| MATCHUP | Ottawa Senators | New York Islanders |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 42-27-10 | 43-31-5 |
| Spread | -1.5 205 | +1.5 -250 |
| Moneyline | -120 | +100 |
| Total | Over 6.5 (114) | Under 6.5 (-135) |
| Where | UBS Arena, Elmont, NY | |
| When | Saturday, April 11, 2026 | |
| Time | 01:00 PM EDT | |
| TV | ESPN+ | |
In this article we will formulate a Senators vs Islanders prediction for this NHL game on Saturday, April 11th at UBS Arena in Elmont, New York. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.
Ottawa Senators Betting Preview
The Ottawa Senators are 42-27-10 this season after they defeated the Panthers by a score of 5-1 in their last game. Ottawa had their lead cut to 3-1 in the third period, but they added two late goals to pull away with the win. The Senators out shot Florida by a total of 26-23, won 55.9% of the face-offs, and went 1-1 on the power play in the game. Ottawa got goals from Batherson, Giroux, Zetterlund (2), and Zub, while Ullmark stopped 22 out of 23 shots, which was a .957 save percentage.
Prior to that game, Ottawa defeated the Lightning by a score of 6-2 and the Hurricanes by a score of 6-3. The Senators have won four of their last five games and they are currently fifth in the Atlantic standings with 94 points. Ottawa has scored 3.37 goals per game and they have allowed 3.04 goals against per game, while also going 23.5% on the power play and 75.1% on the penalty kill this season. Tim Stutzle has led Ottawa with 34 goals and 48 assists, while Drake Batherson has added 32 goals and 37 assists. The projected starting goalie for Ottawa is Linus Ullmark, who is 27-12-8 with a 2.78 goals against average and an .889 save percentage this season.
New York Islanders Betting Preview
The New York Islanders are 43-31-5 this year after they defeated the Maple Leafs by a score of 5-3 in their last game. New York blew an early 2-0 lead, but they scored the next three goals for the comfortable win. The Islanders out shot Toronto by a total of 44-16, won 53.7% of the face-offs, and went 2-5 on the power play in the game. New York got goals from Heineman, Pageau, Ritchie, Schenn, and Schaefer, while Sorokin stopped 13 out of 16 shots, which was an .813 save percentage.
Prior to that game, New York lost to the Hurricanes by a score of 4-3 and the Flyers by a score of 4-1. The Islanders have lost four of their last five games and they are currently fourth in the Metro standings with 91 points. New York has scored 2.87 goals per game and they have allowed 2.87 goals against per game, while also going 17.2% on the power play and 81.1% on the penalty kill this season. Mathew Barzal has led New York with 19 goals and 52 assists, while Matthew Schaefer has added 23 goals and 36 assists. The projected starting goalie for New York is Ilya Sorokin, who is 29-22-2 with a 2.66 goals against average and a .908 save percentage this year.
Why the New York Islanders will win
- The Islanders have won nine of their last 10 games as home underdogs against Eastern Conference opponents.
- The Senators have lost three of their last four day games following a win.
- The Islanders have covered the puck line in each of their last 14 games as home underdogs following a home win.
- The Senators have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last five day games against Eastern Conference opponents.
- The Senators have lost the third period in four of their last five road games against Eastern Conference opponents.
Why the Ottawa Senators will win
- The Senators have won each of their last four games against Eastern Conference opponents.
- The Islanders have lost four of their last five games.
- The Senators have covered the puck line in each of their last four road games against the Islanders.
- The Islanders have failed to cover the puck line in six of their last eight day games.
- The Islanders have lost the second period in five of their last six day games.
Total Goals Facts
- Eight of the Islanders’ last nine games at UBS Arena following a win have gone OVER the total goals line.
- Five of the Senators’ last six road games against Metropolitan Division opponents have gone UNDER the total goals line.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in 12 of the Islanders’ last 13 day games against opponents on a winning streak.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in seven of the Senators’ last eight games.
New York Islanders Player Prop Facts
- Brayden Schenn has scored a goal in five of the Islanders’ last six games against Atlantic Division opponents.
- Mathew Barzal has recorded an assist in each of the Islanders’ last five games against Eastern Conference opponents.
- Scott Mayfield has recorded two assists against the Senators this season – most against any opponent.
Ottawa Senators Player Prop Facts
- Tim Stutzle has scored at least one goal in seven of the Senators’ last eight games as road favorites against Metropolitan Division opponents.
- Thomas Chabot has recorded at least one assist in each of his last six Saturday day appearances against Eastern Conference opponents.
- Drake Batherson ranks T4th in the league for multi-goal games (8) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The New York Islanders have recorded the equal-most wins when trailing after Period 1 this season (12).
- The New York Islanders have recorded the most wins when tied or trailing after Period 2 this season (21).
- The Ottawa Senators rank 8th in the league in power play percentage this season (23.51%).
- The Ottawa Senators rank 32nd in the league in save percentage this season (.880).
Senators vs Islanders Prediction
Ottawa comes into this matchup on a three game winning streak and they are currently in the second wild card spot, but they have plenty of teams still within striking distance. The Senators are 20-15-4 on the road this year, while the Islanders are 22-14-2 at home. New York is chasing a playoff spot in the East as well, but they have allowed 4+ goals in four of their last five. These teams are very evenly matched, but I think New York is the play at home. Take the Islanders here.