• The Rangers have lost each of their last six games at Madison Square Garden when playing with a rest disadvantage.
• The Senators have won nine of their last 11 games against opponents who are on the second leg of a back-to-back.
• The road team has covered the puck line in five of the Rangers’ last six games.
• The Rangers have failed to cover the puck line in five of their last six home games when playing with a rest disadvantage.
• The Rangers have lost the first period in each of their last four games.

Total Goals Facts

• Each of the Rangers’ last eight games against Atlantic Division opponents have gone OVER the total goals line.
• Eight of the Senators’ last nine games as road favorites against opponents on a losing streak have gone OVER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2′ market has hit in each of the Rangers’ last 10 night games.
• The ‘Over 2.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in each of the Senators’ last seven games following a home win.

New York Rangers Player Prop Facts

• Alexis Lafreniere has scored a goal in each of the Rangers’ last four games against the Senators at Madison Square Garden.
• J.T. Miller has recorded at least one assist in each of his last six home appearances against the Senators.

Ottawa Senators Player Prop Facts

• Tim Stutzle has scored at least one goal in each of the Senators’ last seven games as road favorites against Metropolitan Division opponents.
• Thomas Chabot has recorded at least one assist in four of the Senators’ last five games as road favorites.

Senators vs Rangers Prediction 

New York comes into this matchup looking to snap a four game losing streak, but they have allowed 4+ goals in three of those four games and they will be on a back to back. The Rangers are 9-17-7 at home this year, while the Senators are 18-13-4 on the road. Ottawa has won four of their last five games and they are making a push in the playoff race. The Senators have allowed two goals or fewer in three of their last five games and they are playing the much better hockey right now. Take Ottawa -1.5 here.

David Racey's Pick: Senators -1.5