Pittsburgh Penguins vs Dallas Stars Prediction 12/7/2025 Today’s NHL Picks
Chris Ruffolo
Nov 28, 2025; Columbus, Ohio, USA; Pittsburgh Penguins center Sidney Crosby (87) skates with the puck against the Columbus Blue Jackets in the first period at Nationwide Arena. Mandatory Credit: Aaron Doster-Imagn Images
MATCHUP
Pittsburgh Penguins
Dallas Stars
Team Records
14-7-6
20-5-5
Where
American Airlines Center, Dallas, TX
When
Sunday, December 7, 2025
Time
06:00 PM EST
TV
ESPN+
The Pittsburgh Penguins and the Dallas Stars meet Sunday in NHL action from the American Airlines Center. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Pittsburgh Penguins vs. Dallas Stars prediction.
Pittsburgh Penguins Recap
The Pittsburgh Penguins come into this game looking to add on to their 4-3 win over Tampa Bay last time out to sit at 14-7-5 this season. After this game, Pittsburgh will head home for a game against Anaheim.
Penguins Win 4 Of Their Last 5
Sidney Crosby leads Pittsburgh in scoring with 29 points including a team-high 18 goals and 11 assists while Evgeni Malkin has 29 points with 8 goals and a team-high 21 assists. Justin Brazeau has 12 points with 6 goals and 6 assists and Anthony Mantha has 16 points with 8 goals and 8 assists. Erik Karlsson has 17 assists while Bryan Rust has 21 points with 8 goals and 13 assists. Arturs Silovs has gone 4-4-4 with a 3.00 GAA and an .898 save percentage in goal for the Penguins so far this season while Tristan Jarry is 9-2 with a 2.61 GAA and a .913 save percentage this year.
Dallas Stars Recap
The Dallas Stars come into this game looking to add on to their 4-1 win over San Jose last time out to sit at 19-5-5 this season. After this game, Dallas will take on the Winnipeg Jets on the road.
Stars Win 6 Of Last 7
Mikko Rantanen leads the Stars in scoring with 38 points along with 13 goals and a team-high 25 assists while Jason Robertson has 37 points with a team-high 18 goals and 19 assists this season. Wyatt Johnston has 33 points with 16 goals and 17 assists and Miro Heiskanen has 25 points with 20 assists as well this season. Roope Hintz has 24 points with 8 goals and 16 assists and Tyler Seguin has 17 points with 7 goals and 10 assists. Jake Oettinger has gone 13-4-2 with a 2.52 GAA and a .908 save percentage in goal for Dallas while Casey DeSmith has gone 6-1-3 with a 2.16 GAA and a .921 save percentage so far this season.
Pittsburgh Penguins @ Dallas Stars Betting Trends: December 7, 2025
Why the Dallas Stars will win
The Stars have won each of their last 12 Sunday home games.
The Penguins have lost eight of their last 10 road games following a road win.
The Stars have covered the puck line in eight of their last nine Sunday home games.
The Penguins have failed to cover the puck line in three of their last four games against Central Division opponents.
The Stars have won the second period in seven of their last eight games against Eastern Conference opponents when trailing after the first period.
Why the Pittsburgh Penguins will win
The underdogs have won each of the Penguins’ last four games.
The Stars have lost four of their last five games as home favorites following a home win.
The Penguins have covered the puck line in 14 of their last 15 games as underdogs.
The Stars have failed to cover the puck line in 10 of their last 11 games as favorites against Metropolitan Division opponents.
The Penguins have won the second period in each of their last four road games when leading after the first period.
Total Goals Facts
Each of the Stars’ last seven night games against the Penguins following a home win have gone UNDER the total goals line.
Eight of the Penguins’ last nine night games at American Airlines Center have gone UNDER the total goals line.
The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2′ market has hit in each of the Stars’ last 10 games as favorites against opponents on a winning streak.
The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in each of the Penguins’ last eight games as underdogs against Central Division opponents.
Dallas Stars Player Prop Facts
Wyatt Johnston has scored at least one goal in each of the Stars’ last 10 Sunday home games.
Mikko Rantanen has recorded at least one assist in 10 of the Stars’ last 11 home games.
Wyatt Johnston has recorded at least one point in each of the Stars’ last 10 Sunday home games.
Wyatt Johnston ranks T1st in the league for Power Play Points (19) this season.
Pittsburgh Penguins Player Prop Facts
Tommy Novak has scored a goal in each of his last four appearances against the Stars.
Sidney Crosby has recorded at least one point in 10 of the Penguins’ last 11 games as underdogs against Central Division opponents.
Kris Letang has recorded an assist in each of the Penguins’ last four games as underdogs.
Sidney Crosby ranks 1st amongst qualified players for shooting percentage (28.6%) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
The Dallas Stars rank 3rd in the league in power play percentage this season (31.91%).
The Dallas Stars are one of only three teams in the league to rank top 5 for both goals for and goals against per game this season.
The Pittsburgh Penguins rank 1st in the league in power play percentage this season (34.38%).
The Pittsburgh Penguins rank 4th in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (84.81%).
Pittsburgh Penguins vs. Dallas Stars Prediction
I’m on the Stars here. I just think that in a battle of two teams that are playing well right now, while I normally like to go for value, I think that Dallas is just the better team, and being at home is the difference for the Stars in this one. I think that Dallas gets the job done in this one so give me the Stars here.
