San Jose Sharks vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction 10/19/2026 Today’s NHL Picks

The San Jose Sharks and the Toronto Maple Leafs meet Monday in NHL action from the Scotiabank Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a San Jose Sharks vs. Toronto Maple Leafs prediction.

San Jose Sharks Recap

The San Jose Sharks come into this game looking to bounce back from a 4-3 shootout loss at the hands of the Detroit Red Wings last time out to sit at 4-3-1 this season. After this game, the Sharks will head on the road for a game against the Montreal Canadiens.

Sharks Drop 4 Of Last 6

Macklin Celebrini leads the San Jose Sharks through eight games this season with a team-high 11 points, totaling 3 goals and a team-leading 8 assists. Ivar Stenberg and Will Smith sit tied for second with 6 points apiece, with Stenberg contributing 2 goals and 4 assists while Smith adds 3 goals and 3 assists. Tyler Toffoli chips in 5 points with 2 goals and 3 assists, while Igor Chernyshov records 4 points on 2 goals and 2 assists. Dmitry Orlov, Michael Misa, Alexander Wennberg, and Jacob Trouba occupy the next tier with 3 points each, while Mason Marchment, Michael Kesselring, Kiefer Sherwood, and Luca Cagnoni round out San Jose’s primary scorers with 2 points apiece. In net, Yaroslav Askarov holds a 2-3-0 record with a 3.99 GAA and an .848 save percentage after stopping 112 of 132 shots, while Alex Nedeljkovic posts a 2-0-1 mark with a 2.20 GAA and a .920 save percentage after stopping 80 of 87 shots for the Sharks up to this point in the season.

Toronto Maple Leafs Recap

The Toronto Maple Leafs come into this game looking to rebound from a 4-1 loss at the hands of the Islanders last time out to sit at 3-4-2 this season. After this game, the Maple Leafs will head on the road for a game against the Columbus Blue Jackets.

Maple Leafs Lose 3 Straight

Auston Matthews leads the Toronto Maple Leafs through nine games this season with a team-high 13 points, totaling 6 goals and 7 assists. William Nylander sits in second with 12 points on 5 goals and 7 assists, while Kirill Marchenko records 9 points with 4 goals and 5 assists. John Tavares and Easton Cowan chip in 7 points each, with Tavares contributing 2 goals and 5 assists while Cowan adds 3 goals and 4 assists. Jack Roslovic records 6 points with 3 goals and 3 assists, while Gavin McKenna adds 5 points on 2 goals and 3 assists. Nick Paul, Darren Raddysh, and Morgan Rielly round out the primary offensive contributors with 4 points apiece. In net, Sergei Bobrovsky holds a 1-3-2 record with a 3.29 GAA and an .890 save percentage after stopping 162 of 182 shots, while Anthony Stolarz posts a 2-1-0 mark with a 3.32 GAA and an .875 save percentage after stopping 70 of 80 shots for the Maple Leafs up to this point in the season.

San Jose Sharks @ Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Trends: October 19, 2026

Why the Toronto Maple Leafs will win

• The Sharks have lost each of their last four games following a shootout win.
• The Maple Leafs have covered the puck line in six of their last seven games against Pacific Division opponents.
• The Sharks have lost the third period in seven of their last eight games.

Why the San Jose Sharks will win

• The Sharks have won four of their last five games as underdogs against opponents on a losing streak.
• The Maple Leafs have lost three of their last four games as favorites.
• The Maple Leafs have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last 12 games as favorites following a home loss.
• The underdogs have covered the puck line in each of the Maple Leafs’ last nine games.
• The road team has won the third period in each of the Maple Leafs’ last four games.

Total Goals Facts

• Each of the Sharks’ last four road games following a shootout win have gone OVER the total goals line.
• Five of the Maple Leafs’ last six games have gone OVER the total goals line.
• Seven of the last eight Monday night games have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Maple Leafs’ last five games against Pacific Division opponents.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Sharks’ last four games following a shootout win.

Toronto Maple Leafs Player Prop Facts

• William Nylander has recorded at least one assist in each of the Maple Leafs’ last seven games as home favorites against Pacific Division opponents.
• John Tavares has scored at least one goal in five of the Maple Leafs’ last six games against Pacific Division opponents.
• William Nylander ranks T2nd in the league for multi-goal games (2) this season.

San Jose Sharks Player Prop Facts

• Ivar Stenberg has scored a goal in four of his last five appearances against Atlantic Division opponents.
• Alexander Wennberg has recorded an assist in each of his last six road appearances against Atlantic Division opponents.
• Alexander Wennberg has recorded 21 career points against the Maple Leafs – equal-most against any opponent (including playoffs).

Matchup/League Facts

• The Toronto Maple Leafs rank 1st in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (96.43%).
• The Toronto Maple Leafs rank 7th in the league in power play percentage this season (26.67%).
• The San Jose Sharks rank 31st in the league for Period 3 goals allowed per game this season (1.75).
• The San Jose Sharks rank T29th in the league for Period 1 goals scored per game this season (0.50).

San Jose Sharks vs. Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction

I’m on the over in this game. I think this ends up being a high-scoring matchup between two teams that have had issues keeping the puck out of the net in recent games and I’m looking for a bit of a back and forth game here, something along the lines of 4-3 or even 5-4. I’ll back the over here.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Over 6.5