Senators vs Maple Leafs Prediction 3/15/25 NHL Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Senators vs Maple Leafs prediction for this NHL game on Saturday, March 15th at Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, Ontario. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup. 

Ottawa Senators Betting Preview

The Ottawa Senators are 35-25-5 this season after they defeated Boston by a score of 6-3 in their last game. Ottawa led 4-1 after the first period and they were able to maintain at least a two-goal lead the rest of the way in the win. The Senators outshot Boston by a total of 32-25, won 53.2% of the face-offs, and went 1-2 on the power play in the game. Ottawa got goals from Batherson (2), Giroux, Greig, Pinto, and Kleven, while Ullmark stopped 22 out of 25 shots in the win. 

Prior to that game, the Senators defeated the Flyers by a score of 5-2 and the Red Wings by a score of 2-1. Ottawa has won five games in a row and they are currently fourth in the Atlantic standings with 75 points. Ottawa has scored 2.92 goals per game and they have allowed 2.82 goals against per game, while also going 23.3% on the power play and 77.7% on the penalty kill this season. Tim Stutzle has led Ottawa with 20 goals, 47 assists, and 131 shots on goal, while Drake Batherson has added 18 goals, 35 assists, and 139 shots on goal. Linus Ullmark is 17-11-3 with a 2.68 goals against average and a .912 save percentage this year. 

Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Preview

The Toronto Maple Leafs are 39-23-3 this year after they lost to Florida by a score of 3-2 in their last game. Toronto led 1-0 early in the first period, but they allowed the next three goals and couldn’t recover from the loss. The Maple Leafs recorded 25 shots on goal, won 49.1% of the face-offs, and went 0-3 on the power play in the game. Toronto got goals from Domi and Tavares, while Stolarz stopped 22 out of 25 shots in the game.

Prior to that loss, the Maple Leafs defeated the Hockey Club by a score of 4-3 but did lose to the Avalanche by a score of 7-4 before that. Toronto has lost four of their last five games and they are currently second in the Atlantic standings with 81 points. Toronto has scored 3.18 goals per game and they have allowed 2.95 goals against per game, while also going 24.2% on the power play and 78.4% on the penalty kill this season. Mitch Marner has led Toronto with 21 goals, 59 assists, and 143 shots on goal, while William Nylander has added 36 goals, 31 assists, and 213 shots on goal. Anthony Stolarz is 13-7-3 with a 2.37 goals against average and a .920 save percentage this season. 

Why the Senators will beat the Maple Leafs 

• The Senators have won each of their last four games as road underdogs against the Maple Leafs.
• The Maple Leafs have lost each of their last three games as home favorites.
• The Senators have covered the puck line in each of their last seven games as underdogs following a home win.
• The Maple Leafs have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last five games as favorites.
• The Maple Leafs have lost the third period in four of their last five games as favorites at Scotiabank Arena when trailing after the second period.

Total Goals Facts

• Nine of the Senators’ last 10 games against Eastern Conference opponents have gone OVER the total goals line.
• Each of the Maple Leafs’ last five night games following a loss has gone OVER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2′ market has hit in each of the Maple Leafs’ last nine home games against Atlantic Division opponents.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2′ market has hit in each of the Senators’ last six games as underdogs.

Toronto Maple Leafs Player Prop Facts

• Auston Matthews has scored at least one goal in four of the Maple Leafs’ last five games against Eastern Conference opponents at Scotiabank Arena.
• John Tavares has recorded at least one point in each of his last nine home appearances against Eastern Conference opponents.
• Mitch Marner has recorded at least one assist in seven of the Maple Leafs’ last eight games as home favorites against Atlantic Division opponents.

Ottawa Senators Player Prop Facts

• Tim Stutzle has recorded at least one assist in nine of the Senators’ last 10 games against Eastern Conference opponents.
• Michael Amadio has scored a goal in five of his last six appearances with his team as a road underdog against Atlantic Division opponents.
• Tim Stutzle has recorded at least one point in each of the Senators’ last 10 Saturday games.

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Senators vs Maple Leafs Prediction 

Ottawa comes into this matchup playing some of their best hockey of the season, but they will be on the road for this game. The Senators are 15-16-3 on the road this year, while the Maple Leafs are 20-12-1 at home. Toronto is second in the Atlantic standings, but they are not playing very well right now, as they have lost four of their last five games. The Maple Leafs are the better team in this matchup, but I can’t trust them with how they are currently playing. Ottawa is getting some great goaltending from Ullmark and they are finding ways to win, even when they are outplayed. Take the Sens here.