| MATCHUP | Buffalo Sabres | Washington Capitals |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 4-4 | 5-4 |
| Spread | +1.5 -238 | -1.5 195 |
| Moneyline | +105 | -125 |
| Total | Over 6.5 (-112) | Under 6.5 (-108) |
| Where | Capital One Arena, Washington, DC | |
| When | Saturday, October 24, 2026 | |
| Time | 07:00 PM EDT | |
| TV | ESPN+ | |
In this article, we will formulate a Sabres vs Capitals Prediction for this NHL game on Saturday, October 24th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.
Washington Capitals Preview
The Capitals have 10 points this season with a 5-4-0 record and a 4-2-0 home record. They are 4-5 ATS and 6-3 in over/under. They are coming off a 2-5 home loss against the Kings and will face the Flyers and Predators next.
Offensively, the Capitals are averaging 3.33 goals per game and are scoring 20% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 3.22 goals per game and are killing 80.0% of their opponent’s power plays.
Ryan Leonard leads the Capitals with 8 points, adding a team-high 4 assists, while Alex Tuch leads the team in goals with 5. Logan Thompson is the starting goalie for the Capitals, and he has a 4-3-0 record, with 2.90 GAA and .901 SV%. Charlie Lindgren is the backup goalie and he has a 1-1-0 record, with 3.06 GAA and .897 SV%.
Buffalo Sabres Preview
The Sabres have 10 points this season with a 4-4-2 record and a 1-1-2 road record. They are 4-6 ATS and 7-3 in over/under. They are coming off a 1-3 home loss against the Flyers and will face the Sharks and Ducks next.
Offensively, the Sabres are averaging 2.80 goals per game and are scoring 11.1% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 3.60 goals per game and are killing 66.7% of their opponent’s power plays.
Jack Quinn leads the Sabres with 10 points, adding a team-high 5 goals, while Owen Power leads the team in assists with 6. Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen is the starting goalie for the Sabres, and he has a 3-3-2 record, with 3.54 GAA and .864 SV%. Colten Ellis is the backup goalie and he has a 1-1-0 record, with 3.19 GAA and .864 SV%.
Buffalo Sabres @ Washington Capitals Betting Trends: October 24, 2026
Why the Washington Capitals will win
- The Capitals have won each of their last nine home games against Eastern Conference opponents.
- The Sabres have lost each of their last eight games at Capital One Arena following a home loss.
- The Capitals have covered the puck line in each of their last six games when playing with a rest advantage.
- The Sabres have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last four games at Capital One Arena following a home loss.
- The Capitals have won the third period in each of their last six home games following a loss.
Why the Buffalo Sabres will win
- The Sabres have won eight of their last 10 games as underdogs following a loss.
- The Capitals have lost seven of their last eight Saturday games as home favorites.
- The Sabres have covered the puck line in each of their last eight games as an away underdog when playing with a rest disadvantage.
- The Capitals have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last five games as home favorites against Atlantic Division opponents.
- The Sabres have won the third period in each of their last seven road games when leading after the second period.
Total Goals Facts
- Seven of the last eight games between the Sabres and Capitals at Capital One Arena have gone OVER the total goals line.
- Each of the Sabres’ last five road games have gone OVER the total goals line.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Sabres’ last 14 games against Eastern Conference opponents.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Capitals’ last eight games as favorites against the Sabres.
Washington Capitals Player Prop Facts
- Jakob Chychrun has scored the first goal in three of his last four home appearances against the Sabres.
- Jakob Chychrun has scored at least one goal in each of his last five home appearances against the Sabres.
- Jordan Kyrou has recorded at least one assist in seven of his last eight appearances with his team as a home favorite against Eastern Conference opponents.
- Alex Tuch ranks T1st in the league for Game Winning Goals (3) this season.
Buffalo Sabres Player Prop Facts
- Jack Quinn has scored at least one goal in four of the Sabres’ last five road games.
- Zach Benson has recorded at least one assist in each of the Sabres’ last five road games.
- Rasmus Dahlin has recorded at least four shots in each of his last three appearances – equal-longest active streak in the league.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Washington Capitals rank T1st in the league in short handed goals allowed this season (0).
- The Washington Capitals rank 32nd in the league for Period 3 goals scored per game this season (0.56).
- The Buffalo Sabres rank 30th in the league in power play percentage this season (11.11%).
- The Buffalo Sabres rank T29th in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (66.67%).
Sabres vs Capitals Prediction
Both teams are tied 5-5 in their last 10 meetings and the Capitals are 4-1 in their last 5 meetings in Washington.
In this Sabres vs Capitals Prediction, the Capitals are coming as -120 home favorites. The Sabres have just one on the road and a terrible history when visiting Washington and will be facing a Capitals team that is on a bounce-back mode after an embarrassing 2-5 home defeat and will be playing its seventh of its last eight games at home. The Caps are also better all across the board and above all else, I cannot trust a team with a 66.7% penalty kill on the road. Take the Capitals to win in this one.