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Pittsburgh Penguins vs Colorado Avalanche Prediction 3/4/25 NHL Picks

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Colorado Avalanche (35-24-2) vs Pittsburgh Penguins (24-29-10)

March 4, 2025 at 09:00 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: Colorado Avalanche -278 / Pittsburgh Penguins +225 — Over/Under: 6.5

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The Pittsburgh Penguins and Colorado Avalanche meet Tuesday in NHL action at the Ball Arena. Here’s a Pittsburgh Penguins vs Colorado Avalanche Prediction. This article will include a Pittsburgh Penguins vs Colorado Avalanche Pick.

Pittsburgh Penguins Betting Preview 

The Pittsburgh Penguins lost to the Bruins and Maple Leafs, and play the Golden Knights, Wild, and Blues next. The Penguins have lost six of their last seven games and have allowed three or more goals in all seven games. 

The Pittsburgh Penguins are averaging 2.89 goals per game and are scoring 24.2 percent of their power play opportunities. Rickard Rakell leads Pittsburgh with 28 goals, Sidney Crosby has 46 assists, and Erik Karlsson has 154 shots on goal. Defensively, the Pittsburgh Penguins are allowing 3.62 goals per game and are killing 78.8 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Tristan Jarry has allowed 69 goals on 596 shots faced, and Alex Nedelijkovic has given up 94 goals on 869 shots.

Colorado Avalanche Betting Preview 

The Colorado Avalanche beat the Devils and Wild, and they play the Sharks, Maple Leafs, and Blackhawks next. The Avs look for three straight wins for the first time since December 27 – January 2. 

The Colorado Avalanche are averaging 3.23 goals per game and are scoring on 22.5 percent of their power play opportunities. Mikko Rantanen leads Colorado with 25 goals, Nathan MacKinnon has 68 assists and Cale Maker has 190 shots on goal. Defensively, the Colorado Avalanche are allowing 2.97 goals per game and are killing 79.9 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Mackenzie Blackwood has allowed 51 goals on 648 shots faced, while Scott Wedgewood has given up 22 goals on 240 shots.

Why the Colorado Avalanche will win

  • The Avalanche have won each of their last four home games.
  • The Penguins have lost six of their last seven road games against opponents on a winning streak.
  • The Avalanche have covered the puck line in each of their last four games at Ball Arena.
  • The Penguins have failed to cover the puck line in three of their last four games as underdogs.
  • The Avalanche have won the third period in each of their last four night games at Ball Arena.

Why the Pittsburgh Penguins will win

  • The Penguins have won each of their last three games as underdogs after coming off overtime.
  • The Avalanche have lost five of their last seven games as favorites following a home win.
  • The underdogs have covered the puck line in each of the Penguins’ last four games at Ball Arena.
  • The Avalanche have failed to cover the puck line in nine of their last 11 games as favorites following a win.
  • In each of the Penguins’ last three games, the team trailing after the second period has won the third period.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Colorado Avalanche are one of only four teams to win a game when trailing by 3 or more goals after Period 1 this season.
  • The Colorado Avalanche rank 4th in the league for Period 3 goals scored per game this season (1.26).
  • The Pittsburgh Penguins rank 31st in the league in save percentage this season (.881).
  • The Pittsburgh Penguins rank 30th in the league for Period 3 goals allowed per game this season (1.27).

Pittsburgh Penguins vs Colorado Avalanche Injury Report 

The Colorado Avalanche will be without Sean Behrens, Sean Behrens, and Gabriel Landeskog. Josh Manson is questionable for the Avs.

The Penguins will be without Michael Bunting and P.O Joseph.

Pittsburgh Penguins vs Colorado Avalanche Prediction

The Pittsburgh Penguins continue to head in the wrong direction with losses in six of their last seven games and their defense is getting rocked. The Penguins have lost 16 times on the road this season. The Avs have played their best hockey at home where they have 18 wins and they’ve beaten up on the Penguins, outscoring them 11-6 in the last two games. The Avalanche have scored five goals in back-to-back games. It’s not an ideal spot for the Penguins to be given their defensive issues during this losing stretch. Give me the Avalanche, and of course, I’ll lay the PL to shave down the juice.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Colorado Avalanche -1.5

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