Penguins vs Flyers Prediction 4/25/2026 Today’s NHL Picks

In this article we will formulate a Penguins vs Flyers prediction for this NHL game on Saturday, April 25th at Xfinity Mobile Arena in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL playoff matchup.

Pittsburgh Penguins Betting Preview

The Pittsburgh Penguins are down 0-3 in this series after they lost the first three games by scores of 2-3, 0-3, and 2-5. In game three, Pittsburgh led 1-0 after the first period, but they allowed three goals in the second and never recovered in the loss. The Penguins recorded 29 shots on goal, won 41.8% of the face-offs, and went 2-5 on the power play in the game. Pittsburgh got goals from Malkin and Karlsson, while Skinner stopped 24 out of 28 shots, which was an .857 save percentage. 

Prior to this series, Pittsburgh lost to the Blues by a score of 7-5 and the Capitals by a score of 3-0. The Penguins have lost six games in a row and they finished second in the Metro standings with 98 points. Pittsburgh scored 3.54 goals per game and they allowed 3.15 goals against per game, while also going 24.1% on the power play and 81.4% on the penalty kill this season. Sidney Crosby led Pittsburgh with 29 goals and 45 assists, while Anthony Mantha added 33 goals and 31 assists. The projected starting goalie for Pittsburgh is Stuart Skinner, who was 12-9-5 with a 2.99 goals against average and an .885 save percentage this season.

Philadelphia Flyers Betting Preview

The Philadelphia Flyers are up 3-0 in this series after they won game three by a score of 5-2 last time out. Philadelphia had their lead cut to 3-2 in the third period, but they scored two goals in the last eight minutes to seal the win. The Flyers recorded 29 shots on goal, won 58.2% of the face-offs, and went 2-3 on the power play in the game. Philadelphia got goals from Cates, Tippett, Zegras, Ristolainen, and Seeler, while Vladar stopped 27 out of 29 shots, which was a .931 save percentage. 

Prior to this series, Philadelphia defeated the Canadiens by a score of 4-2 and the Hurricanes by a score of 3-2. The Flyers have won nine of their last ten games and they finished third in the Metro standings with 98 points. Philadelphia scored 2.93 goals per game and they allowed 2.92 goals against per game, while also going 15.7% on the power play and 77.6% on the penalty kill this season. Travis Konecny led Philadelphia with 27 goals and 41 assists, while Trevor Zegras added 26 goals and 41 assists. The projected starting goalie for Philadelphia is Dan Vladar, who was 29-14-7 with a 2.42 goals against average and a .906 save percentage this season. 

Why the Philadelphia Flyers will win

• The Flyers have won each of their last six games against Metropolitan Division opponents.
• The Penguins have lost each of their last five games against Metropolitan Division opponents.
• The Penguins have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last five games as underdogs.
• The Flyers have covered the puck line in seven of their last eight games following a home win.
• The Flyers have won the second period in each of their last five games as home favorites following a home win.

Why the Pittsburgh Penguins will win

• The underdogs have won three of the last four games between the Penguins and Flyers.
• The Flyers have lost four of their last five games at Xfinity Mobile Arena following a home win.
• The underdogs have covered the puck line in five of the Flyers’ last six games.
• The Flyers have failed to cover the puck line in 19 of their last 23 games as favorites against Metropolitan Division opponents.
• The Flyers have lost the first period in six of their last seven games as home favorites against Metropolitan Division opponents.

Total Goals Facts

• Seven of the Penguins’ last eight road games against Eastern Conference opponents have gone OVER the total goals line.
• Five of the last six night games between two teams from the Metropolitan Division have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• Five of the Flyers’ last six games as favorites following a home win have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2′ market has hit in each of the Penguins’ last 11 night games.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2′ market has hit in 22 of the Flyers’ last 23 night games.

Philadelphia Flyers Player Prop Facts

• Porter Martone has scored a goal in three of the Flyers’ last four games against Eastern Conference opponents.
• Porter Martone has recorded an assist in each of the Flyers’ last five games at Xfinity Mobile Arena.
• Nick Seeler has scored two goals against the Penguins this season – most against any opponent.

Pittsburgh Penguins Player Prop Facts

• Evgeni Malkin has scored at least one goal in each of his last five playoff appearances at Xfinity Mobile Arena.
• Bryan Rust has recorded at least one assist in each of the Penguins’ last five playoff games as road underdogs.
• Bryan Rust has scored three goals against the Flyers this season – equal-most against any opponent.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Philadelphia Flyers played in the equal-highest number of games that have gone to shootout this season (14).
• The Philadelphia Flyers rank T31st in the league for power play goals this season (37).
• The Pittsburgh Penguins rank 7th in the league in power play percentage this season (24.14%).
• The Pittsburgh Penguins have suffered the equal-most losses when leading after Period 2 this season (9).

Penguins vs Flyers Prediction

Philadelphia comes into this matchup looking to complete the series sweep and they have allowed two goals or fewer in five straight games. The Flyers were 20-13-8 at home this year, while the Penguins were 21-12-8 on the road. Pittsburgh has been outplayed very badly in the first three games of this series, but I still feel like they could turn things around, as they are the much better offensive team in this matchup. I keep backing the Penguins and getting burned, but I do think they stay alive in this one. Take Pittsburgh to win.

David Racey's Pick: Penguins ML