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Penguins vs Avalanche Prediction 3/16/2026 Today’s NHL Picks

Mar 12, 2026; Seattle, Washington, USA; Colorado Avalanche, from left, forward Nathan MacKinnon (29) defenseman Sam Malinski (70) and forward Martin Necas (88) celebrate a goal during the second period against the Seattle Kraken at Climate Pledge Arena. Mandatory Credit: Stephen Brashear-Imagn Images

Mar 12, 2026; Seattle, Washington, USA; Colorado Avalanche, from left, forward Nathan MacKinnon (29) defenseman Sam Malinski (70) and forward Martin Necas (88) celebrate a goal during the second period against the Seattle Kraken at Climate Pledge Arena. Mandatory Credit: Stephen Brashear-Imagn Images

MATCHUP Pittsburgh Penguins Colorado Avalanche
Team Records 33-18-15 44-12-9
Spread +1.5 -130 -1.5 110
Moneyline +190 -230
Total Over 6.5 (-120) Under 6.5 (100)
Where Ball Arena, Denver, CO
When Monday, March 16, 2026
Time 09:30 PM EDT
TV ESPN
In this article we will formulate a Penguins vs Avalanche prediction for this NHL game on Monday, March 16th at Ball Arena in Denver, Colorado. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.

Pittsburgh Penguins Betting Preview

The Pittsburgh Penguins are 33-18-15 this season after they defeated the Mammoth by a score of 4-3 in their last game. Pittsburgh trailed 2-0 after the first period, but they blew a 3-2 lead in the third, before scoring with about 12 minutes left to get the win. The Penguins were out shot by a total of 29-23, won 44.1% of the face-offs, and went 2-6 on the power play in the game. Pittsburgh got goals from Acciari, Mantha, Novak, and Rust, while Skinner stopped 26 out of 29 shots, which was an .897 save percentage. 

Prior to that game, Pittsburgh lost to the Golden Knights by a score of 6-2 and the Hurricanes by a score of 5-4. The Penguins have lost five of their last seven games and they are currently second in the Metro standings with 81 points. Pittsburgh has scored 3.36 goals per game and they have allowed 2.91 goals against per game, while also going 25.0% on the power play and 84.2% on the penalty kill this season. Bryan Rust has led Pittsburgh with 24 goals and 27 assists, while Anthony Mantha has added 25 goals and 26 assists. The projected starting goalie for Pittsburgh is Arturs Silovs, who is 14-9-8 with a 2.93 goals against average and an .894 save percentage this season. 

Colorado Avalanche Betting Preview

The Colorado Avalanche are 44-12-9 this year after they lost to the Jets by a score of 3-1 in their last game. Colorado cut the deficit to 2-1 late in the third period, but they allowed an empty net goal to seal the loss. The Avalanche out shot Winnipeg by a total of 29-18, won 57.4% of the face-offs, and went 0-2 on the power play in the game. Colorado got their lone goal from Necas, while Blackwood stopped 15 out of 17 shots, which was an .882 save percentage. 

Prior to that game, Colorado defeated the Kraken by a score of 5-1, but did lose to the Oilers by a score of 4-3 before that. The Avalanche have won six of their last eight games and they are currently first in the Central standings with 97 points. Colorado has scored 3.75 goals per game and they have allowed 2.43 goals against per game, while also going 16.1% on the power play and 82.7% on the penalty kill this season. Nathan MacKinnon has led Colorado with 44 goals and 65 assists, while Martin Necas has added 31 goals and 49 assists. The projected starting goalie for Colorado is Mackenzie Blackwood, who is 18-8-1 with a 2.41 goals against average and a .908 save percentage this season. 

Why the Colorado Avalanche will win

Why the Pittsburgh Penguins will win

Total Goals Facts

Colorado Avalanche Player Prop Facts

Pittsburgh Penguins Player Prop Facts

Penguins vs Avalanche Prediction 

Colorado comes into this matchup after losing two of their last three games, but they continue to lead the Central Division. The Avalanche are 23-5-4 at home this year, while the Penguins are 17-9-7 on the road. Pittsburgh has lost three of their last five games and they have allowed at least four goals in four of those five. I expect a strong bounce back from the Avalanche and they should have plenty of opportunities against this struggling Pittsburgh defense. Take Colorado to win by at least two goals here.

David Racey's Pick: Avalanche -1.5

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