| MATCHUP | Philadelphia Flyers | Pittsburgh Penguins |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 43-27-12 | 41-25-16 |
| Spread | +1.5 -218 | -1.5 180 |
| Moneyline | +114 | -135 |
| Total | Over 5.5 (-125) | Under 5.5 (105) |
| Where | PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh, PA | |
| When | Monday, April 27, 2026 | |
| Time | 07:00 PM EDT | |
| TV | ESPN | |
Pittsburgh Penguins Preview
The Penguins finished the regular season with 98 points with a 41-25-16 record and were placed 2nd in the Metropolitan Division. They have a 20-13-8 home record and are coming off a 4-2 road win over the Flyers. Their previous three games were a 2-5 road loss to the Flyers, a 0-3 home loss to the Flyers, and a 2-3 home loss to the Flyers.
Offensively, the Penguins are averaging 3.54 goals per game and are scoring 24.1% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 3.15 goals per game and are killing 81.4% of their opponent’s power plays.
Sidney Crosby leads the Penguins with 74 points and 29 goals, while Erik Karlsson leads the team in assists with 51. Stuart Skinner is the starting goalie for the Penguins, and he has a 23-17-9 record, with 2.92 GAA and .888 SV%. Arturs Silovs is the backup goalie and he has a 19-12-8 record, with 3.07 GAA and .888 SV%.
Philadelphia Flyers Preview
The Flyers finished the regular season with 98 points with a 43-27-12 record and were placed 3rd in the Metropolitan Division. They have a 23-14-4 road record and are coming off a 2-4 home loss to the Penguins. Their previous three games were a 5-2 home win over the Penguins, a 3-0 road win over the Penguins, and a 3-2 road win over the Penguins.
Offensively, the Flyers are averaging 2.93 goals per game and are scoring 15.7% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 2.92 goals per game and are killing 77.6% of their opponent’s power plays.
Travis Konecny leads the Flyers with 68 points and 27 goals, adding a team-high 41 assists. Dan Vladar is the starting goalie for the Flyers, and he has a 29-14-7 record, with 2.42 GAA and .906 SV%. Samuel Ersson is the backup goalie and he has a 14-11-5 record, with 3.12 GAA and .870 SV%.
Philadelphia Flyers @ Pittsburgh Penguins Betting Trends: April 27, 2026
Why the Pittsburgh Penguins will win
- The Flyers have lost four of their last five playoff series closeout games.
- The Penguins have won five of their last six night games at PPG Paints Arena following a road win.
- The Penguins have covered the puck line in 11 of their last 12 night games following a road win.
- The Penguins have won the first period in 10 of their last 12 night games following a road win.
Why the Philadelphia Flyers will win
- The Flyers have won each of their last five games as road underdogs following a loss.
- The Penguins have lost four of their last five games as favorites against Metropolitan Division opponents.
- The Flyers have covered the puck line in nine of their last 10 games as underdogs against Metropolitan Division opponents.
- The Penguins have failed to cover the puck line in seven of their last eight home games against Metropolitan Division opponents.
- The Penguins have lost the second period in each of their last six home games against Eastern Conference opponents when trailing after the first period.
Total Goals Facts
- Each of the Flyers’ last four road games against the Penguins following a loss have gone OVER the total goals line.
- Four of the Penguins’ last five games as favorites following a road win have gone UNDER the total goals line.
- Six of the last eight games between two teams from the Metropolitan Division have gone UNDER the total goals line.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2′ market has hit in each of the Flyers’ last 18 night games.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2′ market has hit in each of the Penguins’ last 12 night games.
Pittsburgh Penguins Player Prop Facts
- Evgeni Malkin has scored a goal in three of the Penguins’ last four home playoff games.
- Evgeni Malkin has recorded at least one assist in 13 of his last 14 home appearances against the Flyers.
- Rickard Rakell has recorded at least four shots in each of his last zero appearances – [longest/equal-longest] active streak in the league.
Philadelphia Flyers Player Prop Facts
- Porter Martone has scored the first goal in three of the Flyers’ last four games as underdogs.
- Porter Martone has scored a goal in each of the Flyers’ last five games as underdogs.
- Travis Konecny has recorded an assist in each of the Flyers’ last four road games.
- Trevor Zegras ranks 1st in the league for shootout goals (7) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Pittsburgh Penguins rank 3rd in the league for goals per game this season (3.54).
- The Pittsburgh Penguins rank 6th in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (81.43%).
- The Philadelphia Flyers rank 32nd in the league in power play percentage this season (15.74%).
- The Philadelphia Flyers have recorded the equal-longest road winning streak (8 games) in the NHL this season.
Flyers vs Penguins Prediction
The Flyers are 4-1 in their last 5 meetings against the Penguins and have won their last three visits in Pittsburgh, including both in this series.
In this Flyers vs Penguins Prediction, the Penguins are coming as -135 home favorites. The Penguins avoided the sweep with a game 3 win in Philly and are now back home where they can tie the series if they win both games. I believe that they will carry the momentum off Saturday’s win and with Silovs taking the starting nod after Skinner lost three straight, they will win this one to avoid elimination in front of their home crowd.