Toronto Maple Leafs (38-20-2) vs San Jose Sharks (15-37-9)
March 3, 2025 at 07:30 PM EST
The Line: Betting Odds: Toronto Maple Leafs -395 / San Jose Sharks +310 — Over/Under: 6.5
In this article, we will formulate a Sharks vs Maple Leafs prediction for this NHL game on Monday, March 3rd at the Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, ON. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.
San Jose Sharks Betting Preview
The San Jose Sharks (15-37-9, 37-24 ATS) remain the worst team in the NHL. Not only have they been without a win for a month, but the Sharks suffered seven consecutive defeats. In 2025, the Sharks recorded just four wins! They are currently on a seven-game road trip which they opened with four losses to the Flames, Jets, Canadiens, and Senators. San Jose is dead last in the Pacific Division Standings with 17 points behind the Kraken, who are a place ahead.
The Sharks score 2.57 goals per game on average (30th), while they concede 3.71 GPG (32nd). This season, Macklin Celebrini leads the team with 44 points (18 G and 26 A). William Eklund has 43 points (12 G and 31 A), while Tyler Toffoli chips in with 39 points (22 G and 17 A).
Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Preview
The Toronto Maple Leafs (38-20-2, 31-29 ATS) are going through their best phase of the season after winning the previous five games, their longest run of the campaign. The Maple Leafs defeated the Hurricanes, Blackhawks, Bruins, Rangers, and Penguins during this stretch. Toronto returned home from a four-game road trip and will take on a new three-game road trip after this game against San Jose. The Maple Leafs are at the top of the Atlantic Division Standings with 78 points, one ahead of the Florida Panthers and four more than the Tampa Bay Lightning.
The Maple Leafs average 3.19 goals per game this year (11th), while they allow 2.83 GPG (10th). Mitch Marner leads the team with 75 points (18 G and 57 A). William Nylander contributes 61 points (35 G and 26 A), while Auston Matthews has 51 points (22 G and 29 A).
Why the Maple Leafs will beat the Sharks
- The Sharks have lost each of their last 10 night games following a road loss.
- The Maple Leafs have won each of their last eight night games after coming off overtime.
- The home team has covered the puck line in five of the Maple Leafs’ last six games.
- The Sharks have failed to cover the puck line in four of their last five night games at Scotiabank Arena.
- The Maple Leafs have won the third period in each of their last four games against the Sharks.
Total Goals Facts
- Each of the Sharks’ last five night games against Atlantic Division opponents has gone OVER the total goals line.
- Each of the Maple Leafs’ last four games at Scotiabank Arena following a road win has gone OVER the total goals line.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in seven of the Sharks’ last eight games as underdogs against opponents on a winning streak.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in each of the Maple Leafs’ last six games at Scotiabank Arena.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Toronto Maple Leafs are one of only three teams to win 6+ games when trailing after Period 2 this season.
- The Toronto Maple Leafs are one of only four teams to win a game when trailing by 3 or more goals after Period 1 this season.
- The San Jose Sharks rank 25th in the league in power play percentage this season (19.19%).
- The San Jose Sharks rank 32nd in the league for shots against per game this season (32.2).
Sharks vs Maple Leafs Prediction
The Maple Leafs won four of the previous five H2H encounters, including each of the last three. All four victories were by at least a two-goal margin, which is exactly what I expect in this one. Although the Sharks slightly improved recently; with three overtime losses out of the past eight, they are still losing games. Toronto will have no problems in scoring at least four goals here; the Leafs scored 5+ in four of their last five games. San Jose’s top performer, Macklin Celebrini, is listed as questionable for Monday’s game. If he doesn’t play, the hosts will have an even easier job. Back the Maple Leafs to cover.