Pittsburgh Penguins vs New York Islanders Prediction 3/30/2026 Today’s NHL Picks
Chris Ruffolo
Mar 24, 2026; Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, USA; Pittsburgh Penguins center Sidney Crosby (87) prepares to take the opening face-off against the Colorado Avalanche during the first period at PPG Paints Arena. Mandatory Credit: Charles LeClaire-Imagn Images
MATCHUP
Pittsburgh Penguins
New York Islanders
Team Records
36-21-16
42-27-5
Spread
+1.5 -250
-1.5 205
Moneyline
-102
-118
Total
Over 6.5 (105)
Under 6.5 (-125)
Where
UBS Arena, Elmont, NY
When
Monday, March 30, 2026
Time
07:00 PM EDT
TV
MSGSN
The Pittsburgh Penguins and the New York Islanders meet Monday in NHL action from the UBS Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Pittsburgh Penguins vs. New York Islanders prediction.
Pittsburgh Penguins Recap
The Pittsburgh Penguins come into this game looking to bounce back from their 6-3 loss at the hands of Dallas time out to sit at 36-21-16 this season. After this game, Pittsburgh will head home for a game against Detroit.
Penguins Drop 4 Of Last 6
Sidney Crosby leads Pittsburgh in scoring with 64 points including a team-high 28 goals and 36 assists while Evgeni Malkin has 52 points with 15 goals and 37 assists. Anthony Mantha has 54 points with 27 goals and 27 assists. Erik Karlsson has 47 assists while Bryan Rust has 59 points with 26 goals and 33 assists. Arturs Silovs has gone 16-10-8 with a 2.99 GAA and an .895 save percentage in goal for the Penguins so far this season while Stuart Skinner is 10-7-5 with a 2.99 GAA and an .885 save percentage this year. Sergei Murashov is 1-1-2 with a 2.56 GAA and an .897 save percentage in goal for Pittsburgh this season.
New York Islanders Recap
The New York Islanders come into this game looking to add on to their 5-2 win over Florida last time out to sit at 42-27-5 this season. After this game, the Islanders will head on the road for a game against the Buffalo Sabres.
Islanders Win Back-To-Back Games
Mathew Barzal has 65 points with 18 goals and a team-high 47 assists while Bo Horvat has 52 points with 30 goals and 22 assists. Matthew Schaefer has 56 points with 22 goals and 34 assists and Anders Lee has 39 points with 16 goals and 23 assists. Emil Heineman has 30 points with 21 goals and 9 assists and Simon Holmstrom has 39 points with 19 goals and 20 assists. Ilya Sorokin is 28-18-2 with a 2.47 GAA and a .914 save percentage while David Rittich is 14-9-3 with a 2.77 GAA and an .895 save percentage in goal for the Islanders so far this season.
Pittsburgh Penguins @ New York Islanders Betting Trends: March 30, 2026
Why the New York Islanders will win
The Islanders have won each of their last six home games against Metropolitan Division opponents.
The Penguins have lost seven of their last eight games at UBS Arena.
The Islanders have covered the puck line in each of their last six home games against Metropolitan Division opponents.
The Penguins have failed to cover the puck line in four of their last five games.
The Islanders have won the first period in each of their last five home games against Metropolitan Division opponents.
Why the Pittsburgh Penguins will win
The underdogs have won seven of the Islanders’ last nine games at UBS Arena.
The Islanders have lost three of their last four games as home favorites following a win.
The Penguins have covered the puck line in each of their last nine games as road underdogs against Metropolitan Division opponents.
The Islanders have failed to cover the puck line in five of their last six games as home favorites against Metropolitan Division opponents.
The underdogs have won the first period in each of the Islanders’ last five games.
Total Goals Facts
Each of the Penguins’ last nine night games have gone OVER the total goals line.
Each of the last six games between the Penguins and Islanders at UBS Arena have gone OVER the total goals line.
Four of the last five games between two teams from the Metropolitan Division have gone UNDER the total goals line.
The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Islanders’ last 10 games as home favorites.
The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2′ market has hit in each of the Penguins’ last eight road games against the Islanders.
New York Islanders Player Prop Facts
Simon Holmstrom has scored at least one goal in each of the Islanders’ last three games as home favorites.
Matthew Schaefer has recorded at least one assist in each of the Islanders’ last five games as home favorites against Eastern Conference opponents.
Matthew Schaefer has recorded at least three shots in each of his last seven appearances – longest active streak in the league.
Pittsburgh Penguins Player Prop Facts
Sidney Crosby has scored at least one goal in each of his last four appearances with the Penguins as road underdogs against Metropolitan Division opponents.
Sidney Crosby has recorded at least one assist in each of his last eight appearances against Metropolitan Division opponents.
Tommy Novak has recorded two hits against the Islanders this season – equal-most against any opponent.
Matchup/League Facts
The New York Islanders rank 31st in the league in power play percentage this season (16.44%).
The New York Islanders rank 4th in the league for goals against per game this season (2.76).
The Pittsburgh Penguins rank 4th in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (82.11%).
The Pittsburgh Penguins rank 6th in the league in power play percentage this season (24.40%).
Pittsburgh Penguins vs. New York Islanders Prediction
I’m on the Islanders in this one. I get the case to be made for the Penguins who are facing New York in a potential playoff preview, but I think this is still the Islanders’ game to lose as the Penguins are just slumping offensively right now and I think the Islanders are in a prime position to take advantage of that in this one. I’ll side with the Islanders here.
