Sabres vs Maple Leafs Prediction 1/27/2026 Today’s NHL Picks

In this article we will formulate a Sabres vs Maple Leafs prediction for this NHL game on Tuesday, January 27th at Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, Ontario. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.

Buffalo Sabres Betting Preview

The Buffalo Sabres are 29-17-5 this year after they defeated the Islanders by a score of 5-0 in their last game. Buffalo scored twice in the second period and three times in the third in the shutout win. The Sabres were out shot by a total of 26-21, won 26.0% of the face-offs, and went 0-2 on the power play in the game. Buffalo got goals from Thompson, Tuch, Zucker (2), and Dahlin, while Lyon stopped all 26 shots in the shutout win. 

Prior to that game, Buffalo defeated the Canadiens by a score of 4-2 and the Predators by a score of 5-3. The Sabres have won three games in a row and they are currently third in the Atlantic standings with 63 points. Buffalo has scored 3.31 goals per game and they have allowed 3.04 goals against per game, while also going 18.8% on the power play and 83.6% on the penalty kill this season. Tage Thompson has led Buffalo with 27 goals and 26 assists, while Alex Tuch has added 18 goals and 24 assists. The projected starting goalie for Buffalo is Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen, who is 11-7-2 with a 2.66 goals against average and a .905 save percentage this year. 

Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Preview

The Toronto Maple Leafs are 24-19-9 this season after they lost to Colorado by a score of 4-1 in their last game. Toronto allowed the first four goals in the game, but did score late in the third to avoid the shutout. The Maple Leafs were out shot by a total of 37-33, won 55.9% of the face-offs, and went 1-3 on the power play in the game. Toronto got their lone goal from Domi, while Woll stopped 33 out of 36 shots, which was a .917 save percentage.

Prior to that game, Toronto lost to the Golden Knights by a score of 6-3 and the Red Wings by a score of 2-1. The Maple Leafs have lost four games in a row and they are currently seventh in the Atlantic standings with 57 points. Toronto has scored 3.27 goals per game and they have allowed 3.37 goals against per game, while also going 17.2% on the power play and 83.7% on the penalty kill this season. John Tavares has led Toronto with 19 goals and 25 assists, while Matthew Knies has added 12 goals and 31 assists. The projected starting goalie for Toronto is Anthony Stolarz, who is 6-6-1 with a 3.63 goals against average and an .880 save percentage this season. 

Why the Toronto Maple Leafs will win

• The Maple Leafs have won each of their last six Tuesday home games.
• The Sabres have lost five of their last six away games when playing with a rest advantage.
• The Sabres have failed to cover the puck line in five of their last six away games when playing with a rest advantage.
• The favorites have covered the puck line in four of the Maple Leafs’ last five games at Scotiabank Arena.
• The Maple Leafs have won the second period in each of their last four games at Scotiabank Arena when leading after the first period.

Total Goals Facts

• Each of the Sabres’ last seven night games at Scotiabank Arena against opponents on a losing streak have gone OVER the total goals line.
• Eight of the Maple Leafs’ last nine games at Scotiabank Arena against opponents on a winning streak have gone OVER the total goals line.
• Eight of the last nine Tuesday night games between two teams from the Eastern Conference have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2’ market has hit in each of the last nine games between the Sabres and Maple Leafs at Scotiabank Arena.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Sabres’ last six games at Scotiabank Arena against opponents on a losing streak.

Toronto Maple Leafs Player Prop Facts

• Nicholas Robertson has scored a goal in each of his last five appearances with the Maple Leafs as favorites against the Sabres.
• William Nylander has recorded at least one assist in 10 of his last 11 appearances with the Maple Leafs as favorites.

Buffalo Sabres Player Prop Facts

• Tage Thompson has recorded at least one assist in six of the Sabres’ last seven games against Atlantic Division opponents.
• Joshua Norris has scored a goal in three of his last four appearances against the Maple Leafs.

Sabres vs Maple Leafs Prediction 

Toronto comes into this matchup looking to snap a four game losing streak, but they have allowed at least four goals in three of those four games. The Maple Leafs are 16-8-6 at home this year, while the Sabres are 13-11-2 on the road. Buffalo has won three in a row and they have scored 4+ in all three. The Sabres have been very good over the last two months, but Toronto has been great on home ice and they are the more talented team. I know the Leafs are struggling, but I like them to get a nice win here.

David Racey's Pick: Maple Leafs ML