Philadelphia Flyers (25-26-7) vs Pittsburgh Penguins (23-27-9)
Game Info: Tuesday, February 25, 2025 at 7:00 pm (Wells Fargo Center)
The Line: Betting Odds: Philadelphia Flyers -142 / Pittsburgh Penguins +120 — Over/Under: 5.5
The Pittsburgh Penguins and the Philadelphia Flyers meet Saturday in NHL action from the Wells Fargo Center. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Pittsburgh Penguins vs. Philadelphia Flyers prediction.
Matchup History
The Philadelphia Flyers won the last matchup between these two teams just before the Four Nations Face-Off break with a 3-2 win in Philadelphia back on February 8th, 2025. The win made it three straight wins and four in the last five for the home team in this head-to-head matchup.
Pittsburgh Penguins Recap
The Pittsburgh Penguins come into this game looking to bounce back from a 5-3 loss at the hands of the New York Rangers in their last matchup to slip to 23-27-9 on the year. After this game, Pittsburgh will head home for the second leg of this home-and-home rivalry matchup.
Penguins Lose Third In A Row, Allow 13 Goals In Two Games Since Break
Evgeni Malkin has 35 points with 9 goals and 26 assists while Sidney Crosby has a team-high 59 points of his own with 18 goals and 41 assists. Rickard Rakell has 49 points with 25 goals and 24 assists and Erik Karlsson has 39 points with 6 goals and 33 assists. Bryan Rust also has 42 points with 20 goals and 22 assists. In goal for the Penguins, Joel Blomqvist has gone 3-8 with a 3.68 GAA and an .893 save percentage while Tristan Jarry has gone 8-8-4 with a 3.31 GAA and an .886 save percentage this season. Alex Nedeljkovic is also 12-10-5 with a 3.06 GAA and an .895 save percentage on the year.
Why the Pittsburgh Penguins will win
- The Flyers have lost each of their last five games as favorites following a home win.
- The Penguins have won eight of their last nine games against the Flyers following a loss.
- The Flyers have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last eight games as home favorites against Metropolitan Division opponents.
- The Penguins have covered the puck line in each of their last five night games.
Pittsburgh Penguins Player Prop Facts
- Rickard Rakell has scored at least one goal in five of his last six appearances against the Flyers.
- Sidney Crosby has recorded at least one point in each of his last eight appearances with the Penguins as underdogs.
- Bryan Rust has recorded at least one assist in each of his last five appearances against the Flyers after playing less than 20 minutes in the Penguins’ last game.
- Danton Heinen has the highest Plus/Minus for the Penguins this season (+2).
Philadelphia Flyers Recap
The Philadelphia Flyers come into this game looking to add on to their 6-3 win over the Edmonton Oilers last time out to improve to 25-26-7 on the year. After this game, the Philadelphia Flyers will have their rematch with the Penguins at the PPG Paints Arena.
Flyers Win Back-To-Back Games
Travis Konecny leads the Flyers with 61 points coming on 22 goals and 39 assists while Matvei Michkov has 36 points with 16 goals and 20 assists. Travis Sanheim also has 27 points with 6 goals and 21 assists. Owen Tippett has added 30 points with 14 goals and 16 assists and Scott Laughton’s added 26 points with 11 goals and 15 assists as well on the year. Morgan Frost has also added 25 points with 11 goals and 14 assists this season. Samuel Ersson has gone 16-10-3 in goal for the Flyers this season with a 2.81 GAA and an .896 save percentage while Ivan Fedotov is 4-8-3 with a 3.27 GAA and an .877 save percentage. Aleksei Kolosov is also 4-8-1 with a 3.45 GAA and an .870 save percentage so far this season.
Why the Philadelphia Flyers will win
- The Flyers have won 14 of their last 16 night games at Wells Fargo Center against opponents on a losing streak.
- The Penguins have lost seven of their last eight games against Metropolitan Division opponents.
- The Flyers have covered the puck line in six of their last seven games against opponents on a losing streak.
Philadelphia Flyers Player Prop Facts
- Owen Tippett has scored a goal in each of his last three appearances with the Flyers as favorites against Metropolitan Division opponents.
- Ryan Ellis has recorded at least one point in each of his last seven appearances in home games.
- Ryan Ellis has recorded at least one assist in six of his last seven appearances in home games.
- Travis Konecny ranks T1st in the league for shootout goals (3) this season.
Total Goals Facts
- Each of the Penguins’ last six night games has gone UNDER the total goals line.
- Eight of the Flyers’ last nine games against opponents on a losing streak have gone UNDER the total goals line.
- Each of the last three games between two teams from the Metropolitan Division has gone OVER the total goals line.
Pittsburgh Penguins vs. Philadelphia Flyers Prediction
I’m on the Flyers here. I just think that Philadelphia is the slightly more trustworthy team in this matchup as the Penguins simply can’t keep the puck out of the net to save their lives. The Flyers haven’t been world-beaters by any stretch of the imagination, but they did look really solid offensively against a pretty good Oilers team, and I just don’t think I can back the Penguins until they show me something here. This would be a good place to start but until it happens, I’m going to keep riding the head-to-head trend and back the home team here. Give me Philadelphia.