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Pittsburgh Penguins vs Buffalo Sabres Prediction 3/27/25 NHL Picks

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Buffalo Sabres (29-35-6) vs Pittsburgh Penguins (29-33-11)

March 27, 2025 at 07:00 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Buffalo Sabres -135 / Pittsburgh Penguins +114 — Over/Under: 6.5

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The Pittsburgh Penguins and Buffalo Sabres meet on Thursday in NHL action at the KeyBank Center. Here’s a Pittsburgh Penguins vs Buffalo Sabres Prediction. This article will include a Pittsburgh Penguins vs Buffalo Sabres Pick.

Pittsburgh Penguins Betting Preview 

The Pittsburgh Penguins lost to the Panthers and Lightning, and they play the Senators, Blues, and Stars next. The Penguins have lost three of their last four games.

The Pittsburgh Penguins are averaging 2.92 goals per game and are scoring 24.4 percent of their power play opportunities. Rickard Rakell leads Pittsburgh with 32 goals, Sidney Crosby has 54 assists, and Erik Karlsson has 174 shots on goal. Defensively, the Pittsburgh Penguins are allowing 3.58 goals per game and are killing 77.2 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Tristan Jarry has allowed 88 goals on 800 shots faced, and Alex Nedelijkovic has given up 105 goals on 986 shots.

Buffalo Sabres Betting Preview 

The Buffalo Sabres beat the Jets and Senators, and they play the Flyers, Capitals, and Senators next. The Sabres look to win three straight games for the first time since January 31 – February 4. 

The Buffalo Sabres are averaging 3.1 goals per game and are scoring 17.9 percent of their power play opportunities. Tage Thompson leads Buffalo with 35 goals, Rasmus Dahlin has 42 assists, and Alex Tuch has 168 shots on goal. Defensively, the Buffalo Sabres are allowing 3.5 goals per game and are killing 76.4 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Devon Levi has given up 33 goals on 258 shots faced, while Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen has allowed 154 goals on 1,373 shots.

Why the Buffalo Sabres will win

  • The Penguins have lost eight of their last nine road games against opponents on a winning streak.
  • The Sabres have won each of their last five home games following a win.
  • The Sabres have covered the puck line in six of their last seven games against the Penguins at KeyBank Center.
  • The Penguins have failed to cover the puck line in five of their last six night games against opponents on a winning streak.
  • The Penguins have lost the first period in six of their last seven road games against Eastern Conference opponents.

Why the Pittsburgh Penguins will win

  • The underdogs have won six of the Sabres’ last seven games at KeyBank Center.
  • The Sabres have lost six of their last eight games as home favorites against opponents on a losing streak.
  • The underdogs have covered the puck line in 14 of the Sabres’ last 15 games at KeyBank Center.
  • The Sabres have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last six games as favorites following a home win.
  • The Sabres have lost the first period in each of their last four games following a home win.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Buffalo Sabres rank 1st in the league in penalty minutes this season (755).
  • The Buffalo Sabres rank 31st in the league in save percentage this season (.879).
  • The Pittsburgh Penguins rank 30th in the league in save percentage this season (.883).
  • The Pittsburgh Penguins rank 29th in the league for shots against per game this season (30.5).

Pittsburgh Penguins vs Buffalo Sabres Injury Report 

The Buffalo Sabres will be without Josh Norris, Jordan Greenway, and Sam Lafferty.

The Penguins will be without Joel Blomqvist and Evgeni Malkin, while Tommy Novak is questionable.

Pittsburgh Penguins vs Buffalo Sabres Prediction

Neither the Penguins nor the Sabres have much to play for at this stage in the season, so who knows which side is going to show up. With that said, the Penguins have been far sloppier as of late, as they’re getting blasted defensively more times than not. The Penguins have allowed 10 goals in their last two games and three or more goals in eight of their last 10 games. The Penguins have lost 19 times on the road this season. The Sabres have seen 18 of their 29 wins come at home. The Sabres have won five of their last eight games overall and have shown signs of life offensively. The price is reasonable. Give me the Sabres at home.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Buffalo Sabres -135

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