| MATCHUP | Pittsburgh Penguins | Ottawa Senators |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 35-20-16 | 38-24-9 |
| Spread | +1.5 -205 | -1.5 170 |
| Moneyline | +124 | -148 |
| Total | Over 6.5 (105) | Under 6.5 (-125) |
| Where | Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa, ON | |
| When | Thursday, March 26, 2026 | |
| Time | 07:00 PM EDT | |
| TV | ESPN+ | |
In this article, we will formulate a Penguins vs Senators Prediction for this NHL game on Thursday, March 26th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.
Ottawa Senators Preview
The Senators have 85 points this season with a 38-24-9 record, and are 33-38 ATS and 38-33 in over/under. They have a 18-11-5 home record and a 20-13-4 road record and are sitting 4th in the Atlantic Division. They are coming off a 3-2 road win over the Red Wings, and their previous three games were a 2-1 road win over the Rangers, a 5-2 home win over the Maple Leafs, and a 3-2 home win over the Islanders.
Offensively, the Senators are averaging 3.32 goals per game and are scoring 22.8% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 3.04 goals per game and are killing 75.0% of their opponent’s power plays.
Tim Stutzle leads the Senators with 73 points and 32 goals, adding a team-high 41 assists. Linus Ullmark is the starting goalie for the Senators, and he has a 23-10-7 record, with 2.75 GAA and .887 SV%. James Reimer is the backup goalie and he has a 6-3-1 record, with 2.32 GAA and .884 SV%.
Pittsburgh Penguins Preview
The Penguins have 86 points this season with a 35-20-16 record, and are 42-29 ATS and 39-30 in over/under. They have a 17-11-8 home record and a 18-9-8 road record and are sitting 3rd in the Metropolitan Division. They are coming off a 6-2 home loss to the Avalanche, and their previous three games were a 5-1 home loss to the Hurricanes, a 5-4 home shootout win over the Jets, and a 6-5 road overtime loss to the Hurricanes.
Offensively, the Penguins are averaging 3.39 goals per game and are scoring 24.1% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 3.03 goals per game and are killing 82.9% of their opponent’s power plays.
Sidney Crosby leads the Penguins with 64 points and 28 goals, while Erik Karlsson leads the team in assists with 43. Stuart Skinner is the starting goalie for the Penguins, and he has a 20-14-9 record, with 2.88 GAA and .889 SV%. Arturs Silovs is the backup goalie and he has a 16-10-8 record, with 2.99 GAA and .891 SV%.
Pittsburgh Penguins @ Ottawa Senators Betting Trends: March 26, 2026
Why the Ottawa Senators will win
- The Penguins have lost each of their last seven games against opponents on a winning streak.
- The Senators have won eight of their last nine games against the Penguins.
- The Penguins have failed to cover the puck line in seven of their last eight night games following a home loss.
- The home team has covered the puck line in each of the last three games between the Penguins and Senators.
- The home team has won the third period in each of the Senators’ last six games.
Why the Pittsburgh Penguins will win
- The Senators have lost each of their last four games as home favorites following a road win.
- The Penguins have won nine of their last 12 Thursday games as underdogs.
- The road team has covered the puck line in each of the Penguins’ last six games.
- The Senators have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last five games as favorites against Metropolitan Division opponents.
- The Penguins have won the second period in five of their last six games as underdogs when leading after the first period.
Total Goals Facts
- Each of the Penguins’ last seven night games have gone OVER the total goals line.
- Each of the Senators’ last seven games against the Penguins following a road win have gone UNDER the total goals line.
- Eight of the last nine Thursday night games between teams from the same conference have gone UNDER the total goals line.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in 10 of the Penguins’ last 12 games as road underdogs.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in five of the Senators’ last six home games against opponents on a losing streak.
Ottawa Senators Player Prop Facts
- Brady Tkachuk has scored the last goal in three of the Senators’ last four games as home favorites against the Penguins.
- Brady Tkachuk has scored at least one goal in each of the Senators’ last four games as home favorites against the Penguins.
- Jake Sanderson has recorded at least one assist in each of his last seven home appearances against Eastern Conference opponents.
- Drake Batherson has recorded four assists against the Penguins this season – equal-most against any opponent.
Pittsburgh Penguins Player Prop Facts
- Bryan Rust has scored at least one goal in four of the Penguins’ last five road games.
- Sidney Crosby has recorded an assist in each of the Penguins’ last four games.
- Noel Acciari has scored eight career goals against the Senators – most against any opponent (including playoffs).
Matchup/League Facts
- The Ottawa Senators rank 30th in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (75.00%).
- The Ottawa Senators rank 1st in the league for shots against per game this season (24.0).
- The Pittsburgh Penguins rank 3rd in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (82.94%).
- The Pittsburgh Penguins rank 7th in the league for goals per game this season (3.39).
Penguins vs Senators Prediction
The Senators won both previous meetings against the Penguins this season, at home by 4-0 and on the road by 3-2 and are 8-1 in their last 10 meetings.
In this Penguins vs Senators Prediction, the Senators are coming as -150 home favorites. The Senators have been red-hot lately with an 8-2 record in their last 10 games and have four consecutive home wins. On the flip side, the Penguins are 1-3 in their last 4 games and have scored just three goals in their last two games, so I like the value with the home team in this matchup. Take the Senators on the moneyline to take care of business at home.