| MATCHUP | Pittsburgh Penguins | Vegas Golden Knights |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 32-17-15 | 29-22-14 |
| Spread | +1.5 -192 | -1.5 160 |
| Moneyline | +130 | -155 |
| Total | Over 6.5 (105) | Under 6.5 (-125) |
| Where | T-Mobile Center | |
| When | Thursday, March 12, 2026 | |
| Time | 10:00 PM EDT | |
| TV | ESPN+ | |
In this article we will formulate a Penguins vs Golden Knights prediction for this NHL game on Thursday, March 12th at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.
Pittsburgh Penguins Betting Preview
The Pittsburgh Penguins are 32-17-15 this season after they lost to the Hurricanes in a shootout by a score of 5-4 in their last game. Pittsburgh scored twice in the final three minutes of regulation to tie the game, but they ended up losing in the shootout. The Penguins were out shot by a total of 44-28, won 53.7% of the face-offs, and went 1-5 on the power play in the game. Pittsburgh got goals from Acciari, Mantha, and Rust (2), while Skinner stopped 40 out of 44 shots, which was a .909 save percentage.
Prior to that game, Pittsburgh defeated the Bruins by a score of 5-4, but lost to the Flyers by a score of 4-3 before that. The Penguins have lost four of their last five games and they are currently second in the Metro standings with 79 points. Pittsburgh has scored 3.38 goals per game and they have allowed 2.86 goals against per game, while also going 25.1% on the power play and 84.3% on the penalty kill this season. Bryan Rust has led Pittsburgh with 23 goals and 26 assists, while Anthony Mantha has added 24 goals and 24 assists. The projected starting goalie for Pittsburgh is Arturs Silovs, who is 14-8-8 with a 2.84 goals against average and an .898 save percentage this year.
Vegas Golden Knights Betting Preview
The Vegas Golden Knights are 29-22-14 this year after they lost to the Stars by a score of 2-1 in their last game. Vegas led 1-0 early in the second period, but they allowed two goals later in the second for the low scoring loss. The Golden Knights out shot Dallas by a total of 27-16, won 44.4% of the face-offs, and went 0-3 on the power play in the game. Vegas got their lone goal from Eichel, while Hill stopped 14 out of 16 shots, which was an .875 save percentage.
Prior to that game, Vegas lost to the Oilers by a score of 4-2 and the Wild by a score of 4-2. The Golden Knights have lost six of their last seven games and they are currently third in the Pacific standings with 72 points. Vegas has scored 3.22 goals per game and they have allowed 3.09 goals against per game, while also going 25.4% on the power play and 81.5% on the penalty kill this season. Jack Eichel has led Vegas with 23 goals and 49 assists, while Mitch Marner has added 18 goals and 47 assists. The projected starting goalie for Vegas is Akira Schmid, who is 16-9-6 with a 2.61 goals against average and an .893 save percentage this year.
Why the Vegas Golden Knights will win
- The Penguins have lost each of their last four games following a shootout win.
- The Golden Knights have won each of their last three home games against the Penguins.
- The home team has covered the puck line in seven of the last eight games between the Penguins and Golden Knights.
- The Penguins have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last three night games at T-Mobile Arena.
- The Penguins have lost the first period in each of their last four games as road underdogs following a shootout win.
Why the Pittsburgh Penguins will win
- The Penguins have won six of their last seven games as underdogs against opponents on a losing streak.
- The Golden Knights have lost five of their last seven games as favorites.
- The Penguins have covered the puck line in 11 of their last 12 games as underdogs.
- The Golden Knights have failed to cover the puck line in four of their last five home games against Metropolitan Division opponents.
- The Golden Knights have lost the second period in each of their last four games as favorites against Eastern Conference opponents when leading after the first period.
Total Goals Facts
- Each of the last four night games between the Penguins and Golden Knights have gone UNDER the total goals line.
- Four of the Penguins’ last five road games against opponents on a losing streak have gone OVER the total goals line.
- Seven of the last eight Thursday night games at T-Mobile Arena have gone OVER the total goals line.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2′ market has hit in 17 of the Penguins’ last 18 games following a shootout win.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3’ market has hit in each of the last six games between the Penguins and Golden Knights at T-Mobile Arena.
Vegas Golden Knights Player Prop Facts
- Pavel Dorofeyev has scored a goal in three of the Golden Knights’ last four home games.
- Mitch Marner has recorded at least one assist in seven of his last eight home appearances against the Penguins.
Pittsburgh Penguins Player Prop Facts
- Yegor Chinakhov has scored a goal in each of his last three appearances against the Golden Knights.
- Evgeni Malkin has recorded an assist in each of his last four appearances with the Penguins as underdogs against Pacific Division opponents.
Penguins vs Golden Knights Prediction
Vegas comes into this matchup on a three game losing streak and they have scored two goals or fewer in four of their last five games. The Golden Knights are 14-10-7 at home this year, while the Penguins are 16-8-7 on the road. Pittsburgh has lost four of their last five games and they have allowed at least four goals in four straight. Neither team is playing very well right now, but I think the Vegas offense will wake up at home here. Take the Golden Knights to win.