Senators vs Bruins Prediction 10/5/2026 Today’s NHL Picks

In this article we will formulate a Senators vs Bruins prediction for this NHL game on Monday, October 5th at the TD Garden in Boston, Massachusetts. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.

Ottawa Senators Betting Preview

The Ottawa Senators are 1-0-0 this season after they defeated the Maple Leafs by a score of 3-2 in their last game. Ottawa trailed 2-1 in the second period, but they scored the last two goals to escape with the win. The Senators recorded 29 shots on goal, won 56.9% of the face-offs, and went 0-4 on the power play in the game. Ottawa was led by Thomas Chabot, who had one goal and one assist, while Linus Ullmark stopped 27 out of 29 shots, which was a .931 save percentage in the win. 

The Senators went 44-27-11 last year and they finished with 99 points, which was fifth in the Atlantic Division. Ottawa was seven points ahead of Detroit in sixth and they were 10 points behind the Sabres for first. The Senators started the season with a 5-4 win over the Lightning, but they were just 2-5 through seven games. Ottawa did make the playoffs, but they were swept by the Hurricanes in four games. The Sens scored 275 goals last year, which was 8th in the NHL, while they allowed 245 goals against, which was 13th. 

Boston Bruins Betting Preview

The Boston Bruins are 2-1-0 this year after they lost to the Wild by a score of 4-1 last time out. Boston led 1-0 after the first period, but they allowed two goals in the second and two in the third for the loss. The Bruins were out shot by a total of 30-27, won 48.3% of the face-offs, and went 0-3 on the power play in the game. Boston was led by Tanner Jeannot, who had one goal and one shot, while Michael DiPietro stopped 26 out of 29 shots, which was an .897 save percentage in the loss. 

Prior to that game, Boston defeated the Jets by a score of 4-3 and the Rangers by a score of 3-0. The Bruins have scored 2.67 goals per game and they have allowed 2.33 goals against per game, while they have gone 0.0% on the power play and 57.1% on the penalty kill this season. Mark Kastelic has led the Bruins with one goal and two assists, while Jeremy Swayman is 2-0-0 with a 1.47 goals against average and a .947 save percentage this year.

Why the Boston Bruins will win

• The underdogs have won four of the Senators’ last five games at TD Garden.
• The Senators have lost 10 of their last 14 games as road favorites against Atlantic Division opponents.
• The Bruins have covered the puck line in each of their last seven games as home underdogs following a road loss.
• The Senators have failed to cover the puck line in 19 of their last 24 games as favorites following a road win.
• The Senators have lost the second period in five of their last six night games at TD Garden when leading after the first period.

Why the Ottawa Senators will win

• The Senators have won each of their last five games against Atlantic Division opponents.
• The Bruins have lost each of their last seven Monday games.
• The Senators have covered the puck line in 12 of their last 13 games against the Bruins following a road win.
• The Bruins have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last three home games against Atlantic Division opponents.
• The Senators have won the second period in each of their last five road games when trailing after the first period.

Total Goals Facts

• Nine of the Bruins’ last 10 home games against Eastern Conference opponents have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• Each of the Senators’ last four night games against Eastern Conference opponents have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• Each of the last three games between two teams from the Atlantic Division have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in 12 of the Bruins’ last 13 home games.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in 16 of the Senators’ last 20 road games against Atlantic Division opponents.

Boston Bruins Player Prop Facts

• Hampus Lindholm has recorded an assist in each of the Bruins’ last three games against Eastern Conference opponents.
• David Pastrnak has scored a goal in six of the Bruins’ last eight games as underdogs against the Senators.

Ottawa Senators Player Prop Facts

• Claude Giroux has scored a goal in each of the Senators’ last five games as favorites against the Bruins.
• Thomas Chabot has recorded an assist in each of his last four appearances with the Senators as favorites against the Bruins.

Senators vs Bruins Prediction 

Ottawa was able to start their season with a win on Saturday and they will be playing only their second game here. The Senators were able to complete the comeback against Toronto in that win and their road trip will continue here. Boston lost to Minnesota in their last game, but they have played well through their first three games. I think this is a very even matchup, so I will take the Bruins on home ice at a decent price.

David Racey's Pick: Bruins ML