Red Wings vs Stars Prediction 3/14/2026 Today’s NHL Picks

In this article we will formulate a Red Wings vs Stars prediction for this NHL game on Saturday, March 14th at the American Airlines Center in Dallas, Texas. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.

Detroit Red Wings Betting Preview

The Detroit Red Wings are 36-23-7 this year after they lost to the Lightning by a score of 4-1 in their last game. Detroit cut the deficit to 2-1 in the third period, but they allowed two goals in the last four minutes to seal the loss. The Red Wings were out shot by a total of 28-25, won 50% of the face-offs, and went 0-1 on the power play in the game. Detroit got their lone goal from Compher, while Gibson stopped 24 out of 27 shots, which was an .889 save percentage. 

Prior to that game, Detroit lost to the Panthers by a score of 4-3, but did beat the Devils by a score of 3-0 before that. The Red Wings have lost four of their last five games and they are currently fourth in the Atlantic standings with 79 points. Detroit has scored 2.89 goals per game and they have allowed 2.96 goals against per game, while also going 22.2% on the power play and 78.5% on the penalty kill this season. Lucas Raymond has led Detroit with 20 goals and 45 assists, while Alex DeBrincat has added 33 goals and 32 assists. The projected starting goalie for Detroit is John Gibson, who is 24-15-2 with a 2.57 goals against average and a .906 save percentage this year. 

Dallas Stars Betting Preview

The Dallas Stars are 41-14-10 this season after they defeated the Oilers by a score of 7-2 in their last game. Dallas scored the first five goals of the game and cruised to the easy win in the third. The Stars were out shot by a total of 32-27, won 49.1% of the face-offs, and went 2-4 on the power play in the game. Dallas got goals from Benn (2), Duchene, Johnston, Robertson (2), and Steel, while Oettinger stopped 30 out of 32 shots, which was a .938 save percentage. 

Prior to that game, Dallas defeated the Golden Knights by a score of 2-1 and the Blackhawks by a score of 4-3. The Stars have won 13 of their last 14 games and they are currently second in the Central standings with 92 points. Dallas has scored 3.46 goals per game and they have allowed 2.65 goals against per game, while also going 30.1% on the power play and 80.8% on the penalty kill this season. Jason Robertson has led Dallas with 36 goals and 42 assists, while Wyatt Johnston has added 35 goals and 36 assists. The projected starting goalie for Dallas is Jake Oettinger, who is 27-10-5 with a 2.64 goals against average and a .900 save percentage this year. 

Why the Dallas Stars will win

• The Stars have won each of their last 12 games against the Red Wings at American Airlines Center.
• The Red Wings have lost five of their last six night games.
• The home team has covered the puck line in 10 of the last 12 games between the Red Wings and Stars.
• The Red Wings have failed to cover the puck line in five of their last six night games.
• The Stars have won the second period in each of their last six games as favorites against Atlantic Division opponents when trailing after the first period.

Why the Detroit Red Wings will win

• The Red Wings have won three of their last four games as underdogs following a road loss.
• The Stars have lost four of their last five games against Atlantic Division opponents.
• The Stars have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last five games at American Airlines Center against opponents on a losing streak.
• The Red Wings have covered the puck line in five of their last six night games against Central Division opponents.
• The Stars have lost the second period in each of their last three home games against Eastern Conference opponents when tied after the first period.

Total Goals Facts

• Seven of the last eight night games between the Red Wings and Stars have gone OVER the total goals line.
• Four of the Red Wings’ last five road games following a road loss have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in each of the Red Wings’ last eight games as underdogs against opponents on a winning streak.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in seven of the Stars’ last eight games as favorites against the Red Wings.

Dallas Stars Player Prop Facts

• Mavrik Bourque has scored a goal in six of the Stars’ last seven games as home favorites against Atlantic Division opponents.
• Miro Heiskanen has recorded at least one assist in each of his last seven appearances with the Stars as favorites against the Red Wings.

Detroit Red Wings Player Prop Facts

• Dylan Larkin has scored a goal in three of his last four road appearances against the Stars.
• Dylan Larkin has recorded at least one assist in four of his last five appearances against the Stars.

Red Wings vs Stars Prediction 

Dallas comes into this matchup as the hottest team in the NHL, as they have won 13 of their last 14 games. The Stars are 21-7-4 at home this year, while the Red Wings are 18-12-4 on the road. Detroit has lost four of their last five games and they have allowed four goals in three of their last five. The Red Wings are trending in the wrong direction and Dallas is red hot, so I will take the Stars to win by at least two goals here.

David Racey's Pick: Stars -1.5